snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Ok so every professional met in the northwest agrees there will be arctic air over the area Tuesday But according to this forum there is not? Technically it will be Arctic. Fraser River air will be over Whatcom County and it will drop south when the surface gradients become northerly. One thing for sure is it will be noticeably cold. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 This feels like it could be very similar to January 2012. At least up here. (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure he generated that. He had PDX up to 40f on Friday yesterday.It's from his personal weather website. It's a bold forecast but crazier things have happened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Technically it will be Arctic. Fraser River air will be over Whatcom County and it will drop south when the surface gradients become northerly. One thing for sure is it will be noticeably cold.It will definitely feel chilly **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We spent a few days in Poulsbo the week before Christmas. Great little town, I really liked it. A lot of cool Scandinavian heritage. How does that area generally do for snow? I know some spots on the Kitsap can do quite well thanks to the topography/influence of cold air damming along the Olympics. Great place to raise a family--and work is close by at Bangor. We are often in a dead hole over here, even though we're close to hood canal. That said, sometimes we do well while others not so much. Last February was the first time I saw snow here in 3 years though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Holy crap! I almost wonder if the NWS is being too agressive with their forecast. Pretty hard core. For the EPSL they have lots of snow for all areas and then lows 18 to 25 Monday night. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The majority of us on here should at least see some snow and cold windy weather. I think there's going to be some surprises this week where a few location get a lot of snow that weren't expecting it. Going to be a fun week tracking everything! ❄☃ I really have my eye on the mid week thing. The trends on that are very favorable for Seattle and the late week time frame has trended colder as well. The 18z ensemble has 850s bottoming out at -8 after the snow with weak offshore flow. Solidly cold. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Haha. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Great place to raise a family--and work is close by at Bangor. We are often in a dead hole over here, even though we're close to hood canal. That said, sometimes we do well while others not so much. Last February was the first time I saw snow here in 3 years though. Are you serious? We did pretty good the two winters before that here. I'm really surprised. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 So..this event will be a win for me if it beats out December 8th, 2016 (which gave PDX an inch or two of snow and a quarter-inch of ZR). If it can get anywhere close to that, I'll be very happy ;D "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 It's from his personal weather website. It's a bold forecast but crazier things have happened.Interesting. Wonder what his thinking was to be that aggressive with the cold. It is bold indeed. Must be thinking Gorge outflow will be colder? Not sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 My snow pile is surviving! 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Weird. The NWS real talk discussion says a trace to 2 inches with some places getting 4, while the EPSL forecast says 2 to 6 inches Sunday night and then snow likely on Monday. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Ask Matt or Justin. Lower than 34 with a SW wind.It’s cold. Does it matter what label it gets? 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications. A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Haha.Tina is pissed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Let us hope for a great 0z run. Any better than the 18z would be great. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 That almost look like really thick frost on the trees. Gorgeous! Rime ice. Caused by cloud droplets freezing on contact. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Someone on twitter was saying that the 18z had thw low a little bit further south?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications. A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances. I'm pretty sure this one stays Seattle and points north. When can we start looking at the UW model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Colder runs ahead! At some point... 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications. A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances. The cold air is not “very close.” Last I checked, both Cache Creek and Lillooet were still above freezing. Had to go upriver to Kamloops to find a subfreezing temperature, and they were reporting -1˚C. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Someone on twitter was saying that the 18z had thw low a little bit further south?!Tim says no. Further north. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Interesting. Wonder what his thinking was to be that aggressive with the cold. It is bold indeed. Must be thinking Gorge outflow will be colder? Not sure.Here's his video update for today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceKing Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Seeing a lot of disagreement for tomorrow, so I have decided to invent my own weather forecast model. WHAT? My house is getting 36 inches of snow?? No way!?? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Tim says no. Further north.Pretty much exactly the same. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Interesting... 6 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 43F and cloudy. Business as usual. 46/39 for a +2.2F departure. That will bring our average down from the +6.1F we are currently at. I doubt those numbers come down much in the next week. We are too far south. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Interesting...Got 2” last year in February on Super Bowl Sunday before the real stuff arrived. Could be similar tomorrow maybe. 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Seeing a lot of disagreement for tomorrow, so I have decided to invent my own weather forecast model. WHAT? My house is getting 36 inches of snow?? No way!?? myforecast.jpg **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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