Cloud Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Do you mind posting a pic or pointing me in the direction to take a look? Thanks!For future reference, this is where you can go to get to the UW-WRF maps.https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/gfsinit.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 This entire event is becoming highly disappointing, and the satellite dish debacle and crisis about through me over the edge. I feel sad and need a hug. My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 God I love where I live...Need another inch of snow and a degree colder...just walk up through our property to our friends/neighbors 50 acres that is 150’ higher. (Middle pic) It was very interesting, south wind whipping at my house, snow already mostly off the trees, walk up there and hardly any wind, no melting yet, trees still caked, and you could feel the difference in temp. All in a 5 minute walk from the house to the top of their property. 4 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I agree, I think models are underestimating precip amounts for Sunday. As it stands now, the GFS and NAM have shown a decent amount of snow and have increased the totals a little bit the past few runs (slight step back on the 12z GFS, but not that much). Even the 06z Euro looked better for some places. Seems the WRF is on it's own showing next to nothing.However the RGEM and HRDPS show the low tracking way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 However the RGEM and HRDPS show the low tracking way north.Obviously a noob here but wouldn’t that Arctic high/blocking push the low more south? Or is that not how it works haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 God I love where I live...Need another inch of snow and a degree colder...just walk up through our property to our friends/neighbors 50 acres that is 150’ higher. (Middle pic) It was very interesting, south wind whipping at my house, snow already mostly off the trees, walk up there and hardly any wind, no melting yet, trees still caked, and you could feel the difference in temp. All in a 5 minute walk from the house to the top of their property. You have sun??? **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Obviously a noob here but wouldn’t that Arctic high/blocking push the low more south? Or is that not how it works hahaIts that they're handling the overall trough differently. The bulk of the moisture on the RGEM/HRDPS/ICON/GEM is to the north east--so would be much less of an event for south VI and the puget sound. GFS shows a heavy low tracking right through Seattle which is much more favourable for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 God I love where I live...Need another inch of snow and a degree colder...just walk up through our property to our friends/neighbors 50 acres that is 150’ higher. (Middle pic) It was very interesting, south wind whipping at my house, snow already mostly off the trees, walk up there and hardly any wind, no melting yet, trees still caked, and you could feel the difference in temp. All in a 5 minute walk from the house to the top of their property. I'd love to live somewhere nearby a big hill/mountain in the future. Orcas island or Bellingham would be the places I choose. Can go from sea level at eastsound or Bellingham and go up over 2000' at both locations during those marginal situations. That is extremely cool and fascinating to be able to be able to go way up in elevation close to home. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Starting to look like PDX may struggle to drop to 26 with this. Front loaders (and skid steers) rejoice!!! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Taking a closer look at the WRF, it shows temps (850, 925, and surface) all being cold enough to support snow around 4PM Sunday. The problem is precip dries up incredibly fast, to the point where by 7PM it's pretty much done. Sometimes these cold fronts with dry Canadian are become unstable on the leading edge and the models will have trouble moddling this. Depending how much moisture is in the atmosphere in front of the arctic front will have a huge effect on how the front gets it's act together. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Taking a closer look at the WRF, it shows temps (850, 925, and surface) all being cold enough to support snow around 4PM Sunday. The problem is precip dries up incredibly fast, to the point where by 7PM it's pretty much done. Sometimes these cold fronts with dry Canadian are become unstable on the leading edge and the models will have trouble moddling this. Depending how much moisture is in the atmosphere in front of the arctic front will have a huge effect on how the front gets it's act together.God I love where I live...Need another inch of snow and a degree colder...just walk up through our property to our friends/neighbors 50 acres that is 150’ higher. (Middle pic) It was very interesting, south wind whipping at my house, snow already mostly off the trees, walk up there and hardly any wind, no melting yet, trees still caked, and you could feel the difference in temp. All in a 5 minute walk from the house to the top of their property.I can look up at the mountain at probably just 200 feet higher than I am and see a winter wonderland. Looks like about 4 inches up there. We only got a little here. I drove west about 4 miles closer the the canal and there was a few inches out there. It's switching back to snow here and 34 degrees 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Reporting in with light rain and 40 here in the swamp highlands. Excited about what is to come. My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Sometimes these cold fronts with dry Canadian are become unstable on the leading edge and the models will have trouble moddling this. Depending how much moisture is in the atmosphere in front of the arctic front will have a huge effect on how the front gets it's act together. This will probably be an event that the models don't have a handle on at all even right before. Probably will just have to wait til Sunday night and actually see it unfold in real time to actually know. Kind of like the December 1990 surprise c-zone that caught the area off guard. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 You have sun???No that was from my LED flood light bulbs that are awesome!! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 If I had my choice of places to relocate in western Washington it would be at lake cushman. When I had a place up there I was shocked at the amount of snow that falls there. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Sometimes these cold fronts with dry Canadian are become unstable on the leading edge and the models will have trouble moddling this. Depending how much moisture is in the atmosphere in front of the arctic front will have a huge effect on how the front gets it's act together.I can look up at the mountain at probably just 200 feet higher than I am and see a winter wonderland. Looks like about 4 inches up there. We only got a little here. I drove west about 4 miles closer the the canal and there was a few inches out there. It's switching back to snow here and 34 degrees You live near that gold mountain area in central Kitsap I'm assuming...very interesting spot that is. That would be another place I'd consider living by... especially farther west of it towards seabeck to get those hood canal snowfalls. I've hiked that mountain several times definitely a good place to go in a marginal snow situation. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 No that was from my LED flood light bulbs that are awesome!! Must be... they can mimic sunlight! I need to get about 10 of those. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 If I had my choice of places to relocate in western Washington it would be at lake cushman. When I had a place up there I was shocked at the amount of snow that falls there.My favorite part of WA is Tokeland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The lowest possible total through D16 on the 12z GEFS members for Bellingham is 8 inches. The average crosses 10 inches by Friday. I'd be feeling pretty good if I was living up there. Has to be mostly on Sunday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The lowest possible total through D16 on the 12z GEFS members for Bellingham is 8 inches. The average crosses 10 inches by Friday. I'd be feeling pretty good if I was living up there. Is there one for Hoquiam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 You live near that gold mountain area in central Kitsap I'm assuming...very interesting spot that is. That would be another place I'd consider living by... especially farther west of it towards seabeck to get those hood canal snowfalls. I've hiked that mountain several times definitely a good place to go in a marginal snow situation.Yeah I live on the outer edge of the hood canal snow zone. I'm very sheltered from the sw winds so there are many times even Bremerton and Shelton are rain and 36 degrees and I have a few inches of snow. Pretty crazy area over here for microclimates. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Snizzle and 33 here. Getting messy. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My favorite part of WA is Tokeland.Da fuq? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 If I had my choice of places to relocate in western Washington it would be at lake cushman. When I had a place up there I was shocked at the amount of snow that falls there.We almost put in an offer on a place east of Big Lake back when we were looking that had 22 acres of property that went way up in elevation...I was drooling about the prospect of how much snow we could get...But it would have been a 20min drive for my wife just to get to I-5 and then another 30min drive (with no traffic) to her job in Everett so she wanted to keep looking. I was bummed. But our place now feels Ike we are way out yet only 5min from I-5! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Must be... they can mimic sunlight! I need to get about 10 of those. They are very easy on the eyes and give off a very nice light, really lights up the yard and snow at night. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Rapidly approaching 10000 posts here and it's only the 10th! Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Thanks dude! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Rapidly approaching 10000 posts here and it's only the 10th! And so far... its pretty much Randy, Andrew, and myself with a little slushy snow. The usual suspects. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Pretty good chance at some point most of us will see snow. I like my odds...don't really care if it's 1" or 6". Just want some snow and cold. I like my chances at getting atleast some snow on the ground and having it stick around for a few days. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 New 12Z ECMWF does not show any snow for even Bellingham yet through 4 p.m. on Sunday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 And so far... its pretty much Randy, Andrew, and myself with a little slushy snow. The usual suspects. Was unusual for me to see a 1/2" of snow while lots of others didn't yesterday. Especially since my house is one of the last places to usually see snow in a marginal situation. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Snow finally shows up between 4-7 p.m. on Sunday. And the c-zone behind the low is forming at that time. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 And so far... its pretty much Randy, Andrew, and myself with a little slushy snow. The usual suspects. Gotta get caught up on names...Randy is MossMan? Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 New 12Z ECMWF does not show any snow for even Bellingham yet through 4 p.m. on Sunday.That’s not good. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The lowest possible total through D16 on the 12z GEFS members for Bellingham is 8 inches. The average crosses 10 inches by Friday. I'd be feeling pretty good if I was living up there. I'm threading the needle with my location at the Whatcom/Skagit line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 C-zone looks a little farther north between 7-10 p.m. on the ECMWF compared to the 00Z run. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 And so far... its pretty much Randy, Andrew, and myself with a little slushy snow. The usual suspects. I'm invisible We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 EURO is way stronger with the CZ Sunday evening than the WRF. Good news. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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