Phil Posted July 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted July 28, 2020 Yup. Winds usually develop a S/SW component in the afternoon on big storm days. Knew today would be a dud when the NW winds were still blowing solid at 2pm. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted July 31, 2020 Report Share Posted July 31, 2020 Heavey thunderstorms going through from south to north a good lighting display with these as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted July 31, 2020 Small microburst here earlier in the evening. Wind roaring through the trees with sheets of rain. Now 73°F with a light fog/100% humidity. Swampy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 1, 2020 Report Share Posted August 1, 2020 Tommore would have been a good event setup but the tropica system is what messing things up as is typical with tropica systems you tend to get mixing surppressing out ahead of the system. Monday and tuesday could be interesting depending what the system does and track.but still kind of sucks that it may have robbed an rare mid summer severe weather outbreak potentialy tommore.I know Anthony was hyping Tommore for the past few days but did warn that the tropica system could get in the way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 1, 2020 Report Share Posted August 1, 2020 If there any year the east coast and or southeast coast get hammered by an monster hurricane late August or September it would be this year.and the pattern screams for a monster hit or two this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2020 Tropical storm warnings in effect “until further notice”. Haha. If that ain’t the most 2020 statement ever, I don’t know what is. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2020 We’re probably looking at 3-6” of rain and possibly some gusty northerlies on the west side of the circulation here. Exact track (and health of the circulation) will determine the westward extent/amplitude of the winds. Small wobbles and/or minute changes in structure could make all the difference out this way. But as of now, it looks like gusts are most likely to be in the 30-50mph range locally, which is similar to a typical winter post-frontal event, except we’ll have saturated soils and leaves on the trees. Hurricane Irene might be a good analog..had a massive circulation, but tracked offshore and we still ended up with 50-60mph winds around here. I remember being surprised at how quickly it ramped up on the backside once winds flipped N/NW, while the E/NE winds on the front quadrant were lackluster (at least here, just west of the fall line). For whatever reason, this area loves to mix down N/NW winds. They almost always find a way. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2020 Unexpectedly strong burst of S/SE winds with that squall an hour ago. Roaring through the trees. Heard cracking wood on two occasions, probably some weak limbs not typically exposed to gusts from that direction. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 4, 2020 Overall a fairly underwhelming event here. 24hr rainfall is 2.65”. Winds ~ 30mph. That’s about it. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 4, 2020 Report Share Posted August 4, 2020 Overall a fairly underwhelming event here.24hr rainfall is 2.65”. Winds ~ 30mph. That’s about it. yeah it was no doubt an Eastern shore special Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 4, 2020 Report Share Posted August 4, 2020 Overall a fairly underwhelming event here.24hr rainfall is 2.65”. Winds ~ 30mph. That’s about it. what ironic is we are only in early August and all ready reach the I name and the peak isnt until late month and September I don't think we have really seen the real brunt of this season yet september may prove to be trouble Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 6, 2020 Report Share Posted August 6, 2020 Well that was certainly something we have not had in a while here is morning heavy thunderstorms sort of old school in a way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 6, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2020 Explosive thunderstorm rocked the neighborhood late last night ~ 230AM. Bolt after bolt after bolt with almost instantaneous thunder, went on for 15+ minutes. Also a quick 0.7” of rain and winds to 37mph. Not bad for a nocturnal event. Now 3.65” of rain over the first 6 days of August. Much needed locally..soil was getting dry again. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Heavy thunderstorms going through Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 With this slow movement some one going to get a crap load of rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Got nothing here today or yesterday. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 I saw one of those European Hornets on top of the car yesterday those things are big as heck no way would I want to be stung by one of those things Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 12, 2020 It’s downright oppressive today. Dewpoint touched 79° a half hour ago. Now mixed out to 77° but it doesn’t feel any better with the mercury climbing. PWAT values are sky high..hoping for a good downpour. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 12, 2020 HRRR has placed my location in a precip hole for the last several runs. Hopefully that busts. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 12, 2020 Report Share Posted August 12, 2020 HRRR has placed my location in a precip hole for the last several runs. Hopefully that busts. the problem with these type of set ups slow moving thunderstorms with little to no steeling flow it really hard to pin point where the storms will fire track.but if cought under one you could get a crap load of rain in a sort order.take right now for instance we have storms moving west north south and east Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 12, 2020 Report Share Posted August 12, 2020 Pouring here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 14, 2020 Report Share Posted August 14, 2020 That was some serious lighting/ thunder yesterday along with that heavey rains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 16, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 16, 2020 For the first time since late June, we finally dropped below 70°F. Solid rain tonight, up to 5.32” on the month and we’re only halfway through. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 23, 2020 I think at least one of the days Monday - Wednesday will feature some decent storms around here. Gross & stagnant presently..90°F with mid 70s dewpoints. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 25, 2020 Report Share Posted August 25, 2020 Saterday could be interesting if the models are right with the remains of Laura passing over head.alot of hype by the nws spc and Justin berk tonignt but so far unless something happens they all maybe eating there words in a big bust .the fact remains that most of our high end events are from systems that don't get a lot of attention.they tend to sneak up on us and the nws spc having to catch up.something has to be looked at with the repeated errors on the models convected setups as of late I have noticed a few times this summer where models blew chunks with the setup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 26, 2020 Report Share Posted August 26, 2020 Not to draw attention away from luara but the pattern in September looks very troublesome for the East coast for land falling systems.if there a year phil the East coasts get slammed by a major it would be this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 27, 2020 Report Share Posted August 27, 2020 It's absolutely pouring here one cell literly blew up right over head Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2020 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 28, 2020 Report Share Posted August 28, 2020 Zippo here. Had to water the grass/plants today. Was another gross afternoon with heat indices pushing 100° for the umpteenth time. Storms have been avoiding this area like the plague for the last 10 days or so. yeah Anne Arundel county has been a hot bed for storms this summer.it really poured while we were driving to the Columbia Mall a few hours ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Moderate rain here with low rumbling thunder from the convection just to the south which have gotten abserlutly hammered tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Agree with Justin Berk the ghost of Laura ended up futher north then the Ecmwf advertise which was in southern Virginia instead its tracking through maryland.Also is weaker then models indacated as well.amazing considering nearly a little over 48 hours ago we had a well defind hurricane tropica system on the map now it a hard to defind mess embedded in the fronter system.on the bright side tommore looks fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Yesterday’s convection split me yet again. Now this sorry excuse for a squall line is doing likewise. Three whiffs in 3 days. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Yesterday’s convection split me yet again. Now this sorry excuse for a squall line is doing likewise.Three whiffs in 3 days. what looked like a good weather day for monday has turned into a showery thunderstorm day on many forecast the models have really been crapping the bed as of late to say the least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Yesterday’s convection split me yet again. Now this sorry excuse for a squall line is doing likewise.Three whiffs in 3 days. to call this a squall line is a embarrassment in it self more like a batch of weak crap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 30, 2020 Report Share Posted August 30, 2020 Larry Cosgrove is increasingly concern about a big hurricane hit or two between the periold mid september- early to mid october base on the pattern potentially supporting a mid west ohio vally trough which would be a ugly pattern for the east coast hopefully something changes because it could be trouble in the making. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 30, 2020 Report Share Posted August 30, 2020 Beautiful day today likey the best we had this entire summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 Slight risk today, enhanced risk tomorrow from SPC. Humid day, presently 88/78 with condensation dripping from the windows. Hopefully enough fuel for some action. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 Yet another whiff here. 3rd time in a row. Really starting to piss me the fuuck off at this point. You’re a püssy, ma’ nature. Get it up or go home, princess. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 3, 2020 Report Share Posted September 3, 2020 Yet another whiff here. 3rd time in a row. Really starting to piss me the fuuck off at this point.You’re a püssy, ma’ nature. Get it up or go home, princess. Anne Arundel is the hot bed for storms this season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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