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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


snow_wizard

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Been through this more times than I can count and will not predict the outcome but am still not seeing enough to even get me excited AND honestly I am bitter about the last event being a total bust here overall. So much promise too! This looks borderline at best and is also not even in the believable range. The near stuff is just cold rain here at best.

 

Yeah well there’s 29 days in February...we can only see what might happen the first couple days of the month. I remember it was still snowing in many places in early March last year...lots of time left. This may not be the only shot we have the rest of the winter.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Oh don’t be silly!  It will fall apart and be over 3 days before it is modeled to occur, as usual... will be epic until then. 

 

...you had some crazy totals less than a year ago. Like, major snowstorms back to back with crazy accumulation.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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...you had some crazy totals less than a year ago. Like, major snowstorms back to back with crazy accumulation.

Yeah it’s not like most places up here had 2 feet of snow in 3 days a little less than a year ago. Most places south of Seattle got 1-2 inches of snow still this year...which is more than pretty much all the Oregon posters.
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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Cascades getting some good snows this evening.

 

But I thought it was all going to melt?!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Ensemble improvement!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yeah well there’s 29 days in February...we can only see what might happen the first couple days of the month. I remember it was still snowing in many places in early March last year...lots of time left.

Lol! Okay, and like I do not know this? Lol ... thanks.

 

Do not be offended, for me March snow that melts by noon is a total waste of time. my opinion only. I love snow that you can actually enjoy not a slopfest ... again my personal preference only and nobody else I am sure. I am weird that way in seeing things staying white and even frozen for more than  8 hours. I know weird! Sorry!  :unsure:  :mellow:

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Yeah well there’s 29 days in February...we can only see what might happen the first couple days of the month. I remember it was still snowing in many places in early March last year...lots of time left. This may not be the only shot we have the rest of the winter.

March 8th 2019!

EF12C52B-A184-457A-B228-C2C6C354E953.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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...you had some crazy totals less than a year ago. Like, major snowstorms back to back with crazy accumulation.

Uh... I am not talking about last year... I am skeptical and butt hurt about this year... last year was great! I got 8 to 9inches all in. Lots of day time melting though, it was just due to the late season when it happened. It was very nice event last year. The  Long moderate cold was nice! 

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This is starting to get real now.  A lot of pretty cold ensemble members for all of week 2 and apparently beyond.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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A lot of weather is luck.  I've gotten 17 inches already this year, but last February I had to wait till that overrunning event for my 12 or 13 inches.  Everyone will get their chance which is why the annual snowfall averages throughout Oregon, Washington and SW BC are pretty similar.  It all averages out. 

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You act like it's never got cold and snowed here or it can't happen. February 2019 was years and years ago.

 

Yeah...I don't get it.  Besides that the last 3 Februaries have all had snow and some legit winter weather.  Furthermore the normal trend this season besides the last event is for the models to trend colder in the home stretch.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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For u.. you live in friccken snow zone Mecca!  :D  :) What you get there is not what 90% of us lowlanders do not. You my friend are in a exceptional spot.

 

Did you not have a cold / snowy Feb last winter?  To read your posts one would think not.  In recent years we also did very well with the Christmas snow in 2017 and the Feb snow in 2017.  But hey....it never snows here.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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At face value the GFS was a great run.  Really impressive Kona low digs up a hell of a ridge over the GOA during week 2.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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A lot of weather is luck. I've gotten 17 inches already this year, but last February I had to wait till that overrunning event for my 12 or 13 inches. Everyone will get their chance which is why the annual snowfall averages throughout Oregon, Washington and SW BC are pretty similar. It all averages out.

I ended up with around 36” of total snowfall for last February/March. Started February 3rd and ended March 12th. Solid snow cover from February 3rd until March 16th.

This year I’m at 12” so far.

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Did you not have a cold / snowy Feb last winter?  To read your posts one would think not.  In recent years we also did very well with the Christmas snow in 2017 and the Feb snow in 2018.  But hey....it never snows here.

Yep, been year after year after epicness and nothing else! How dare I even think other than that! Forgive me for offending you! 

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I ended up with around 36” of total snowfall for last February/March. Started February 3rd and ended March 12th. Solid snow cover from February 3rd until March 16th.

This year I’m at 12” so far.

There was 23.5” in February and March last year at my house. Snowcover for about 3 weeks. Had 1.5” of snow in March as well.
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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Yep, been year after year after epicness and nothing else! How dare I even think other than that! Forgive me for offending you!

But Buddy never gets upset. You could use more syrup in your spaghetti.
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Yeah it’s not like most places up here had 2 feet of snow in 3 days a little less than a year ago. Most places south of Seattle got 1-2 inches of snow still this year...which is more than pretty much all the Oregon posters.

 

Nah. Never snows in Bonney Lake, or the rest of Puget Sound. Sorry :(

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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But Buddy never gets upset. You could use more syrup in your spaghetti.

It had Been a bad blood sugar, crashing winter so far.  :P Your location has gotten plenty of white sugar goodness so you should be happy. So share some of that sugar with Buddy. 

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Nah. Never snows in Bonney Lake, or the rest of Puget Sound. Sorry :(

Uhm no... lol! I love these circle jerk statements ...  You said that not me! Such a typical passive aggressive statement. It does snow here silly... we also get missed to. We shall see what happens next and I am skeptical, but I never said it would not happen. 
 

yes I love snow, yes this last event was disappointing, and honestly really disappointing for Oregon and I feel for you all down there. I hope this potential delivers and you get dumped on! I want everyone to score!!!  :D  :)  :wub:

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,

Uhm no... lol! I love these circle jerk statements ... You said that not me! Such a typical passive aggressive statement. It does snow here silly... we also get missed to. We shall see what happens next and I am skeptical, but I never said it would not happen.

Sorry, just a bit annoyed when people who get utterly slammed last year and came close to doing well are already complaining. Like, we didn't get anything, so...

 

But yeah, I feel for ya. We just need to get everyone in on it this time.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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March 8th 2019!

 

We peaked with a 20" depth on the 9th of March, 2019. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Sorry, just a bit annoyed when people who get utterly slammed last year and came close to doing well are already complaining. Like, we didn't get anything, so...

 

But yeah, I feel for ya. We just need to get everyone in on it this time.

I get you!  :mellow:  :( ... I really really hope you can get something!!!!! Bro hugs  ;)

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Sorry, just a bit annoyed when people who get utterly slammed last year and came close to doing well are already complaining. Like, we didn't get anything, so...

 

But yeah, I feel for ya. We just need to get everyone in on it this time.

 

We had 63.1" in February and March last year. 52.2" in February 10.9" in March. 

 

Aren't you around 900'? I would imagine you did okay? 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just looked at last nights 00z GFS ensembles. Massive improvement since then.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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EURO doesn't look good. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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We had 63.1" in February and March last year. 52.2" in February 10.9" in March. 

 

Aren't you around 900'? I would imagine you did okay? 

 

Oh, I had nary a snowflake this year for the most part. A very light dusting early on, but nothing really after that.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Oh my goodness, snow wiz is not going to like this run. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Oh, I had nary a snowflake this year for the most part. A very light dusting early on, but nothing really after that.

 

Last February and March all you had was a dusting?! 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Man I’m depressed tonight. Been surrounded by death since New Years and this just continues the theme.

 

I don’t really believe in this stuff, but I’m thinking back to that dead bird on the deck yesterday. Three times that has happened, and each time, the next day we received word that someone died (the previous two being my grandfather and my friend Monica). So I guess I was only half joking when I inquired as to whether it was a bad omen.

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Up to .27” of perfect rainfall on the day. .25” early this morning while I slept...Dry and breezy all day so I had a chance to do some things outside, and now showers again tonight as I get ready for bed. I will take that any day in January! Though I just remembered that I left my loppers way out in the woods along the property line...Not going out tonight to get them, they needed a good cleaning and sharpening anyway.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Oh my goodness, snow wiz is not going to like this run.

It’s not that different in the long run.

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Oh my goodness, snow wiz is not going to like this run.

Oh boy...And Tim is on standby waiting to post most likely terrible EPS maps.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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