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June 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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The center of the meso low tracked over the Cedar Rapids area late this morning.  A small pocket of rain began to perk up as it reached me.  I picked up 0.25".  Once again, the far north side (broken record) got the brunt, picking up a quick 0.50-0.60".  My two-day total is now 0.85".  It's not as much as expected, but it's ok.

That's a decent amount. I only got a total of 0.47" with all of that falling yesterday. Probably over 1" only 4 miles west though. But I agree, this system was a big dud overall. Maybe we can get a little more on Monday. The models are pretty much clueless it seems like.

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Attm, it is 86F w a dp of 64F. Not too bad. Humidity levels are noticeable, which I can honestly say is pretty tolerable, considering it can be a lot more humid than this.

 

Btw: It is now officially "Summer." :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Luckily, the "Poor Air Quality Alert" has been lifted from my area thankfully.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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One last tiny cell this evening passed over my house and dropped another 0.12", boosting my 2-day total to 0.97".

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Happy Father's Day to all those special dad's out there!  Looks like mother nature may fire up some late day boomers across the Plains and parts of the MW later today/tonight.  Some of the CAM"s are showing some strong, training storms across parts of IA and a nasty potential long-lived MCS that develops across KS and head S/SE towards E OK.  James's place may got rocked again later tonight as the nocturnal jet fires up.

 

Our guy @OkWx is in store for not 1, but 2 rounds of storms over the next couple days.

 

rgem_apcpn_ncus_36.png

 

 

nam3km_apcpn_ncus_17.png

 

 

 

Enhanced Risk showing up for KS as they prepare for what could be a big ticket severe wx action day.

 

day1otlk-overview.gif

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Some of the models are suggesting tonight's storms may mostly pass north and south of my area.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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No rain here at my house yet. We went up to Bay City yesterday to get some Michigan strawberries and on the way back home there was a heavy thunderstorm in Midland. The high in Bay City yesterday was 91. The Saginaw river is still high but Midland the water is now all down.  Currently it is 76 here with a DP of 68 and the skies are cloudy at this time.
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Happy Father's Day to all those special dad's out there! Looks like mother nature may fire up some late day boomers across the Plains and parts of the MW later today/tonight. Some of the CAM"s are showing some strong, training storms across parts of IA and a nasty potential long-lived MCS that develops across KS and head S/SE towards E OK. James's place may got rocked again later tonight as the nocturnal jet fires up.

 

Our guy @OkWx is in store for not 1, but 2 rounds of storms over the next couple days.

 

rgem_apcpn_ncus_36.png

 

 

nam3km_apcpn_ncus_17.png

 

 

 

Enhanced Risk showing up for KS as they prepare for what could be a big ticket severe wx action day.

 

day1otlk-overview.gif

Could get a little bumpy down here. The atmosphere is feeling pretty primed already.

Either way it goes. Drought risks looking postponed until late July at this point for my backyard.

 

Green Country is still green and beautiful as ever.

 

Happy Father's day, men. This nation needs great fathers now more than ever. You are a precious treasure.

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It is mostly cloudy attm. Ahh, feels great to have a cloudcover for a change. I think I need a break from all of this sunshine  recently. Temp is 82F w a dew of 66F. Not too bad in terms of humidity (noticeable).

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hoping for some t'stms later today and tomorrow, possibly even on Tuesday b4 some slightly cooler (back to almost near normal), drier air moves in along w sunnier skies returning as well.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

412 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-220815-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

412 AM EDT Sun Jun 21 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

There is a chance of thunderstorms today as a weak frontal boundary

pushes across the region. Severe weather is not expected but brief

heavy downpours will be possible. Storm motion will be northeast

around 25 mph.

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

 

There is a chance of thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday as an

upper level low becomes increasingly organized over the Upper Great

Lakes. No severe weather is anticipated.

 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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An hour ago I was thinking that it seems and feels more like a typical summer day with the potential of stronger storms with the muggy atmosphere, strong sunshine, and a southerly breeze. Some storms are starting to fire already though they’ll probably remain very scattered. Maybe we can get something to blow through later tonight, but probably in a weakening state.

 

Last evening an overnight I had more near misses from scattered storms. The first isolated cell just grazed as usual around 9:00 pm. with plenty of thunder and lightning to the sw. and barely a tenth of rain. The rest just missed after midnight.

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Just now an outflow from earlier storms finally made it here from the southeast. Another outflow is moving south further east. Both are visible on COD radar. It was calm, but this breeze feels good.

 

Storms are beginning to develop further south into central Iowa. My guess is CR should get something tonight but who knows.

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Just now an outflow from earlier storms finally made it here from the southeast. Another outflow is moving south further east. Both are visible on COD radar. It was calm, but this breeze feels good.

 

Storms are beginning to develop further south into central Iowa. My guess is CR should get something tonight but who knows.

 

The latest HRRR doesn't show anything south of the hw20 corridor until after midnight.  We'll see.

 

James could get something in the next hour or so.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Looking like bust for eastern Nebraska so far and according to cams.storms over Kansas are stealing our moisture

An enhanced risk = another bust for Eastern Nebraska. A lousy Winter snow season here followed by a lousy severe weather/storm season, can 2020 just end already?

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The latest HRRR doesn't show anything south of the hw20 corridor until after midnight. We'll see.

 

James could get something in the next hour or so.

I noticed but figured it's not right to often.Yeah they are not really back building. Earlier today the HRRR was showing good rainfall into southern Iowa, but it keeps changing.
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It looks like it's Waterloo's turn as heavy storms sag into the metro area.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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James is getting another good storm.

 

I don't think the big line is going to sag southward enough to hit me.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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James is getting another good storm.

 

I don't think the big line is going to sag southward enough to hit me.

To me it looks like they could if they keep sagging and back building. But sometimes sagging ends once they weaken. There's a cell west of CR already or down to hwy. 30.
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This tail end should pass just north of me. A few tiny cells have started up in northern Mo. Maybe it'll meet or fill in with the big line once it's east of me. Think I should get to bed.

 

I'd like to go to bed as well, but now I can't with the storms knocking on the door.  It will take a while for the storms to pass by, too.  I will be tired tomorrow.

 

There is certainly plenty of lightning to the wnw.  With the storms now backbuilding, it's looking better for me.  They don't have to sag much farther south.  The back of the line, however, is still trying to lift northeast.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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