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February Snow Contest


50shadesofvan

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Up late, and figured I'd start a contest for February snow accumulations for three key cities along the west coast (Vancouver BC, Seattle, and Portland).

 

What's on the line? Pride...plus a cool shirt. Enter here: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/1/28/snowfecta-february-snow-contest

The Rules:

 

To enter: The participant must use the provided Google Form (see link) to submit answers to the nearest tenth of an inch/cm, and must denote which unit was used. Once the form is submitted the guesses are final. The contest begins on January 29th at 12:00 am PST and ends on January 31st at 11:59 PST. One (1) entry per participant for the entire contest period, and by entering you agree that you have read these specific contest rules.

Eligibility: Must be human (sorry, no bots). This contest is organized by the owner of 50 Shades of Van, and the owner reserves the right to change or cancel the contest at any time and is not responsible for failed, incomplete, or delayed computer transmission that interferes with a participants entry. 

Prize: One (1) prize will be awarded consisting of one (1) 50 Shades of Van t-shirt, similar to the design above (may not be identical). Contest winner is responsible for paying shipping and handling if outside Canada or the USA. 

Winner: The winner will be selected based on who submits the 'most correct response' as determined by the owner and verified using official sources. All answers will be converted to centimetres rounding to the nearest tenth. If there is more than one correct submission, a random number generator will be used to select a winner. 

Privacy: E-mail addresses and names will not be shared, but the winner agrees to the publication of a first name and last initial, should they be selected as a winner. 

Good luck! 

http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/1/28/snowfecta-february-snow-contest

50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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I did a contest back in early January to see if people were receptive to contests on the blog platform. Had readers guess the maximum wind gust and it was pretty successful.

 

Plus, I think adding some friendly competition gets people engaged and talking about our weather a bit more.

50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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Good choices. I'm curious to see how many 0, 0, 0's there were. Once the contest closes I'll post the array of guesses for all to see. 

50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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"I'm out of the Contest"

 

I'm sorry, but I help but do this little post with that super long range snowfall map getting thrown around the internet today:

50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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I am feeling more optimistic about our snow chances, if only because it will give me something to look forward to in the next few months. I had every city at least over 2 inches of snow so I hope it pans out.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Vancouver: 3"

Seattle: 1"

Portland: 1"

 

(Eugene): 8"

 

It's possible. Eugene seems to do well late in the season in recent years compared to the other locations, except Vancouver...possibly.

 

Eugene has made up big time for their lousy 1996-2007 stretch in recent years. January 27, 2008, March 21, 2012, and December 6, 2013 all dumped on Eugene while producing much less in NW OR and western WA. 

 

I have a feeling that we're due for another turnaround and some of the places that haven't been landing big events recently will score with our next snow opportunity. Namely NW OR and parts of western WA and lower BC. Not Eugene  :P

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I may try to officially enter tomorrow.  Right now I will take a stab at it.  This might be more like Feb 1 through March 10 though.

 

Vancouver - 7.5"

Seattle - 5"

Portland - 3"

 

Kind of a middle of the road guess based on several models looking pretty cold for Feb.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I would rather drown in my own vomit then wear that shirt.

 

Hope it snows a lot this month!

 

Fair enough. Here's another mock-up:

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50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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Does it come in XXXXL? 

 

Yeah, I can probably make it happen...

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50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather
information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest

Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown

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With the models trends today I am hoping that my guesses were too low. It would be amazing if all three cities could end up with over 5 inches of snow in the next month.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Well it looks like many people will be busting unless they predicted a couple feet for Portland and none for Seattle/Vancouver. Month is not over yet and things could still change, but I definitely busted on the low side for PDX.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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