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Beautiful pattern here. Looks whet.

Timberline lodge is on fire?

Great looking Euro run tonight.

Gorgeous day with a 69/36 spread here. Light morning frost then gusty east winds, low DPs and crystal clear skies this afternoon.

The 00z CMC and GEFS both have that zonal/onshore flow pattern establishing during week-2. A J***e delight.

so...not all working people. I'm totally shocked the fraudster is a fraud with his words yet again.

That was my thought. Probably some cool finds.

Probably our most pleasant summer in a decade.

Get the metal detectors out!

It was just one comment and not exactly long range... it was a week out. Just to troll us.

Been saying this for awhile. 2024 will probably be the hottest summer on record for the lower-48. All forcing components are lining up in the worst way possible.

Where they have “equal chances” is probably where the warmest anomalies will end up. Lmao.

Huh? No I wasn’t. Unless it was an in-jest comment about a single long range model run.

This is what 2017 looked like on this date. LA NINA!

NOAA has been having a rough time lately. Horrible busts last winter on both the seasonal and subseasonal scales. Idk what their methodology is but it’s been failing them since the niño established. IIRC they rely heavily on the IRI which is notoriously bad when seasonal/LF forcing components destructively interfere w/ canonical EOFs (example: strong niño in tandem with -PMM).

Great sunset tonight. Cheers from Cashmere!

Whatever

16/17 was full blown niño-costero by Feb. Calling that winter a niña borders on criminal.

So Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian recently warned that his country's response to any retaliation by Israel would be “immediate and at a maximum level". So I guess? I guess the image I posted earlier today was pretty D**n timely, eh?

If it makes you feel any better, there hasn't been a major U.S. plane crash since 2009. An amazing testament to how safe air travel has become, almost down to a science. The bigger picture shows that even with the questionable recent record of certain companies, the safeguards are overwhelmingly doing their job.

Looks like a Pilatus!

Getting absolutely eaten alive by the mosquitoes tonight!

Yes... Nina summers have been so horrible lately. And Nina winters are often as good if not better than Ninos. Doesn't seem to matter much.

Has to be tough seeing a Nina coming.