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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest


Skagit Weather

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Give it a few years and we will have their climate.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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In January too. Impressive!

No doubt! Still in shock, heavy frost as well! Going to make frost Angels in the driveway before I go to work!

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Things don't look good on the ENSO front either. Just when all of the warm subsurface water was running out and a big tongue of cold subsurface water was about to upwell the SOI crashed and a WWB is in progress. That will probably create another warm Kelvin wave which will almost certain rekindle the El Nino. Hopefully some of that cold subsurface will still be able to reach the surface, but it will have a hard time now. If we have an El Nino next winter there is almost no chance the winter will have much worthwhile weather given the fact second year Nino winters always suck. A pretty grim situation for us right now if you like below normal temps.

 

I wish I had better news.

Who knows... Last winter was a second your La Nina and it sucked too. I do not think anything matters at this point as there are other factors than the Nino's and Nina's at play here that are screwing us with the ridge placement. The ridge is the primary reason for the horrible pattern and has been for some time. 

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:lol:

 

It's time to leave. Nothing else is going to work.

A +NAO under a high wavenumber regime = lol in the west.

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Who knows... Last winter was a second your La Nina and it sucked too. I do not think anything matters at this point as there are other factors than the Nino's and Nina's at play here that are screwing us with the ridge placement. The ridge is the primary reason for the horrible pattern and has been for some time.

Ding Ding Ding, we have a winner!

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Other than the windstorm last Saturday night this has to be one of the quietest January's I can remember! 

 

Feb 2011 redux!!! Lets hope.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Give it a few years and we will have their climate.

#itsthepattern

 

The overreaction to the unusual pattern we've been mostly stuck in over the past year is a bit comical. It's been incredibly persistent, no doubt. But things will change, they always do.

 

I know a lot of this is just weenie frustration and no current hope in the models. But c'mon, people, let's get a grip. If you're out of patience for something to change that is completely out if your control...maybe turn to an alternate hobby for awhile?

 

Just remember, this isn't some permanent change that won't get better. It's just a highly unusual and stubborn weather pattern. It will change, and being a weenie will be fun again.

A forum for the end of the world.

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#itsthepattern

 

Just remember, this isn't some permanent change that won't get better. It's just a highly unusual and stubborn weather pattern. It will change, and being a weenie will be fun again.

 

This is the new normal.

 

Waiting for the New York Times, Seattle Times, and WashingtonPost to publish a series of articles as to why we won't see snow again in our life time.

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Global cooling will commence any year now, right? ;)

Technically, it's been ongoing since 2001, based on the observed transition to a positive radiative imbalance since then..the deeper oceans have yet to fully equilibrate, though, as they're not in direct interplay with the ocean-atmosphere radiative exchange.

 

It'll take a little while longer to see a response in lower troposphere, given the thermal inertia of the upper oceanic mixing layer.

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Technically, it's been ongoing since 2001, based on the observed transition to a positive radiative imbalance since then..the deeper oceans have yet to fully equilibrate, though, as they're not in direct interplay with the ocean-atmosphere radiative exchange.

 

It'll take a little while longer to see a response in lower troposphere, given the thermal inertia of the upper oceanic mixing layer.

 

No question, no longer even a theory more just and only, hmn. (?) "Interesting".

 

No doubt, soon we'll see signs a bit more definite and specific then right. ?

---
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Ridging forever.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This is the new normal.

 

Waiting for the New York Times, Seattle Times, and WashingtonPost to publish a series of articles as to why we won't see snow again in our life time.

 

Some media source in the UK published an article in the early 2000s about how kids growing up in the UK would likely never get to see a snowfall.

 

They looked pretty silly a few years down the road.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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The only trough I'm familiar with is a thermal trough.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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