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That’s not true for me, but we’re all different I guess. We used to go skiing in UT and I enjoyed snow events there just as much as here. One of our trips actually lined up with a historic spring storm there, went to bed with strong SE winds and drizzle, woke up to 12-18” of snow and strong W/NW winds. I’m still salty I slept through the overnight chaos..the progression of weather conditions basically mirrored a strong miller-B nor’easter out here.

Nov/Dec maintained the weak niña base state, but that regime imploded in January. It was quite remarkable, actually. By February, the niño-costero signal was stronger than the preceding niña ever was. Then it abruptly collapsed in May/June, and a more substantial EPAC niña signal emerged during summer 2017 (though it was still disconnected from the PMM/IPWP state..the entire system state appeared disheveled and confused in the years following the 2015/16 super niño). I figured you guys would have some intellectual curiosity on that front, but apparently people would rather cling to preconceived notions because of how the weather behaved in their backyards. Sad.

True, but I will still write long winded manifestos every single chance I get!

Suffice to say... any weather you really enjoy is always better at home. Why we prefer not to travel in the summer.

Lake Washington with Puget Sound in the distance. Took off to the north then turned east right over downtown Seattle. We usually take off going south from SEA. But we usually fly in the cold season and the wind is typically from the SW in the winter. North wind today and I guess they prefer to take off into the wind.

I digress, as evidenced by my non-response. We all have our own unique oddities. Sometimes those oddities are weird weather preferences, sometimes it’s other stuff. No amount of debate on a weather forum will change that.

But you do that literally every day!

The 2016-17 Nino is the stuff of legend. Amazing how we pulled that off.

12z runs look great!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Snow at home is just fundamentally different. Never hits the same when you're on vacation.

Oh sweet, another excuse to blather on about our preferences!

Yikes! Hopefully nothing like that again

I don't care what you say. I would prefer it to be stormy and rainy at home when we are gone. I love our perfect days at home... like today... and would prefer not miss any of them. If it was going to be 68 and sunny at home this weekend I would much rather be at home than in 85 degree weather in Charleston. But it's going to be 52 and raining at home this weekend and I will love being in Charleston. And I think many people would prefer to be home for a 4 inch snowstorm over a 12 inch snowstorm elsewhere. It's more special at home.

I deny fairytales, yes. 2016/17 wasn’t a niña. Niño 3.4 was in positive territory before the end of January. Look at SSTA maps from Feb-Apr 2017. Legit niño-costero signature in both SSTAs and OLR/atmospheric circulation.

But you’ll see more sunny/70+ wx in SC than you would in WA. So what are you missing? I don’t get it. If I was missing a 4” snow event here but traveling somewhere where a 12”+ snowstorm was headed, I wouldn’t be salty about “missing” the 4” one. That’s just weird.

California is in a dire situation. Horrific drought and reservoirs are bone dry. No way they can be saved. California is dead. Not coming alive.

2016-17 was another good water year for CA which happened during a multi year nina phase. Which of course you deny.

I just love how California is not forgotten either. The west is coming alive!

Tropical forcing was already El Niño like by spring 2023, despite the lack of an official declaration. January 2023 was an intraseasonal event but was also a harbinger of things to come. Couldn’t know this in real time, but the ocean/atmosphere system had already made up its mind about where it was going at that point.

I wouldn't want to miss a sunny 70-degree weekend at home in April. Supply of those perfect days is limited... and always prefer to have stormy/rainy weather at home when we are gone.

There was no El Nino in spring 2023 and it was one of our coolest and cloudiest springs on record. It's extremely rare to have the jacarandas not bloom until late June or early July here, but that's what happened last year.

Like Phishy says, let’s check back in in a couple weeks.

Can I this one a J***e pattern? If it isn’t, I can’t imagine what would meet the criteria.

I’ll never forget how it snowed on May 9th, 2020. Absolutely obliterated 850mb cold records with that one. Why does it matter if you’re traveling somewhere even warmer/sunnier? It’s not like you’re missing a snowstorm or something. You mean El Niño? Sadly yes, it is on its deathbed.

Are you going to read it?