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Sitting in the corner rocking back and forth assuring himself everything will be ok

The ski resorts on Mount Hood are getting some good snow this evening. Nice to see!

I don't think it's an issue with him being realistic or dealing with reality. Let's face it--many are on here in the winter months because they like snow--nothing wrong with that. And he interprets the models and other information he has at his disposal in such a manner that demonstrates a way to get what many most of the board wants. He seldom says, "It's going to do this" or anything of the sort. Rather, he provides a roadmap, if you will, of a process which could ultimately deliver the goods. There's nothing wrong with that--and I don't think he needs to be put in his place for his efforts. That said, I know most of the board gets along with him, and it's not necessarily ill-will that's directed to him. But certainly can appear that way even if not intended. I think he (and others who put in the effort) should get a pass. I love reading his posts--and often times, you have good info yourself. I would hate to see him run off (or anyone for that matter) simply because a few choose to dismiss his efforts. On a lighter note, it looks like the Euro is behaving!

The problem isn't his predictions or uncooperative weather. It's people making sure he knows, at the end of the day, he's going to be wrong--which is really easy to do out here. All you have to do is argue climatology while playing the devils advocate with the Euro's overhead coverage just for good measure--85 percent of the time one can be right and then simply say "told you so" while mocking him until the cows come home. But really, what is accomplished? The capacity to point to him and say he's wrong? I would rather have him discuss the positive aspects (and yes, the negative too) because it's clear he really likes what he's doing--and he's pretty doggone good at it. But we all know it's way too easy to be irresponsible with other people's feelings while sitting behind a keyboard--which is why I'm very very careful about what I post. If I give up too much of my soul over here, someone will take advantage of that weakness--just like they did with him. I would rather eat glass.

waxing his ski's and tuning up the snow blower.

I would rather drown in my own vomit than wear that shirt. Hope it snows a lot this month!

Quite an upside, but it's a rickety pattern... Maybe this will be our January 2011 strike out payoff!

fyi majority of the ggem ensembles are farther west than the op ggem and stronger some sub 998 others around 1000 or so

Indeed it has Tony and coming in very juicy...6-11" totals for N IL...coming in line with what Skilling's map showed.

You don't know how good you guys have it. This weekend, Tuesday, and the another one after that. Been a hell of a winter up there.

Ended up getting 3.5-4". The HRRR model at midnight lastnight did pretty well with the snow totals. Getting -SN again. May pick up another inch tonight.

18z GFS ensembles are mostly inline with the 18z OP. One takes the low right over Chicago lol 3 don't have the storm or are way weak and SE and the rest are similar or a tad east of the OP gfs. Basically what you expect 150+ hours out What is dif. is that its farther nw than 12z ensembles

Not that it matters because you are liberty to post whatever you want, but doesn't it get boring typing the exact same post one after another? It seems like at least four posts in three pages about how you like heavy rain as opposed to light rain would get a little tiring, but whatever. I am very happy to hear you are enjoying rain because it is nice to learn to live with the climate we are stuck in. Oh, and .83" here. And I know the posts are out of order, but oh well.

18z ensembles are definitely a bit better the 12z. Operational is also a couple degrees warmer than the ensemble mean. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png

I've been happy with this storm as well. The mountain snow has been fun to watch and we've actually been shadowed up here so it's barely drizzled all day. But there is simply no mechanism by which this storm overperforming could possibly affect the amount of rain we see a month from now. You always tout the importance of remaining objective and grounded in our weather analysis, but your statements about wishing for more rain now to avoid being due for rain later simply are not supported by any evidence I have ever seen.

i love this guy.

18z GFS showing another major storm right on its heals 2-3 days later hitting same areas...

It has more potential to keep on going too. NAO will be near +1 by then. Rather get a couple good systems with wetter snow vs. these dinky 1-3" powder events that compact down right away. Just to show how much moisture the GGEM is showing through 174 hours.

Tim, stop antagonizing Jim. You've beat this horse to death. We get that you seek enjoyment in making sure Jim's (albeit unrealistic) model interpretation are disproven. But at the same time, at what point does the sound of Jim's broken record of "the cold is coming" get overtaken by the sound of your "Jim's wrong"? How about we focus more on the models and less on trying to embarrass one another, and that goes for both Jim and Tim. Jim needs to stop harping on posters who don't see an excitably cold solution, and Tim needs to stop harping on the overly optimistic posters (albeit they did antagonize him initially, and we know Tim is overdramatize). Cut the ** for tat; discuss the weather like big boys. Thanks.

Sorry, I can stop with the OT posts if necessary. I guess it's just because I'd be talking to myself over there, and no one wants to listen to my advice on how to grow this community into an American-Wx caliber population.

Wow....http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3XzRHLYE0Y#t=58