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For you Blackhawk fans...

- .. Difficult to tell certainly at times, with just what capacity you're in fact "delivering" the insights / news that you do. .. "ranting" from here above, for one. (Certainly questionable.) And then, "... where the super-niño originated" .. "from". (?) (Why not just add, "obviously", while you're at it. ? / Certainly no "in fact" attached to what you've suggested here. .. And how 'bout, the "idea" of, a super-niño originated, perhaps, otherwise. ?) — Any of this above making any sense to you. ? .. If not, .. How about expressing your thinking / views more main, a bit more "evenly" and with attached references / supports more initially, before conjecturing on top of, or coloring them up more. Or, is it in fact your intent more, just to stir up whatever controversy, before showing up with your own more "clear" thinking. Ultimately, as it were. (?)

The subsurface warm pool continues to shrink with no new areas of warm subsurface anomalies to replace it. Pretty good cold subsurface anoms west of 180. If we have any Nino by winter it will be weak to moderate at best. I still say a 25% or so chance we will have no Nino by winter.

These cool shots have been over played in the models. I wouldn't be surprised if the cold shot in 7 days remains a fantasy. Looks like some highs in the 60s next week, but that's pretty normal for mid May. High 74° today. Was a A+ spring day. Little t-storm action followed by warm and drier air. Few pictures I took on a short walk through the woods outside of Kenosha yesterday.