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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/26/16 in all areas

  1. You moving to the east coast would probably get the job done.
    5 points
  2. We don't talk about 2008 here in Eugene. Instead, we discuss March 2012, December 2013, and Feb 2014.
    3 points
  3. I believe it will be highly doubtful Nebraskans see a winter like 2013-14. The storm track will be in the vicinity this season instead of a dominant NW Flow that year ('13-'14). The entire pattern is different, but there are certain "parts" that resemble a 2013-14 season. I think you could say that the "cold" part of 2013-14 will be present this season, but the "storm track" certainly not from that season.
    3 points
  4. Do you talk like this? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vjB3wiZKAA#t=0m30s
    2 points
  5. I don't necessarily think the Seattle area has more horrible drivers than anywhere else. I think much of it has more to do with the geography of our hwys. Most major cities in the midwest have freeways that radiate in all directions in a circular type pattern. Seattle unfortunately is confined to mostly north south orientation, and there is no room to really build a good grid to disperse traffic (for better or worse).
    2 points
  6. If I would have known about myself what I know now, back in 2004-2005ish, I would have definitely strived to go to school for atmospheric sciences. This stuff amazes me everyday. You never know whats going to happen. I can imagine getting paid to analyze the weather and make predictions based on the behavior the atmosphere on a day to day basis. Just sounds intriguing and fascinating to me.
    2 points
  7. The moss on my front entry cement steps is really taking off! Much earlier than normal, I would say based on that we are going to be in for it 1990 style at least!!
    2 points
  8. Last winter here at my house I got a wild hair and decided to try and run down my 1/8 mile long driveway in my underwear when it was 8 degrees outside. Got about 1/2 way and said nope and ran back. I'm not saying alcohol was not involved.....
    2 points
  9. Its hard to say. Increasing UHI influence on the PDX sensor has been an ongoing process, one that has noticeably picked up in pace starting sometime in the 1980's-1990's. I would say that as recently as the early 1990's, PDX had a noticeably easier time cooling off during calm, clear nights compared to any time following. From Wikipedia: In 1974 the south runway was extended to 11,000 feet (3,400 m) to service the newest jumbo jets. The terminal building was renovated and expanded in 1977....By the 1980s, the terminal building began an extensive renovation in order to update PDX to meet future needs. The ticketing and baggage claim areas were renovated and expanded, and a new Concourse D for Alaska Airlines was added in 1986. Concourse E was first to be reconstructed in 1992, and featured PDX's first moving sidewalks....The early 1990s saw a food court and extension added to Concourse C, and the opening of the new Concourse D in 1994....An expanded parking garage, new control tower, and canopy over the curbside were finished in the late 1990s. The obvious implication here is that more and more concrete was added to the local area from every phase of construction. In addition, a large amount of development has taken place immediately adjacent to PDX since the 1990's. Ambassador Place, a four story office building immediately south of Airport Way (and within sight of the east end of Runway 28R), was developed in 1996. Adjacent Embassy Suites, an even larger structure, was completed in 1999. Both have fairly large parking lots. An office park directly to the south was built in 1990. This landscape had been fields/prairie up until that time. Then of course we had the development of Cascade Station, which was completed between 2007-09. The nearby FBI Regional Field Office was built around 2012-13. And just in the past two years, several new warehouses (along with large parking lots to allow for semi trucks maneuvering in and out) have been built in what had been fields immediately south of Cascade Station. So there's been a constant stream of development immediately adjacent to PDX over the last 25 years. Up until 1990, the southeastern buffer zone to PDX was almost entirely natural landscapes, and I would venture to guess that at least 50% of this zone has been turned over to buildings and pavement since that time. Which would explain why the UHI effect at PDX noticeably increased during the 1990's compared to decades prior, and why it has seemingly increased even further during the last 10 years.
    2 points
  10. When you are getting dry, brutally cold Fraser outflow that means areas to the south could be getting buried with snow, though. Think about the diversity!
    2 points
  11. 2 points
  12. http://www.21stcentech.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/winter-2014-eastern-North-America.jpg http://i.imwx.com/web/multimedia/images/blog/2013-14Summary/D-J-Fanom.jpg Winter 2013-14 pic!
    2 points
  13. Coldest I've ever experienced was -20 F in the BC interior. Wind chill of -41 F. In wind sheltered areas it's really not bad--very refreshing. I've even done X-country skiing in temperatures that cold. But even the lightest wind can destroy it--it just stings. Best snowstorm of my life really isn't just one--but rather the series of snow storms in that one week in December 2008. I recall having 20" of snow IMBY at the height of it. I still think the coldest, most unpleasant weather is a 33 F day in the PNW with rain and wind. That damp cold just cannot be avoided, no matter what you wear. On top of the disappointment that you were *this* close to frozen precip...
    2 points
  14. It has sure been a very mild month of October across the entire region. But something is lurking up above..something menacing. Many have kept up with the incredible blocking we have had all month. This blocking has been so impressive that the polar vortex is even weakened at a record level for this early in the season. We have some indications that the polar vortex will actually split as we head into November. I think the writing is pretty much on the wall for a very cold November, atleast by the 2nd half of the month. Could we see a snowstorm sometime around or before Thanksgiving this year? I believe we are currently being played for suckers by mother nature and she is getting ready to unleash the floodgates on us. This is the "it's way too calm" before the storm. Discuss!!!!!
    1 point
  15. Just for fun I rolled the 0z analogs forward to the best pattern of each winter. Pretty nice composite!
    1 point
  16. You guys did a lot better with that event. I had only about 1/2" of snow the day after thanksgiving 2014. I had 1.5" of snow the Tuesday before Thanksgiving last year, and then several lows in the teens later in the week. I actually had a pipe under the house break. We were all bundled up at the Civil War game the day after Thanksgiving last year, it was something like 44/19 at EUG that day...Good memories...Back when Oregon was not a complete joke at football...lol
    1 point
  17. Unprecedented corruption of the QBO, deepest October -AO on record, deepest yearly -IOD in (at least) the satellite era, most active EPAC hurricane season on record through July (then it shuts off for the least active A/S/O on record), etc.. Just has that feel to it.
    1 point
  18. Wow, nice! Didn't have quite that much here last winter. Depth was between 30-40" after this one, and it melted fast. The 2009/10 winter is our benchmark, though. Between January 29th and February 10th, four separate snowstorms delivered a whopping 5-7 feet across the area, with two of the storms also producing frequent lightning. The last storm on 2/10 delivered convective snow banding and hurricane force winds in some areas. Most amazing storm of my life..will never forget it. In hindsight I really took that winter for granted I think. I still have some pics if you're interested. There were drifts literally covering people's garages and houses. The one-story house on Helmsdale road was literally buried on one side.
    1 point
  19. Thats exactly right. Look at the bottleneck at the Convention center. That is the main culprit for the DAILY traffic nightmares heading southbound on I-5....
    1 point
  20. Sounds like fun. It's funny...technically we could fill 10,000 pages with mathematics attempting to represent the equilibrative progression of the climate system over one week, and we'd still be missing or parameterizing 99.999^infinity(%) of the process. I definitely don't envy the programmers at NCEP/ECMWF.
    1 point
  21. Your getting into theoretical load calculation mathematics that we use when attempting to estimate the weight of an object being lifted with a crane that has no data of its weight when installed. Like a refinery Pressure vessel installed in the 60's... Trying to estimate the amount of material that has worn away with time and diminished the overall gross weight. We use theoretical load calculations to determine the correct crane to arrive on site as well as the proper safety precautions. Lots of dynamic variables that are almost always unable to be calculated even to the roughest...
    1 point
  22. SLE up to 10.10" of rain on the month now. Just about an inch below their all-time record for the month.
    1 point
  23. It will probably fluctuate between Ninoish and Ninaish this winter. The big question is where will the super block that is likely this winter set up.
    1 point
  24. Only the third snowiest January on record for SEA and about half the month was cold. He can sure downplay things!
    1 point
  25. Quite interesting that in spite of the pattern looking so horrible in early November almost of the analogs are from seasons that delivered serious cold. 1983 and 1953 really showing up big right now. A hybrid of those two would be really nice. 1953-54 is a winter that doesn't get the recognition it deserves.
    1 point
  26. 1 point
  27. We haven't had a white Christmas here since the mid 80's. Based on how many new hairs have established growth on my back this year, I think we have a great shot.
    1 point
  28. Currently, it's 70 degrees in Eugene. Feels nice. It will almost certainly be the last 70 of 2016.
    1 point
  29. Not too far north of Grand Rapids (if I understand correctly) https://www.facebook.com/amy.m.labar/videos/10207574745907795/
    1 point
  30. Got to see the Aurora last night, a nice green band stretching from east to west across the sky. It wasn't as active as some we've had recently, but it was a nice treat to the end of a busy night at work. Didn't really see it on the drive home until I pulled off the highway and into the neighborhood because of all the lights on the road. If you look on the facebook group "Juneau Photo Group" you can see some pictures others took.
    1 point
  31. My area received a widespread soaker overnight. Models wavered in the 0.50-1.00" qpf range, but we ended up getting 1.41". It has been a very dry month, so it was welcome. Neither the GFS nor Euro has another freeze chance through the first week of November. It's nice to see the flowers going so long.
    1 point
  32. Detroit was not a bad place to be (for the most part) back in the 1950’s and early 60’s, When I was a kid in the late 1950” and even in the early to mid 60’s we used to go to the Tiger games and take a bus to Detroit and walk from the bus station to the ball park (more the a mile) to the park. Would not do that now
    1 point
  33. Hi everyone, new guy here at the forum, have been lurking aorund for a few months and decided to finally join. I don't know much about the science of weather, but I sure do enjoy observing it and was delighted to find some cold and snow lovers! I am outside of Milwaukee - it's been raining steadily here since about midnight - inch and a half so far, 45 degrees and heavy grey skies, leaves falling from the trees. A great day, the only thing that could have made it better were if it were coming down as snow rather than rain!
    1 point
  34. True, also known as Tri-County Area. I sometimes go downtown to the casinos and gamble once awhile, or to some nice restaurants by the riverfront. Detroit is getting better, but, still needs some work to be done. Back in the 70s, Detroit was considered #1 city, not sure if it will ever get to that position,but, its striving for it.
    1 point
  35. The coldest I've dealt with was in the -20's F in Western Montana, but that was not my most miserable experience. My most miserable cold was helping with a cattle drive over Thanksgiving (my wife's family has a ranch there). It was only in the single digits but there was a stiff wind blowing through the canyon we had to traverse. I was lucky enough to be driving the follow truck (with the "cattle drive ahead" sign on the back). Of course the guys on horseback had it alot worse that I did, but they also had proper clothing for the conditions, where I did not. I also had to keep the windows down to hear they guys on horseback, and the heater did not really work. The family house was built up from the original homestead, the bedroom we slept in was scabbed on and did not have a lot of insulation, or a heat source other than an electric oil heater. With all the wind that trip I don't think the room warmed to more than 35-38 degrees. My wife and I are both hot sleepers but that trip we wore socks, gloves, sweatshirt, sweat pants, piled under 2-3 thick blankets and still our butts off. My mother in law told stories of waking up as a child with snow on her bed during blizzards (it would blow through gaps in the windows and walls.) They've sealed things up better over the years but its still pretty d**n cold on those bedrooms. The time we stayed there when it went into the -20's we stayed at a hotel, so we had a warm place to sleep.
    1 point
  36. PDX has an inch to go to reach their monthly record. I think they'll manage to squeak past it.
    1 point
  37. @ Niko The roller-coaster ride gets steeper the deeper we go in this autumn. One of these days these swings are going to happen just right to cause something to go big me thinks.
    1 point
  38. Ironically, when you look at the same time stamp back in October '13, you have a similar looking snow pack building in SE Canada... http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201310/nsm_depth_2013102605_National.jpg
    1 point
  39. You and me both! It's crazy to know the Trick O' Treaters will be walking around the neighborhood Monday, and before you know it, the clocks go back 1 hour on November 6th and the days get shorter! CFSv2 also agrees on a wet pattern into Week 2...a very active pacific jet will blast the NW U.S. coastline... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-avg/2016102600/cfs-avg_apcpna_us_2.png
    1 point
  40. Best i've ever experiences is 9*f (12/22/08) and 10 (1/3/04) . When i was 3 months old it got down to 5*f on Lake Whatcom (2/1/89) only reason I know about this is because my Dad has it on camera. He's recording the yard covered in snow and all the 4 wheeling tracks abd says, "it's 9* right now, all the way up from 5* this morning."... nostalgia...anyways.... all had at least 3" snow cover. Coldest non snowcover low was I think 19 in December 2005 during a long inversion... can't remember how cold it got during 2009... overnight lows were mediocre in the North Sound though.
    1 point
  41. Granted the coldest it got while I lived there most winters was -15 to -20. Coldest airport temp was -29 back in Jan 2009 I believe.
    1 point
  42. That is a bit surprising. Most places in WA east of the Cascades can easily drop below zero with no snow cover except the southern part of the Basin, and even they can pull it off sometimes.
    1 point
  43. The rule of thumb in SE Idaho is no sub-zero lows without snow-cover, at least in the Snake River Valley. I've seen plenty of positive single digits with no snow however. 1" depth works as well as 12" for this purpose. Of course in areas with strong cold air advection out of the arctic, such as the northern Plains or Canadian prairies sub-zero readings can occur with no snow cover. Such is not the case west of the Rockies outside of localized frost hollows at fairly high elevations. I can always identify near zero or below because my nose hairs start to accrete some tiny ice crystals (via normal breathing) which produces a sort of "itchy" feeling in my nostrils.
    1 point
  44. There hasn't been a decent snow event here since Jan 2012, probably the same in your area. So far this year has been looking a lot better for rainfall in California, a big turnaround from previous years.
    1 point
  45. DUDE! My neighbor literally just showed me picture of my house from when the previous owners lived here....4 and a half FEET of snow on the ground on January 15th 2013....... INSANE amount of snow pack! They told me that it was a good winter that year. Sheesh I thought last winter for us (1st winter here) was decent......22" on the ground at the deepest point.
    1 point
  46. 51 and a tstorm here. Full on wind and lightning! Dynamics in late October, baby!
    1 point
  47. 100mph sounds a tad breezy. How do they manage to keep a roof on the house in that area? We rarely see over 85mph straight line winds. Tornadic get higher. Oh, and if you get those books, feel free to share the back story. Doesn't bother me. I'd be interested in their insights.
    1 point
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