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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/25/20 in Posts

  1. Not only a solid snow event, but one falling primarily during the day? I'm down.
    6 points
  2. For the second day in a row there is a snow squall warning in Kansas, this time in the Goodland vicinity. There is also a special weather statement for a strong snow squall northeast of the Wichita area. I can't recall this ever happening before unless it was back in the 1960s or 1970s (when I was a kid). This could have been a monster storm if all the pieces had come together correctly. There is heavy snow falling to my southwest - normally a good sign of things to come - but I likely won't see a flake. Crazy...
    5 points
  3. I think we can put to rest the line of thinking that goes, "Oooh, look, a warm blob in the northeast Pacific! Winter in the east is going to be awesome!"
    5 points
  4. Twitter reports of 6-10" from Johnson Lake to Cozad Nebraska both in Dawson County.
    4 points
  5. Just like that, heavy snow has moved in. Visibility at 1/2 and dropping. Winds gusting to 35 MPH. How long will it last is the question.
    3 points
  6. Haha, was such a busy Monday I couldn't follow after my early morning post(s). First bolded portion is why GRR hates synoptic systems and their challenges. While not a science focused AFD, they at least did a decent write-up overnight wrt models/trends/scenario
    3 points
  7. About an inch on grass and colder surfaces...pavement is to warm and wet. The warmth from the past couple days really did a number on the frozen ground. I just can’t help but think what this storm “could” have been when they were flashing those big totals. The wind is howling and blowing the snow sideways. Yet again, we have a storm with marginal temps and warm ground.
    2 points
  8. Missed some of these amounts by 1 county to my south, southwest, and west. Of course. https://twitter.com/NWSHastings/status/1232401882112495621?s=20
    2 points
  9. Well our snow stopped about 1:30. Probably got close to 2" but lots of blowing and some melting it would be a little less imo. I guess this is the winter we're having and nothing we can do about it.
    2 points
  10. It's really going to take off once the energy phases. It's a shame that rarely happens around here.
    2 points
  11. This march looks like worst case for me. Warm start to ruin my ski hill, then cool off so I can't go out on the lake. EDIT: Also, this winter doesn't seem like it was that bad looking at snowfall totals. It just felt really bad because December was a big fat nothing and we got ahead in average so fast because of the Halloween storm. I think this winter is a good lesson in trusting models too much. An early snow is almost always a bad sign for winter being snowy and cold. And this one would have ended up below average if it weren't for the early one giving the stats a big boost. In my gut I knew we were in trouble when we got an early snow, but the models kept teasing us.
    2 points
  12. What a difference a year makes. 27” of snow last year in February. Not even 1” (.8”) this year.
    2 points
  13. While falling thru the cracks of WPC's d3-7 hazards map, I did actually get on NOAA's day-2 for Hvy Snow fwiw..
    2 points
  14. The only chance I have at maybe 1-2", I'd guess less, is from another snow band north of Grand Island moving to the Southwest. Always interesting when you see precipitation moving northeast to southwest or east to west.
    2 points
  15. Very very foggy out. That usually precedes a big storm, so I'm starting to get excited. 35°F, rain supposed to start this afternoon with a changeover tonight.
    2 points
  16. Bust here. Not 1 flake. The snow band set up 15 miles south, west, and northwest and sat for the night. It continued to move west southwest. NWS Hastings started trimming away counties on the east side of WWA and I'm sure more are coming. Been a rough winter for forecasters around here, and I know other places in the forum. Many schools have late starts or are closed just to my west. There have been unconfirmed reports of 6-10" in this band. This is the band that was predicted to sit over my county. Well, what can you do. Weather will do what it's gonna do. Frustrated. This is why I wasn't banking on this last night.
    2 points
  17. CLE suddenly cares about this, as evidenced by the watch
    2 points
  18. Not sure why but my office has issued a wwa for up to 2 in of snow, I think I'll be hard pressed to get a dusting.
    2 points
  19. Thank you for the maps, Tom. 06z RGEM also supportive of 6-8" here. Thinking that's where it will land with an outside shot at some double digit totals. Unless the Ukie is right...
    2 points
  20. 00z Euro...@ Hoosier/Niko/Toledo, looks like this one is heading your way! Another stat padder, if that, heading for ORD.
    2 points
  21. Unfortunately "next" is about 8-9 months from now. The biggest snow of the winter in Lincoln was 1.8". Just terrible.
    2 points
  22. Been coaching 7th grade basketball this afternoon and evening so have been out of the loop. NWS Hastings has a snow band setting up over my area of Central Nebraska and not moving much. They mention a general 2-4” but possibly a much heavier band that could drop warning criteria snows of 6-8” with winds gusting to 40 mph. All I heard after our games was “what are the chances for a snow day tomorrow”. This would be quite a storm it it materializes. Not assuming anything, but hoping for the best.
    2 points
  23. Glad you enjoyed the time up north. Sounds like a blast! Pretty crazy to think that winter fishing season is quickly coming to an end. I got out on our lake exactly one time all winter. Pretty soon we’ll be talking about ice out dates. This winter has been enjoyable like you said. Not too cold, and a good amount of snow. But I’m looking forward to spring after this past weekend. Thoughts of rolling the dock into the water and planting the garden.....ahhh! But, there’s another decent snow storm or two to deal with first. As long as we don’t get 30” in April like we did 2 years ago. Not sure I’m interested in that again so soon.
    2 points
  24. And to think the initial winter storm watch was issued for places as far north as Sheboygan and as far west as C IA. Pretty epic fail. Good luck Jaster! Hope you can score with this.
    1 point
  25. Looks good here attm. Grid-cast has 5" total. Was about 1/4" on my deck when I looked earlier. Should go poke my head outside for a current Obs.
    1 point
  26. NWS Hastings Twitter showing the main snow band was only 10-15 miles wide. https://twitter.com/NWSHastings/status/1232411699505958913?s=20
    1 point
  27. Interestingly though the AFD reads 6-8" attainable in eastern counties and our zone forecast explicitly totals 5-8". Regardless, let's hope for some enhanced banding (3km NAM style) to get us to those higher totals.
    1 point
  28. GFS and other long range data showing winter is ending quite abruptly. Lot of spring like days showing up. Winter was okay here in KC, would have been a wild winter had temps been much colder. We had way more rain storms this year compared to last year as last winter was much colder. We had the storms this winter, just couldn’t get the thermals to match up. JAN. by far was the best winter month here, ice and snow totaling 5-8 inches around town. Only had one winter event in DEC. and FEB. officially we had 15.4 inches of snow during the winter season. 1.9 fell during the fall months. So, if we don’t see any more snow, KC will finish below average on snow and way above on temps. We had a wet winter here so spring should start with a bang. Looking forward to spring and baseball!!
    1 point
  29. Interesting morning as you can look to the southwest and see the heavy snow band in the distance. So close yet so far away.
    1 point
  30. You know the system sucks when the thread has been silent for 2 hours. Lol
    1 point
  31. I haven't seen this in Kansas for awhile...DDC has issued a snow squall warning for parts of their CWA...here is some of the text... * Until 700 PM CST.* At 601 PM CST, dangerous snow squalls extended from near Dightonto near Garden City to near Ulysses to Liberal, expandingsoutheast at 30 mph.HAZARD...Poor visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow. Windgusts as high as 50 mph.SOURCE...Radar indicated.IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel.Be aware of very rapidly changing visibility in heavy snowshowers.
    1 point
  32. Waiting to get excited about this one. Didn't work out so well last time.
    1 point
  33. By the way, congrats to you peeps in N IL and S MI. At least I hope you folks are able to cash in from this storm!
    1 point
  34. NWS as now canceled the WSW for my area. Yesterday they were calling for up to a foot of snow, now perhaps a dusting to an inch. What is the deal with these yo-yo weather forecasts? It just seems to me that weather forecasting is getting worse, not better. I watched JB's Saturday Summary on the Weather Bell site, and although he's had his share of issues, I think he did make a valid point. Basing forecasts off of computer modeling is in reality making a forecast from a forecast. I feel the entire meteorological community is relying on computer modeling way too much. The actual art of weather forecasting, of pouring over weather maps, soundings, and relying on experience and gut instinct, is being lost to computer technology. I believe because of it forecasts are just going to get worse. Sorry for the rant but I needed to get that off my chest!
    1 point
  35. Awesome captures! I see bald eagles every day. I’ve already seen a few today. Many of the eagles will probably be migrating north before long. Yesterday there were at least 3 robins hopping around on the lawn and I saw a few huge groups of geese flying.
    1 point
  36. Maybe we'd have better results if we disguised our storm threads better...maybe like... 2/24-2/26 Bluegrass Festival (Ring the doorbell so the big dog wakes up!!!)
    1 point
  37. I went out to DeSoto on Saturday this past weekend and caught a couple of good shots. Saw at least 1/2 a dozen of Bald Eagles and several other large hawks. My favorite shot is probably the first one where this hawk was taking off from the tree. I've always loved these "action shots".
    1 point
  38. If it wasn't for last minute Southeast shifts, I'd be in play for record low snowfall.
    1 point
  39. 12z Euro - South, but still pretty solid for southeastern Michigan. Some of us had the rug pulled out from under us, but it has benefited others.
    1 point
  40. If the trends continue, you may see some headlines in Central Nebraska. With 40 MPH winds, could we some "blizzard conditions"? One can dream.
    1 point
  41. 12z NAM and 3K NAM with huge shifts southeast again compared to 00z and 06z. At this rate, we will be lucky to get a single flake. This was the type of storm where everything had to come together just right, with the timing and phasing of the 2 pieces of energy. So not a shock that once again they were way wrong. This is gotta be at least the 3rd time this year that models showed upwards of a foot of snow for Iowa City/CR within 72 hours of the event only for it to shift dramatically or decrease significantly. Oh well. Can't control it. But this officially puts me in spring mode. Can't wait for a sustained warm up. The weekend was really nice
    1 point
  42. I am just worried the way this winter has gone, the BIGGER the hype the BIGGER the bust is going to be. The NW map for my location has 7+ but my local forecast text says 2-4???
    1 point
  43. How about sticking to the topic and taking your illuminations to the OT? Now if you can connect Groucho to astrophysics and FRBs then your on topic, but the math must hold up. Otherwise, have a good day.
    1 point
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