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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/07/20 in all areas

  1. Finally, it is official! We will be moving to Post Falls, ID in June into an apartment, then we should have our custom home completed late next spring in the Sandpoint area (shown below) - Sandpoint will be our final home. So excited to get into a climate with truly 4 beautiful and distinct seasons! I am soooo excited!!!! If everything works out like we have planned, we will have our house built close to the golf community shown in this video:
    10 points
  2. It's almost as if you're looking at different models than everybody else. You're setting yourself up to be massively dissapointed. Verbatim the Euro operational looks solidly chilly but not remotely close to historic, and that's the coldest solution any model is showing right now. It's also been getting pushed back and watered down the last few days which has been the theme all winter.
    4 points
  3. Already up to 66 here. I would think we have a very good chance of crossing 70. Forecast high was 68. Only downside is 35 mph winds and the Red Flag warning again.
    3 points
  4. No snow here. I walked up to my neighbors highest point which is 700’, no snow there, either. Currently 38 degrees and cloudy. .06” on the day so far, 2.49” for the month, 20.69” for the year. Caught a lovely sunset on my 3 minute drive home last evening.
    3 points
  5. 3 points
  6. Very cool. I would hate having to go through apartment phase, but it sound like that will be short lived. My wife is finally beyond convinced we have to get out of here too. Just going to make the best of it until that happens.
    2 points
  7. Man, I don’t know what you are on but let me have some. This has been such a boring winter for everyone in the lowlands south of Seattle, and the models are gradually watering down the potential for anything interesting mid month. Really no way to sugar coat things right now.
    2 points
  8. I’m sure you could lend him some eye drops otherwise.
    2 points
  9. This graphic pretty much sums up the difference compared to this years open vs March '19....my goodness, that was a frigid open last year and I think we did not have much snow OTG iirc. Edit: Yup, we had bare ground back then...
    2 points
  10. As always "Beware of the Ides of March"
    2 points
  11. The volatility of March can produce some wild weather and temp swings, none moreso, than those who live in the Great Plains. Spring "Shoulder" season is fully underway and parts of our Sub are going to get "teased" by some Spring time warmth this weekend. Does it last? Quite an active pattern is setting up from the desert SW into the central CONUS this week into the following weekend. Is there a late season winter storm on the horizon??? I haven't had much time to analyze the pattern and left my notebook back home, but I will say, there is growing model consensus that the EPO is to tank lat
    2 points
  12. March is typically our second snowiest month here in MSP, on average. Anyone up this way that thinks winter is completely done is in denial. Hell, we got 30” two April’s ago.
    2 points
  13. This x 100. Even the 0.50-0.75" of general rain Monday will be a nice start. We haven't had a rain event heavier than 0.20" since late December.
    2 points
  14. Up here in Canada we woke up to a temperature just below the freezing point and 4" of super fluffy snow sprinkled straight down.
    2 points
  15. Polar vortex. It’s mid-March. In January the models were showing something rivaling 1950 or 1969 which was murdered by the aforementioned PV. Certainly killed the optimism for many here. After that, an inch or two of wet slop just isn’t that exciting. GFS and ensembles have little to no cold air with the ECMWF very inconsistent. 12z run was not as cold as this run.
    1 point
  16. 2002 never really got impressive with the low temps. Down here the whole thing was fairly cold, but it never delivered the cold temps this situation might. Looking at past cold snaps after March 10 it's remarkable how rare it is to get cold / clear with a legit cold continental air mass. In 1906 Clearbrook dropped to 10 on March 15 so it can certainly happen. At this point I think the blocking being shown on the recent model runs is pretty extraordinary. Certainly a chance to see some impressive cold before this is over.
    1 point
  17. Spring/summer/early fall rainfall = convective activity and thunderstorms. Winter rainfall = drizzle. Yeah winter rainfall is what we need for mountain snow and skiing, but there’s no denying that the former is simply much funner in the lowlands.
    1 point
  18. Hyperbole aside, I’ll give you kudos for mentioning the possibility of a 1953-like flip being possible this winter after the exceedingly dry late-Oct to mid-Dec period. I didn’t see it coming, as that attempted midwinter pattern transition towards more sustained blocking fell flat on its face.
    1 point
  19. Bye bye 7:30 roll out of the 00z... 00Z ALERT!!!
    1 point
  20. Heavy! Nothing now, temp down to 35.
    1 point
  21. One thing for sure....the neighborhood is absolutely dead today. Nobody outside because it's so chilly.
    1 point
  22. Te 18z EPS is certainly looking chilly for late next week. Looking like a legit cold shot. This run only goes to day 6 so that' why it isn't quite across the border yet.
    1 point
  23. Going to service the mower next weekend and get it ready for the season.
    1 point
  24. Already went, just 9 holes today.
    1 point
  25. I hope you are correct regarding the 2013-2018 regime! Not only was a good portion of that a terrible drought period for California and even parts of the PNW at times, but it was downright warm to hot at times out of season. 2016-17 was a good year, though, despite being within that time period.
    1 point
  26. Light snow mostly right now, not much rain mixed in. Cool to see!
    1 point
  27. Personally I’m hoping for neutral ENSO next winter given the evolution of the QBO (will likely have easterlies dominating the lower stratosphere with descending westerlies at/above 30mb). Statistically speaking at this range, reducing the prominence of the low pass component in the wave state increases the odds those conduits to extreme blocking under said QBO would be utilized. Too much La Niña under -QBO is more of a destructive interference in terms of how they’re communicated via the NPAC High and the end result is often dirty Aleutian Ridge/+EPO, though it’s not always the case nor is i
    1 point
  28. The EPS looks a lot colder with the trough late next week than the 0z. More continental as well. Interesting all of the operational models and the EPS control show a crazy amplified GOA / AK block at day 10 with the potential for a major unloading of very cold air as that evolves. Looking at the post March 10 period there were very few examples of cold continental air making into the Western Lowlands after that date during the 20th century and so far this century. Being the cold anomaly lover that I am I think it would be super cool if we can pull that off this time! Maybe a trip back to
    1 point
  29. We’ll know a lot more by mid/late April. I could envision a powerful 4CH that roasts the Intermountain West and Southwest but spares the PNW similar to 1988 (or a muted version of the dust bowl years). An outcome like 1998, 2007 or 2016 is also possible. On the fringes of the spectrum are 2009 (warm) and 2010 (less so).
    1 point
  30. Got snow/ice pellets/rain mix currently. 38 degrees.
    1 point
  31. I understand maybe 10% of this but yeah probably going to be another hot and dry warm season for the west.
    1 point
  32. Holy crap the models are tantalizing. The players are there and SOOOOO close to really delivering. I still like our chances with the crazy high heights most runs are showing for much of AK during week 2. Realistically speaking we are still in line for a bunch of solidly cold nights coming up and some well below high temps mixed in. As it stands now some interesting possibilities are in play in the temperature department. 1. Lowest March average low in decades 2. Coldest post March 10 low temps in decades could be possible If the details actually go our way an historic outcome for the m
    1 point
  33. 1 point
  34. 1 point
  35. My wife teaches at La Salle College Prep HS. All the kids are required to have iPads. Snow days are a thing of the past for them now as kids and teachers are required to work on line. If this does become a problem, it will be business as usual.
    1 point
  36. Fantasyland GFS drops 33" on Fargo in that one storm
    1 point
  37. Should be a bumpy ride mid & late month for your area and a lot of the central CONUS. The weather out here in AZ will turn cooler later next week and the following. I’ve been enjoying the amazing weather over the past few days. Yesterday, we topped out at 84F and today it will be in the low 80’s before we “cool” down around 70F with rain chances Tue- Thu. I’m expecting a BN pattern for the reminder of this month over here. Average temps will be in the upper 70’s later next week and approaching 80F by months end so BN temps won’t be too terrible. We need the rain so that will be a bo
    1 point
  38. The 16th-18th needs to be watched closely, if there is going to be a big dog in my area that would be the most likely time.
    1 point
  39. No winter isn't over, the EC has a snowy look, esp for Nebraska and Iowa. Lezak is expecting 1 or 2 more accumulating snows in KC, we shall see.
    1 point
  40. We need some kind of weather action. Hopefully we see some small hail or a few claps of thunder before 4 PM. By the way, if anyone here is also in my PDX WX Analysis facebook group if you could pass along this message I would greatly appreciate it. I was flagged for spam for posting too many messages too quickly(Radar images) when I was tracking the tornadic supercell in Nashville the other night. This isn’t the first time Facebook has done this to me. The other time was back in 2015 during a severe weather outbreak in my Texas group. Due to this they banned me for 30 days (27 days remai
    1 point
  41. March is already off to a much warmer start compared to the last couple March opens. You guys just need it to continue but I suspect a lot of back and forth due to storm enduced warmth followed by CF’s.
    1 point
  42. I'm hoping we get to finally see widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms early next week.
    1 point
  43. Overall, a wet and warm start to Spring across the eastern Heartland and throughout the OHV...quite the battle zone shaping up over the Plains/Upper MW causing concern for late season snows up north.
    1 point
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