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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/15/20 in all areas
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7 points
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7 points
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6 points
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Cloudy, windy with flurries up here in St Paul. Couple inches of snowcover from previous systems. Quite winterlike today!6 points
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6 points
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5 points
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4 points
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I'll take another cold rain to tighten precip defecit. LNK is only at 21.93" for the year, which is relatively high due to a wet May-July. OMA is at 16.03"! I'd definitely want a flip to more wintry after Thanksgiving through, December in recent years has been infamous for big rainers.4 points
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I actually buy that for a runout on the winter. If we recall, It was my "option 2" part on my list. I'm pretty well sure we have a warning blast coming in again before a relent then a good 60 day onslaught so this model would be the only one that literally carries that. I like it. Getting December to be memorable is about like pulling my own teeth out but we may snag a brief Thanksgiving "special" on this end or a small spillover into December. My "antennae" are perked up again anyway... ".Is this the Winter that will be remembered for most of North America and take center stage??? "" ----Wrong or right, I say "YES". 100 percent "YES".4 points
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I don't have much to add... pretty standard November weather. I am just following along with people tracking specific events.4 points
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Wow, coming down in buckets last hour or so in K-Falls! I hear it on the roof its so heavy. I like it personally. We didn't get enough rain this Fall. It was doing this in 2016 about a dozen times before we transitioned to snow.4 points
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That period is starting to look interesting. The GFS has something similar around day 10.3 points
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3 points
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3 points
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Been at work so cannot even see outside, but nice to see a forecast not fall apart. 980mb low is centered just northeast of Sault Ste Marie as of 19z...which is about where and to the depth that is was forecast. Expect it to continue to drop in pressure this evening. Strong pressure gradient remains in place across the area this evening so have made no change to the High Wind Warning. It continues through 1000pm. Statewide power outages are now closing in on a quarter of a million at 202,086 as of 256pm per poweroutage.us. We are routinely gusting to around or above 50 mph at this time and expect this to remain the case into the evening hours as the core of the wind is moving through. Peak wind remains 68 mph at a mesonet in Norton Shores and we have recently had a gust to 66 mph at a mesonet in Jackson as of 314pm. Bottom line High Wind Warning is working out well and remains in place.3 points
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3 points
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That was the earliest snow since I have lived here. We got about 1.5” that morning. It went from about 60 with heavy rain to snow and 32 in a couple hours.3 points
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You guys will be under the "belly of the beast" soon enough...I remember last year we had a similar storm as such that sparked wind advisories/warnings throughout the GL's region. Hope we can see these beasts develop farther south with more blocking near Greenland.3 points
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Awoke to several rumbles of thunder which GRR had mostly taken off the table in yesterday's AFD. Some briefly gusty winds too, but now we are in the lull they spoke of prior to CF passage and the CAA ramp-up. Baro @ 29.27" and dropping.3 points
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Currently getting accumulating light snow, enough to blow around. 24.6°F.3 points
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Strong wind woke me up around 43 to 45 mph for the past 45 minutes3 points
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Night shift! On my phone. All 4 kiddos asleep in the livingroom lol. Getting my card finalized for the morning. Gonna be a good day3 points
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3 points
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First night it has actually felt "stormy" after work. Surprised how breezy it was, could feel the car getting pushed a bit on the x-way and headlines haven't even begun yet. Grid had 44F and rising for today, but we remained in the 30's until 8 pm before rising into the low 40's. Looking at this (classic) surface map, it reminds me of the bliz of '99 with it's snow way, way east of the SLP and how the warmth never got pulled north with that either. Not spoken of as a favored analog, but iirc 98-99 was indeed a 1st year Nina on the heels of the Mega-Nino. Baro at 29.67" and falling..3 points
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Tonight's GFS wasn't bad at all. A lot of action and some unusually strong surface lows well SE of where you would normally see them. If we're going to get a big windstorm I'm betting it will be between now and when the serious blocking sets up later on. It would be surprising if we don't see a good one sometime this month IMO.2 points
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2 points
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https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/washington/gusts-3h-mph/20201116-0600z.html2 points
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Stepped out of work about 9:15 pm just in time to catch a pretty decent snow shower. It was coming down good but brief and very wet snow. All the models showing a change-over far south in the Mitt were off a bit on their thermals. WWA for NWMI is happening as usual, ofc they have both elevation and climo in their favor. I still like as a step-down to #winter.2 points
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54/44 spread here today, with scattered showers and sunbreaks. Warmest day since 11/5.2 points
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2 points
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That was yesterday morning. Models have changed since then now they’re showing a wind event.2 points
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44” base at both Meadows and Timberline. Well on our way to the 100” by Christmas I was hoping for.2 points
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2 points
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Can you imagine having winds this strong, along w a snowstorm in progress. Look-out!2 points
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Backside winds are freal, and running just about 1 hr behind that line of T-showers that passed through.2 points
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Yes sir..."High Wind Warning" will definitely do some damage today. I have all of my garbage bins inside and all other stuff secured. Note: Flakes are possible and some could be heavy for a time. We will see how that plays out. My forecast is calling for snowshowers in the pm hour as temps tumble through the 30s and 20s.2 points
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2 points
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To be fair, I only post when it's snowing or temps are cold lol2 points
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2 points
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It's like every time I read a post of yours, it's either snowing or temps are cold! The pattern setting up for the norther tier looks golden for Barney rampage....and I'm sure your stoked about this...enjoy!2 points
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I recorded 0.49" of rain fall overnight. At this time it is cloudy with some light rain and a little wind with a temperature of 52. I might take a ride over to the lake later today it see the waves if the wind picks up.2 points
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The JMA seasonal came in last week and the apparent theme heading into December is to expect a warmer and drier month overall. Not much change from last month, except for a slightly cooler central Plains and Upper MW compared to last months run. It has shrunk the AN (+2-3C) pool over the Rockies/Plains into the 4 corners region. What could be the big wild card for this month over into the eastern Sub is the signal for a N ATL ridge. I will say, recent runs of the Euro Weeklies along with the GEFS long range (35 day), both indicate a growing block over eastern Canada and Greenland. Not sure if the global models are just missing this signal or not but the way the LRC has been setting up this Autumn IMO it does allow for ridging to grow in this region which can lead to seasonal/BN temps as troughs dig in the East. I think that is why you see a sliver of near avg temps along the EC. December... Temp... Precip and Velocity pattern.. One other thing that caught my attn was the model is seeing a trough over Japan which should correlate into a trough across the East. In essence, the model may be struggling to figure out how deep of a trough may develop next month over the eastern CONUS, esp if you engage a Greenland Block. Some interesting things to ponder on for the all-important Holidays. As we head into January, it appear the MJO may be heading into the favorable colder phases but the location of the N PAC ridge may not play ball. The northern stream will be on fire and the northern half of our Sub locked in AN precip and prob AN snowfall. From the looks of this temp pattern, it sure looks like a potential battle zone over the I-80 corridor into the lower lakes region. Temp... Precip and Velocity pattern... Looking at the N Hemisphere 500mb map below, it does show the development of the Greenland Block and when I compared it to last months run, it grew stronger. Again, this is a region I've been paying attn to this Autumn that has seen blocking develop during Oct/Nov. Finally, Feb could end up being a banner month, esp if the model continues to advertise the Greenland Block in future runs as it is showing now. For this run, however, it's not as potent but the signal is there and can lead towards more suppression. With that being said, you can see the model is bleeding more cold air into the central CONUS with BN temps in the Plains/MW/Upper MW and a wet signal for northern and eastern Sub. Temp... Precip and Velocity pattern...again, it appears a favorable MJO may be in the works.... The N Hemisphere 500mb pattern showing an ominous trough over western NAMER with the coldest anomalies centered in North America for both Jan and Feb. Is this the Winter that will be remembered for most of North America and take center stage??? It certainly has started that way with many headlines so far...let's hope it can continue into 2021!2 points
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2 points
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This is for the northern end my NWS region. Winter is inching ever closer..2 points
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Yeah. Got pretty bumpy up there. Was pretty windy here but nothing major. Its a great "tell" for a cold wave in the future.2 points
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2 points
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