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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/24/20 in all areas
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14 points
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8 points
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7 points
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7 points
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7 points
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Holy Heavy Rain Batman!!! And wind still! Way more exciting than that dud of a storm last week.5 points
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5 points
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I know these index's can be sketchy out past 5 days but this looks much better as we enter Dec.5 points
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It’s the other way around. North Atlantic ones tend to better for the East. Siberia/Eurasia warmings tend to favor the West. Though the reason for that goes beyond the location/structure of the warming. And there are exceptions to both.4 points
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Getting ready to get bumpy out... Line of storms about to roll through.4 points
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4 points
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4 points
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4 points
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This would be a fantastic welcome to the north and a great open to Dec for many! Lock. It. In.4 points
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PER NOAA: Here we go MI Peeps! After what looks like a quiet weekend, potential winter storm setting up for early next week, as strong storm system comes out of the Gulf of Alaska, with what looks to be eventual phasing with the Four Corners energy. There looks to be unanimous consent, it is just when and where phasing occurs (eastern Plains vs Appalachians) leading to longwave trough encompassing the eastern half/third of North America. Need-less-to-say, 12z EURO is very aggressive with the impact to southeast Michigan. The 00z Euro ensemble members (~50 percent) were also fairly convincing with significant amount of measurable QPF centered around 00z DEC 1. Still, we are talking Days 6-7 and will remain conservative with the standard/climo 30 pop for now.4 points
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12z EPS members took a BIG step forward for the GL's/MW/OHV region...need this trend to continue. Many members bomb out this storm in the eastern GL's into a closed upper low and spins for days. These are the type of systems that can deliver the goods, esp the back-end wrap around snows and LES. Warm GL's and cold temps could create an almost perfect scenario for @Jaster and crew in MI. Edit: Another important note, all the models continue to see the growing Greenland Block and -AO/+PNA. Giddy up!4 points
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Thats a heck of a storm. CMC is identical to the GFS. Nice to see all the models phasing.4 points
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Giant cotton ball flakes are dumping now as the second thin band is moving through.4 points
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A burst of large flakes has whitened up the ground here. It's accumulating on the pavement from the start.4 points
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In Sunriver for the rest of the week. 37f and raining right now but expecting to switch over any moment3 points
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Was thinking the same yesterday and today...should be a great CO Low!3 points
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I’m around 1” of rain so far. A heavier band stayed just a few miles south of me though.3 points
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If the SLP gets aligned just right you will be talking some nice LES going on downwind off the lake. Good luck guys!3 points
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3 points
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Toms pl gets crushed w hvy snows! Also, MI members that live on the western part of the state gets inundated w snow as well. Looks like rain for my area. Nice phase! Tbh..I wouldnt mind seeing that low go through, or even east of the Cleveland Metro area. That would be an ideal track. Would benefit my area for that matter.3 points
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3 points
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Looking niiiiice and stormy outside here in southeast B'ham.3 points
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3 points
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3 points
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I just hope the trends continue bud. Wish you were involved in this storm as well.3 points
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Received over 0.60” of liquid so far with more moderate showers about to move in.3 points
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Nothing for November but rain has picked up running above average for the month.3 points
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Actually, I did some digging and it was Dec '10...here's a snow map from that period...I remember flying over IA in early Dec on a clear sunny day where I clearly saw the ground go from brown grass to white gold. Gosh, time flies by way to fast!3 points
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Over performer here this morning. Was forecast to get 1-3" and ended up with 8".3 points
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That's what I like to see...I bet it grows deeper as we head deeper into December. The Greenland Block is gonna rock.3 points
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You are ever the optimist, I will give you that. For example, this map shows Chicago getting 6 inches of snowfall over 30 days. That hardly seems like something to get excited about. Southeast Alaska and British Columbia look to be on the receiving end of a near constant barrage of storms and will get dumped with rain and snow. This usually floods the CONUS with warm pacific air and leads to warmth across the country. That snow hole for the dakotas and eastern montana is more a reflection of climate. I would hazard a guess that unless there is a major storm forecast within Day 7, that hole will most always show up on a long range ensemble map.3 points
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Took a very quick glance at the Euro Weeklies from yesterday and they have suddenly flipped back to "winter mode" for practically everyone one here. The blocking showing up in all the right places and "hooking over the top" certainly bodes well for our Sub. I like the trends. Speaking of this, the model is picking up on a sweet storm track over the next 30 days. The GL's should ignite the LES machine sometime around the end of Week 2 into 3. I do see the potential for a "snow hole" developing near the Dakota's due to a more dominant southern stream storm track.3 points
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Below freezing the past 7 hrs here as low as 23F. If we can get the clouds/snow in here before we go above 30F, it'd go a long ways towards stuff sticking. Already a better position than Sunday just with cold surface temps.3 points
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2 points
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Phase 5 is generally warm for PNW until the second week of December. Wavelengths grow through December which changes the spatial relationship.2 points
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Early extrapolations of the Canadian have 625dm heights over us by mid month.2 points
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Wow Those pictures do not suck, not even a little. 00z GFS in 2 hours 18 minutes (Good changes tonight?)2 points
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Looks like the ENSO 3.4 region bounced back to -1.5C this week.2 points
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The majority of December 1985 was a huge ridge. It was aided by the eastside snowcover and low level arctic air at the start of the month that was only modestly scoured out. On December 19 for example if was 24/20 at Hood River and 60/28 at Government Camp.2 points
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12Z GFS looked like the most inversion friendly run yet.2 points
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Forecasting gusts to 45mph in SW BC today. So not too surprised it’s windy there.2 points
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41 degrees at EUG, but 36 degrees at my location. It is nice to have personal obs again.2 points
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I measured 0.6" this morning although I'm sure I lost some due to melting.2 points
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