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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/06/21 in all areas

  1. 8 points
  2. 37 degrees. My 2yr old is skeptical of the skeptics on the forum. Let’s go full Arctic!!
    7 points
  3. 6 points
  4. 6 points
  5. 5 points
  6. Speaking of the GEFS extended, the latest run was a significant improvement over the previous one and at only 288 hours. Look at the difference around the Aleutians. That is really nice to see.
    5 points
  7. Been getting heavy snow here in fremont for at least an hour so far
    5 points
  8. Currently 42 degrees and drizzle. .11” so far on the day, 3.12” for the month.
    5 points
  9. I didn't see this posted, but I may have missed it. Japan was recently hit with a tremendous ocean effect snow event. Up to 7 feet fell in spots. Below is an article. In addition the all time highest pressure is believed to have been recorded in Mongolia at 32.31" or 1094mb! And if that wasn't crazy enough just to the east of that incredibly strong high was an incredibly strong low pressure of 27.2" or 921mb. Absolutely fascinating. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/01/04/japan-ocean-effect-snow/
    5 points
  10. Snowing nicely up in twisp right now. Been waiting for some bands to make it over here after watching my cameras at home in Renton just show constant dumpage all day. IMG_3395.MP4
    5 points
  11. Fairly nice improvement on the Canadian ensembles.
    4 points
  12. A meridonal pattern like this will still greatly benefit your area as it suppresses things south. And California's biggest winter precip events often evolve from the southern branch of the jet strengthening enough to eventually undercut an offshore block... while remaining suppressed south over your area. This is a win-win pattern for the West Coast. More of the Aleutian Low dominated, zonal pattern that we've seen will only mean a continuation of the northern storm track.
    4 points
  13. You guys should rock and roll a bit in February and March.
    4 points
  14. Today marks the anniversary of one of my favorite blizzards of all time in NYC...."Blizzard of 96." It was a blizzard for 2 days straight, non-stop. Travel was impossible!!!! At that time I was living in Northern Queens, about 15min away from the city and I was inundated w nearly 30" and the city had 2 feet. Everything was buried. No transportation for a day or 2, which really slowed everything down. Truly, only on the EC will you see snows like this. Take a look...... It’s one of the defining winter storms of the 20th century and is still a record-holder to this date for several ci
    4 points
  15. Up to 5.45" of rain on the month. 1.16" today. Still coming down out there.
    3 points
  16. Another 18-19 day beauty. Although this one ain't looking bad at 16, either.
    3 points
  17. Ignoring placement, this is some great high latitude blocking, some of the best in quite a while. If anything close to this occurs, someone in the midlatitudes is going to get some major cold. Who knows, it could even be us...
    3 points
  18. Last nights GEFS extended control run fumbles around with the ridge for about 10 days before setting up this beauty
    3 points
  19. That's a strong signal for offshore ridging on an ensemble mean.
    3 points
  20. 18 GEFS remains consistent with past runs. However reliable it is or isnt, it is probably more reliable at that range than the operational.
    3 points
  21. 3 points
  22. 12z GEFS ending on a very nice note.
    3 points
  23. I’m on team “the 12z GEFS looked a little better”.
    3 points
  24. From GRR - Colder and snowy after the 15th? However, a significant change in the pattern is forecast by both the ECMWF, the GFS, GFS16, GEFS, CFSv2, and the ECMWF weekly model forecasts. There are 3 things happening to support this. First is a very week MJO, so that will not be strong enough to force the pattern over the next 3 week. There is a stratospheric warming event over Canada now that spills into the CONUS. Beyond that we have one of those 200 knot East Asian Jet streaks heading this way for early next week. That by itself will be strong enough to break through the blocking we cur
    3 points
  25. Oz Euro Control has 2 large snow storms in the middle of the country in the extended . Definitely has my attention.
    3 points
  26. Massive changes hemispheric changes in the latest Euro Seasonal for January as the model has flipped in dramatic fashion away from the stout trough over western NAMER/AK compared to the last several runs. Did I mention the models have no clue of the blocking across Greenland??? Not only that, but the Scandinavian Block which hooks over the top allowing for cold to spill south into the lower 48. This 500mb pattern is ripe for action across the majority of our Sub. Nice wet signal showing up over the Plains/MW...cutters??? February is also trending i
    3 points
  27. Yeah, that's one large positive of this constant westerly flow. Highs in the 40's and lows in the 30's have resulted in wet climo for the majority of the winter, and consequently a bountiful snowpack. Solid chance that this Spring will be nutty up in the Cascades. As much as people have complained about the largely mundane weather, it has certainly not been a bad winter. Even 1988-89 was largely a split flow-ish winter, with extended dry periods and below average precip/mountain snowfall. This winter at least hasn't been harmful to our ecology.
    3 points
  28. This is starting to feel earily similar to 2019 IF the long range GFS is onto something. The cold did get to NW Ontario, Manitoba, and northern Minnesota by mid month it just didn't penetrate to far into the CONUS til the end of the month. Similar thing happened with The polar vortex in Jan 2014. Here is my monthly temps for Jan 2019
    3 points
  29. 2 points
  30. I’m thinking of all the times that left-wing protesters have been allowed to rush police barricades without massive amounts of tear gas and rubber bullets being unleashed on them. Oh, wait, there basically aren’t any.
    2 points
  31. I suspect that a week from now things will look even more interesting. Climatologically speaking, with a +QBO/-ENSO regime, a prototypical -ENSO regime would have some staying power. I'm still worried about that Pacific jet, though. That sh*tter has been a resilient beast, and the persistent AL presence we've seen since early December is no coincidence. Time will tell. At least we're looking within *300 hours* now.
    2 points
  32. Jim should be back shortly if the trend continues.
    2 points
  33. I was comparing it to the 0z. 6z was garbage. Next. -Chris
    2 points
  34. Good thing they are not having a parade anyway. Otherwise Biden could end up like Zachary Taylor.
    2 points
  35. That’s a ton of cold air in North America.
    2 points
  36. oh the joke went over my head lol. I'm over politics. New year's resolution.
    2 points
  37. Cold rain at the moment. It’s January but can’t forget we’re still drought, any moisture is welcome I suppose.
    2 points
  38. I work international hours so I'm pretty much 24/7 and get as much sleep as I need to in order to be productive. The saying goes, "Money Doesn't Sleep"...hope your doing alright down there...seems like the past couple weeks the storms have been tracking down by your area but no real deep cold, however, I see the models all starting to see the pattern shift by the 15th. Let's hope we can track a few big S streamers that can share in the wealth before winter is out.
    2 points
  39. Same here Hawkeye, the stagnant blocking pattern is creating a uniform forecast through the next 7 days. If its not going to snow in a "warm" pattern, I'd rather have it cloudier along with seasonal high temps. The overnight lows are really driving the AN temp regime. My local grid showing temps continue to trend lower with daytime highs AOB normal, I guess its the silver lining in this pattern. Colder temps will certain allow the snow to stick around and the clouds will aid in that dept as well. The foggy pattern has created some gorgeous photos out in the western burbs...#HoarFrost
    2 points
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