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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/05/21 in Posts
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Good morning, As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland and still has family there as well as in Sweden and Norway. I'm still a bit shell-shocked about the whole thing but then I realized, I'll get to see the Aurora Borealis, I'll get snow and not have to worry about the models waffling, I'll see so many things that many of us want or hope to see (in a lifetime) and how lucky we'll both be to experience that. The immersion into a culture I'm not familiar with will be a hard task to endure but the "rewards" will far outweigh any hiccups or missteps I may have. So for the time being, I may continue to lurk among you and may periodically post. Take it easy you goons.20 points
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I just experienced the craziest day of my life. Normal, routine doctor's visit quickly spiraled into a seven hour stay in the ER for a MRI scan to check for malignant tumors or multiple sclerosis. Thankfully nothing was detected and my eye problem was resolved with a steroid prescription. Also the models look fantastic. And I'm sore from all the catheters and laying in one position for a quarter of a day. I need sleep.18 points
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12 points
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This run is so good Tim is in lurk mode struggling to find a bad map9 points
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Looking at the massive NAO block 'pressing' down on the PV lobe, southeast US ridge, and digging contours in BC, Day 5-6 might be the most prolific arctic blast in 50+ years.8 points
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8 points
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8 points
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If that cold trough around day 6 were to dig out over the ocean a tiny bit more we could see a snowstorm and even colder temps than this run shows. We would have snow cover and even colder 850s. At any rate what a great run.8 points
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WOW. The cold air advection is very strong reminiscent of the real deal big blasts of the past.8 points
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8 points
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I'd prefer things don't get undercut so quickly. Let the cold marinate.7 points
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Really coming down. 1/2 visibility and the streets are already covered.7 points
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RAP showing signs of moving N big time (especially 2nd wave)-- and very high qpf in IA.7 points
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7 points
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I need all of you to repeat after me: "I solemnly vow to keep the news of the goodies that have been thrust before us on this day to just myself and other members of this forum, if I break this vow I shall be banished to Tim's basement to feed coal in to his weather machine for the remainder of my days" Amen7 points
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7 points
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Any Moisture details will have to wait to the 24-36hr window.7 points
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7 points
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Only this forum could put a negative spin on tonight's models. Totally unreal. Keep in mind a blend, which is most likely, would be fantastic.6 points
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If you want a big snow you're gonna have to play with some undercutting. I'd rather this than just dry and cold. That's boring.6 points
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Ok this would be just insane. Even half that in the midwest would be an impressive back loaded winter. Feel so bad for North Dakota......but then this is like a once in a lifetime situation for our area. This is something that would be expected up there this time of year. The ice box month of Feb. looks like it might have some legs!6 points
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OAX forecasting 3-5" tonight and another 2-3" tomorrow night on top of 5" OTG. I want to try to wake up early tomorrow because last year I would've killed for a 3-5" event in Feb lol but we'll see.6 points
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Poured an adult beverage. Whether the entire bottle gets consumed depends on tonight’s runs.6 points
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My feeling is that this is going to trend colder and snowier. After today's model trends... I am a believer.6 points
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18z EPS is colder for every critical time period than the 12z.6 points
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Bought several of these from a retired met. Let me know if you're interested. I can work out doable low interest financing with you as well. For a little more I can get you a two-seater for your significant other so she knows for sure what you're doing at midnight, 1am, 2am, 3am, 4am and all through the day. Reassure her that your mortgage will be paid each month. There is a new model coming out that will include your own secret connection directly to the NWS and top of the line North Korea weather services.6 points
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6 points
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6 points
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Phew, NWS Seattle only thinks it could be cooler, thank god they did not jump on board today.6 points
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All I know is, Randy better NOT go back up into that ******* attic of his and drag that D**n kiddie pool down again.6 points
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I hope Tim gets absolutely BURIED in snow and has to have Amazon deliver his groceries with drones.6 points
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I think it's time for me to strap on my athletic cup, things are going way too good.6 points
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6 points
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That 12z ECMWF run was top tier for cold advection out there. Amazing how fragile this progression is..just the tiniest of changes to TPV structure in AK/Yukon 48hrs out could make the difference between a full fledged arctic assault and a complete miss. The inflection point appears to be D2, sometime on Sunday. If we hold on until 00z runs Sunday, should be good, as volatility likely decreases substantially at that point.6 points
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Remember that guy from Tucson who showed up around February 2019. He was like a good luck charm. Bet he's seen more snow than PDX this winter.6 points
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Here's a possible scenario. Ready? Arctic trough digs even further west, we end up with short-over-water trajectory AND that pulls the PV lobe even closer towards Northern Idaho. We end up with a snow storm Day 5 to 5.5. Incredible arctic blast.6 points
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6 points
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Not that it bears ANY meaning but the last time I saw a "face" in the upper air run/s we ended up with over 13" Similar to Feb '19, Dec '12, late Nov '08 and also Dec 19966 points
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Kind of an OMG run! Might have a shot at a couple of -20 departures with that.6 points
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6 points
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Pattern is about 4-5 days from establishing itself. The medium range *should* be the Euro’s deadly range and hopefully not too many changes between now and then.6 points
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With such intense cold air in play this has serious potential. Amazingly it looks like the GFS owned the ECMWF again.6 points
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For those who haven't seen the GEM you should look. After a week of cold weather the run ends with a big fat 150 ridge potentially ready to deliver more cold. In the bigger picture this has a chance to be an epic nearly nationwide cold wave that harks back to the good old days.6 points
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