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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/05/21 in Posts

  1. Good morning, As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland an
    22 points
  2. I just experienced the craziest day of my life. Normal, routine doctor's visit quickly spiraled into a seven hour stay in the ER for a MRI scan to check for malignant tumors or multiple sclerosis. Thankfully nothing was detected and my eye problem was resolved with a steroid prescription. Also the models look fantastic. And I'm sore from all the catheters and laying in one position for a quarter of a day. I need sleep.
    20 points
  3. Looking at the WSDOT cams around the Sound and all I see are bare and wet roads. Obvious that this isnt going to happen and that the season we love the most, Not Winter, is just around the corner. Death captures us all and entropy will win so your fleeting dance with snow will not matter. All ice will melt when the brightness of the sun starts to boil away the upper atmosphere in 400 million years. How are everyones flowerbeds doing?
    12 points
  4. This run is so good Tim is in lurk mode struggling to find a bad map
    11 points
  5. Did anyone see the ECMWF Parallel? Toasty
    9 points
  6. Got into my graduate program. Let's go!!!
    9 points
  7. If you want a big snow you're gonna have to play with some undercutting. I'd rather this than just dry and cold. That's boring.
    8 points
  8. Looking at the massive NAO block 'pressing' down on the PV lobe, southeast US ridge, and digging contours in BC, Day 5-6 might be the most prolific arctic blast in 50+ years.
    8 points
  9. Here we go boys. Starting Monday night
    8 points
  10. If that cold trough around day 6 were to dig out over the ocean a tiny bit more we could see a snowstorm and even colder temps than this run shows. We would have snow cover and even colder 850s. At any rate what a great run.
    8 points
  11. WOW. The cold air advection is very strong reminiscent of the real deal big blasts of the past.
    8 points
  12. Arctic front snow through Thursday morning...
    8 points
  13. Only this forum could put a negative spin on tonight's models. Totally unreal. Keep in mind a blend, which is most likely, would be fantastic.
    7 points
  14. Thanks y'all, I'm perfectly okay... all my vitals are good and nothing weird was found in my brain. Just a little shaken up and tired, that's all. Definitely the scariest day of my life and closest brush with something serious I've ever had. Also I'm absolutely elated with the sudden shift on the models. Obviously exact snowfall positioning/potential over-undercutting won't be resolved 100+ hours out, but there are some seriously good solutions showing up.
    7 points
  15. I'd prefer things don't get undercut so quickly. Let the cold marinate.
    7 points
  16. Really coming down. 1/2 visibility and the streets are already covered.
    7 points
  17. RAP showing signs of moving N big time (especially 2nd wave)-- and very high qpf in IA.
    7 points
  18. Poured an adult beverage. Whether the entire bottle gets consumed depends on tonight’s runs.
    7 points
  19. My weeds are really starting to pop...Let’s bury these suckers under a foot or three of snow!!
    7 points
  20. 18z EPS is colder for every critical time period than the 12z.
    7 points
  21. Bought several of these from a retired met. Let me know if you're interested. I can work out doable low interest financing with you as well. For a little more I can get you a two-seater for your significant other so she knows for sure what you're doing at midnight, 1am, 2am, 3am, 4am and all through the day. Reassure her that your mortgage will be paid each month. There is a new model coming out that will include your own secret connection directly to the NWS and top of the line North Korea weather services.
    7 points
  22. It was above freezing and snowless today. Has anyone looked at the CFS for May? Snow and cold has killed millions and anyone cheering for it is a bad person. Your life is but a blink of the eye in the cosmic scheme of things and in the end the EPS will paint the earth blood red as the all surface life burns off as destined by our main sequence star. Snow love is dumb and futile. Has anyone started planting spring flowers yet?
    7 points
  23. I need all of you to repeat after me: "I solemnly vow to keep the news of the goodies that have been thrust before us on this day to just myself and other members of this forum, if I break this vow I shall be banished to Tim's basement to feed coal in to his weather machine for the remainder of my days" Amen
    7 points
  24. All I know is, Randy better NOT go back up into that ******* attic of his and drag that D**n kiddie pool down again.
    7 points
  25. Had to drive into the office... What did I miss? 18z any good?
    7 points
  26. On Dec 8, 2013 PDX hit 12. It warmed up a bit but Feb 7, '14 it got cold again and snowed. Had about 6". That's been my last good cold and snow together.
    7 points
  27. That 12z ECMWF run was top tier for cold advection out there. Amazing how fragile this progression is..just the tiniest of changes to TPV structure in AK/Yukon 48hrs out could make the difference between a full fledged arctic assault and a complete miss. The inflection point appears to be D2, sometime on Sunday. If we hold on until 00z runs Sunday, should be good, as volatility likely decreases substantially at that point.
    7 points
  28. Any Moisture details will have to wait to the 24-36hr window.
    7 points
  29. 7 points
  30. I'm exhausteddd I need a nap before 00z.
    7 points
  31. With such intense cold air in play this has serious potential. Amazingly it looks like the GFS owned the ECMWF again.
    7 points
  32. Yes you are. You have all your family and they look healthy.
    7 points
  33. Pic doesn’t do it justice. Off and on heavy squalls. Banding setting up right over my neighborhood, then fluctuating 5 miles north/south. Really adding up. 18.4 degrees. Haven’t measured. But our stone wall that’s about 3ft high is drifted over. I think we hit 12” by Sunday. Probably 8-10” depth.
    7 points
  34. Ok this would be just insane. Even half that in the midwest would be an impressive back loaded winter. Feel so bad for North Dakota......but then this is like a once in a lifetime situation for our area. This is something that would be expected up there this time of year. The ice box month of Feb. looks like it might have some legs!
    6 points
  35. First flakes starting to fall at 10:20 pm.
    6 points
  36. OAX forecasting 3-5" tonight and another 2-3" tomorrow night on top of 5" OTG. I want to try to wake up early tomorrow because last year I would've killed for a 3-5" event in Feb lol but we'll see.
    6 points
  37. I know the moment that I hop onboard with this, it will be cold rain and a slow march into spring. So I wont. Winter is still canceled.
    6 points
  38. I screwed up big time...I told my wife. However we might be okay since she is NOT onboard...Her exact words were “you have said this 3 times now over the last few weeks, I am not falling for this again, it’s not happening”
    6 points
  39. 6 points
  40. 18z Euro looks pretty similar to 12z. No sign of trying to hold the energy back/pinch it off in AK like previous runs.
    6 points
  41. Phew, NWS Seattle only thinks it could be cooler, thank god they did not jump on board today.
    6 points
  42. I think it's time for me to strap on my athletic cup, things are going way too good.
    6 points
  43. And another storm on Saturday incase you didn’t get enough snow on Thursday
    6 points
  44. Remember that guy from Tucson who showed up around February 2019. He was like a good luck charm. Bet he's seen more snow than PDX this winter.
    6 points
  45. Here's a possible scenario. Ready? Arctic trough digs even further west, we end up with short-over-water trajectory AND that pulls the PV lobe even closer towards Northern Idaho. We end up with a snow storm Day 5 to 5.5. Incredible arctic blast.
    6 points
  46. On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene!
    6 points
  47. Pattern is about 4-5 days from establishing itself. The medium range *should* be the Euro’s deadly range and hopefully not too many changes between now and then.
    6 points
  48. I think I finally understand why these model gyrations are happening at such a close range. All comes down to how effectively the TPV over Yukon evacuates southward during the first 36-48hrs, as the NAO/Pacific blocks put it under pressure. And that’s an extremely fragile situation..if one of the two blocks is a tad bit weaker, it leaves a little extra TPV energy up in the arctic and it gets trapped in the middle of the retrograde leading to a warmer solution. Or vice versa. In this case the Pacific block is weaker/more fickle, so its the one more correlated to the instabilities.
    6 points
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