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I say lets build a computer system to take into account all the variables and make a prediction of future weather. Heck lets make it one the most advanced computers ever made, it can't be wrong then. Wait, what? We did that already and it still isn't any good past 10 days...

Gary Lezak and the LRC claims that this year's pattern is 46 days. 46 days ago was Feb. 14th, we were smack dab in the middle of record cold. Plus, starting on the 14th and ending on the 17th, KC had cloudy skies for 4 days, 2-4 inches of snow with (3) separate snow events. It snowed on the 14th, the 15th, which had a nice ULL that tracked nicely for KC(snowed for 10 hours that day) and then again on Feb. 17th. Hell, I think Clinton that week had much more snow then KC. 46 days later, we had 75-80 degree weather on Monday,(46 days before Monday, we had a high around 4) no storms in sight and sunny skies. The pattern forgot to cycle. We should of had an unsettled week. Warm start to April and then it crashes?? 12Z GFS is not happy looking after the 7th or so...several weak systems and cold temps for April. Say it ain't so.

Sna Diego broke their old daily record high of 84F for March 31 today (set in 1945). San Diego reached 88F today.

I'd rather not have yet another cold April unless we can get 0.6" of snow to give us a 50" season lol. I remember last year we had a day in the upper 80s towards the beginning of the month, then we got that 5 inches of snow 10 days later.

12Z GFS has a rain/snow storm on or around April 13th in the Plains. Will always take any moisture, but thunderstorms would be the preferred precipitation by that point. Long ways out.

12z GFS = UGLY...April snows???

Looking forward to the 70s this weekend. Currently 32 and windy (again).

While that pesky -NAO block takes control, the ridge pumps up out here in the desert SW and we are Blazing in the Heat. If the Euro is right, we may not only hit our 1st 90F this week but also touch the century mark early next week??? Yeesh, that'll be something...peeps out here know what that could mean down the road for Summer. Unfortunately, what I have always been suggesting, the models bust on the blocking in the long range and given the LRC pattern, it remains clear that we have to prepare for these blocks over the course of the warmer season. The jet is coming to a screeching halt and you can see that the impressive blocking setting up across Canada is going to create a pattern where systems track underneath it. My personal opinion is we will see many of these cut-off troughs, esp as we get into May where its almost a lock that "May Gloom" will be showing up for periods of time in and around the GL's region. Meanwhile, the sun is almost above the mountain peaks to my east as I enjoy watching the sunrise. Gosh, the beauty of sun rises out here is something else....anywho, the stretch of 70's/80's that is abound for the majority of the Sub Forum through at least Thu of next week is prime time Spring weather. The ensembles suggest warmth to continue till next weekend so lets hope they are right.

Tonight's Euro is a major change in the later period. Instead of endless summer, a cold upper low cuts off over the lakes mid to late next week and ruins the pattern. Last run's 80s have turned into 50s.

Here's the Euro later next week... summer warmth for many. But the GFS has other ideas.

Feb in the top 10 coldest and snowiest while March in top 10 warmest and wettest. Feb 21 is also the 6th earliest last measurable snowfall, while this is the only other March besides 2012 and back to 1908 to have zero snow (not even a trace). March has been a worse offender than even Dec in recent years with low snowfall.

Went from very strong south winds and 60s yesterday to screaming west winds, 20s and snow/blowing snow this morning. My house is wide open to the west for at least half a mile, it was one of the windiest/loudest nights I can remember at my place in the almost 10 years I have been in it. Sounded like a summer thunderstorm at times. Getting more precip and snow this morning than anytime since at least Jan. 1, as hard as that may be to believe with all the rain in Nebraska, Iowa, etc. the last few weeks.

Hit 76.8 in my backyard. Warmest high since last November 3rd. We're relatively close to wiping out the deficit this month for below normal temps in February that was 10.4 degrees below normal. March is running +7.5 so far. If you take out 2/6-2/17, this would have been one of the warmer winters on record I'm guessing. November +4.9, December +4.5, January +5.8.... 2/6-2/17 average: -8.5/ 9.4 (27.7 degrees below normal) Rest of February: 20.8/ 40.6 (2.6 degrees above normal)

80-85 on Easter Sunday. Might have to turn on the A/C. Grass may need to be mowed by this weekend the way things are greening up. Much earlier than the last few April's that have been cold and sometimes snowy.

Tonight's Euro is quite warm in the extended for those living sw of the lakes. It has five days of 70s here, with 80s in Nebraska. The dewpoint climbs into the low 60s, too. It's even showing ring-of-fire thunderstorms.