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I think Washington had a great display the otehr day, this was on my way into/and at work. I had to stop and pull over at the river. Was only the 2nd time I've seen anything other than a standard halo/sun dogs. No apologies about the logo haha, and Facebook really crapped on the quality too :0

Enjoying the sun on the deck right now and I have a visitor...

It does follow suit... big shift south on 12Z EPS.

IMG_0452.MP4 Hello from Chicago! I flew back home in the early morning yesterday (7:00am takeoff) and couldn't have asked for a better weather pattern for our flight. Interestingly, we took a southerly route through NM/OK/KS/MO and then our final descent began as we flew over Burlington, IA and crossed over the Mississippi into IL. High Pressure dominated the entire trip as we had clear skies and literally zero turbulence. It was probably the least "bumpy" flight I've taken in recent memory. I loved looking out the window and seeing all the farmland below and tiny looking semi trucks on the highway. I had a 3D visual map playing live and noticed some cities pop up that some of you live in. The ones that come to mind were Ottumwa, Topeka and Kansas City. I paid attention to the maps towards the later part of the trip bc I was so tired for the first half of the flight. I tried taking a nap but the dang kids sitting right behind me (which you will hear in the videos) did not allow me to get a restful nap. Anyhow, once we got into IL and began lowering in elevation, we entered the cloud level and that is when the plane began to bounce around quite a bit. They were the "puffy" fair weather cumulus cloud types. The guy sitting next to me grabbed the seat in front of him and I could tell he got a bit nervous. I enjoyed it! IMG_0454.MP4 IMG_0455.MP4

Patchy frost here this morning. Low temps varied from 36-39 on my way to work. Rain moves back in tonight with 2-3 inches expected over the weekend.

I'll be honest, this cool wx is soo refreshing and enjoyed the day yesterday. It was a chilly 57F inside the house when I arrived and had to flip on the furnace. Had it running just a bit ago. I think the Chicago area has been under a Frost Advisory for 3 or 4 days in a row? Woah! Ya, I think it's time for Spring, or rather, Summer to arrive. All signs are pointing towards exactly that next week! Geeze, mother nature just doesn't want to play ball for those from I-80 on north... Boy, by the middle of next week, the majority of the nation will be under a classic Summer pattern with a dominant southerly flow coming straight out of the Gulf of Mexico. A more noticeably humid and warm air mass will be in place. It's gonna feel like summer!

Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante.

Glancing at preliminary May weather data, temperatures are around average (+/-0.5F) in Western WA, and slightly above (+0.5 to 1.5) in Western OR. Uniform precip departure west of the cascades , with most areas running around 2/3 of normal. If this upcoming pattern depicted by the models holds, which it might not, a cooler/wetter than normal May could be in store for the lowlands (the cooler emphasized especially for Western WA given the neutral anomalies right now). Reeeeally rooting for this given the drought in place; plus we haven't had a cooler than average May since 2012(!).

18z is like a miracle.

Keep that south trend going. SW US needs all the rainfall in the world. And then some.

Brings plenty of rainfall to wide swaths of the West and even some in the Sierra and far north CA where wildfire risk is looking to be extremely high this summer. Would love to see this run verify.

Got a pretty nice close up glimpse of a bald eagle hunting today at the lake but unfortunately it was a little bit too fast for me to capture on camera. It then flew right over me and a couple of crows chased it away. Quite majestic.

I love your sense of humor.

Aha! So that's why the pattern is breaking down! The truth comes out.

I’ll be gone much of next week, but I will be in Oklahoma where it looks very wet.

Gfs and the euro are looking pretty good next week. Hopefully it’s a start to a wet pattern sticks around for awhile.

F*** that. Yellowstone will save us.

Have a -1.5SD cold airmass overhead here and it’s 71 degrees. Feels like we’re approaching the point of no return. Climo changing too fast to keep up.

Here is the 12Z EPS loop for the next 10 days... really nice run. Trough digs south and moves across the entire West and then lifts out rather quickly too.

Not gonna lie, I'm a little salty that central Canada is going to be 20 degrees warmer than central Iowa in the days to come. We just can't get any warm weather around here this spring. Please bring on summer and bury this spring forever.

AGAIN! I had frost here in KC. Not wide spread, but it was there in low lying areas. I dropped to 34 degrees this morning. I love you cold weather, but, only come around Dec. through March.

Once again there is a good amount of frost here in my area. I had a overnight low of 31 and so far it looks like the official low at Grand Rapids will be 33. And that would become the 7th coldest low for any May 13th of record at GR. I also hope that this is the last frost of this spring/summer season. Last year the last frost was on May 13th and last fall the 1st frost was on September 19th. West Michigan looks to remain on the dry side for a while and if that is the case there would tend to be bigger swings in the daily temperatures with warmer highs and cooler lows. At the current time it is clear and 34 here with frost still in the area.

Guessing he and Phil already started exchanging meat pics awhile ago.

Negative tilt...

Wow... That would provide the region with just under May's entire monthly average total over the course of a week.

81/36. Those north winds really made for a nice day.

Pretty sunset. 76/47 day here.

Beautiful

Spring has been utter crap this year with constant cooler than avg temps and endless marine layer. I really hope we see a hot Summer with frequent monsoonal intrusions and tropical cyclone remnants.

Up to 70 for the first time in 2 weeks.

Had an eagle in the tree across the street yesterday. Had to bring the chihuahua in the house. You think bunnies are tough...

Maybe another world war? Global temps dropped nicely after the last one.

Hard not to like that euro run...more rain where it’s needed down in Oregon. We will see what it looks like in a couple days though hopefully similar to this run.

Unfortunately... the 12Z EPS is still drier than normal for Oregon. But its definitely not totally dry and wetter than previous runs.

It was a foggy/DeweyDog drive to work this morning! Sunny and warm now, going to mow when I get home later.

Last nights euro run was nice...pretty wet for western WA. Some rain in Oregon but not as much. Hopefully the wetter solutions win this time.

2400 sq feet. It’s an insane number of windows for a house this side. The installation guys thought they had made a mistake when they showed up and saw the stacks of windows.

Very heavy dew this morning. We just had 29 new windows installed last week. And some of them fogged up on the outside. Seems strange but I guess that’s common with newer energy efficient windows.

Clear and 47 this morning. Looks like the 80s have been extended through Monday now.

Next week looks warmer here with temps in the mid 70's but no 80 degree weather showing up here for at least the next 7 days. The biggest reason is rain being in the forecast everyday for the next 7-10 days. I might need to throw life jackets on my tomato plants. US National Weather Service Kansas City Missouri 36 minutes ago Fun fact: On average KC has 11 days of 80 degrees (or greater) in the month of May. So far this May we've had 1 day on May 1st. This forecast will continue that trend with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms thrown in beginning tomorrow. #ChillinInKC 40 6 21

This can’t be real..right? Blowtorch everywhere except Baffin Island is disappointingly familiar.

Some thunderstorms would brighten the mood! Any progged on the 18z Euro?

Agreed

Up to 80F and not a cloud in the sky. Now like 15" below normal for the water year on top of -17" last water year and getting worse every day. Ground is cracked and even the weeds are having trouble growing. Grass turning brown...this is very bad.

Good grief

Getting close to the time of year when even a "bad" week is still likely warm and dry enough for quite a few outdoor activities.

No. Just fundamental statistical probability. You have 52 perturbations and 6 of them align with the ECMWF OP. So the ECMWF OP run is not the deterministically favored outcome. Doesn’t mean it’s wrong. But it doesn’t have much ensemble support. In the winter we’d be tossing such a run for the same reason.

This June still has the feels of a cool/wet month to me, now more than ever.