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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/27/21 in all areas

  1. 11 points
  2. It's rained for the last 6 hours non stop. The longest duration of precip in several months. I think April 24th but could have been before that.
    10 points
  3. From last nights storm. Produced some widespread large hail.... I can't find it now but saw a video near Red Lake of sideways hail storm pummeling a building, anything short of steel roofs and siding was probably getting shredded. Somehow I ended up with nothing more than a couple distant rumbles of thunder and a few raindrops as the storms parted over Lake of the Woods.
    9 points
  4. Let’s think about some cold and snow back on February 15th. I’ll take that any day compared to this swamp.
    7 points
  5. Instead of the mean trough position sitting just offshore to sitting 1000 miles offshore seems like a pattern shakeup to me. Net result is much cooler and possibly wetter for the interior NW regions which would definitely be pattern shakeup. Obviously said pattern would bring more heat along the coast which I can understand doesn’t feel like a pattern change to some. Which brings us back to location, location location…
    6 points
  6. Let’s pray the monsoon moisture can get up here, on the west side of the crest too.
    5 points
  7. Ensemble support on this, too. This monsoonal moisture advection is the exact scenario we were hoping for all summer.
    5 points
  8. When was the last climatologically significant cool and wet spring or summer in the region? 2012 was the last cool one, and it was obviously pretty far from historically significant. And if you can't see how the notion of that being "made up" for with 9+ years of hot and dry makes little sense from a standpoint of things being balanced, then I don't know what to tell you. Things aren't remotely close to balanced and they won't be going forward either. It is what it is.
    5 points
  9. Low of 58 this morning in Tacoma. Looks like they’re on the edge of the Marine layer this morning but we’re socked in and foggy here on the island. Heck of a sunset and moonrise last night too.
    5 points
  10. Today will be two minutes and twenty eight seconds SHORTER than yesterday!
    5 points
  11. Interesting trends in the models for next week as the PNA is forecast to spike + even farther which really amps up the 500mb pattern. I saw this happen before in the years of 2013 and 2014 when the "Blob" in the NE PAC influenced the wx pattern for western Canada. N PAC SST's on fuego... Not surprised to see the CFSv2 seeing a lot of ridging hugging the western shores of North America for the duration of this month...not to mention, but that big time Block over Greenland??? Hudson Bay Vortex is going to flex its muscles and likely put an end to the summer that did not really exist up in the northern parts of Canada this year. I could see it start snowing early this year and by late Aug snows will begin flying and laying down the foundation up there.
    5 points
  12. Antarctica on the whole having likely the coldest winter ever recorded. Here's Amundsen Scott South Pole obs for July thus far--- June was record cold. July is not far behind. Where is this on the the weather channel? Doesn't fit their agenda?? They could report it and blame on "climate change" - but smart people are seeing that is a bunch of bs when the coldest spot on earth is getting colder in winter. The "Climate Change" bs being AGW is being exposed -- climate is always changing and its got VERY little to do with humans and a trace gas. This record cold is not being reported on,, why??? You can bet if the deviations from avg were on the "+" side of things as much as they are "-", the warming channel would be all over it. btw- I have heard some reports of the coldest temp ever recorded may have occurred at Vostok "area" by satellite in the area of -130 to -140F in the cold wave in late June early July. This is satellite measured. Vostok data is hard to find as I think the station went under in the cold war but clear indications are that the S Pole is getting colder. In the Winter. Which is big when you factor in wet bulbs and saturation mixing ratios .This shouldn't be happening if the whole earth is getting warmer is basically my jest.
    5 points
  13. Looks like our crew will be going out around August 5. Not sure what fire yet, though.
    5 points
  14. For sure. Beans also. The higher wet bulbs today put a damper on temps slightly in C.IA. DSM was forecasted to be 95 and it only made 92F. If the same is tomorrow with dews in mid to upper 70's to low 80's- I doubt anywhere with a dew above 76 or so makes it 100F or above.
    4 points
  15. My apologies for just wanting to talk about the meteorological points of it. I’ll try to be more apocalyptic moving forward.
    4 points
  16. Smoke is still not into western WA at the end of the run...
    4 points
  17. So I really appreciate how much enthusiasm you all have for weather and atmospheric analysis. I'm mostly a lurker here aside from when large events happen (like most I would imagine). And frankly, I graduated this past June with a degree in history so I'm no scientist. That being said my interest in weather is drawn from my history studies -- specifically the impacts weather has had on shaping humanity in a variety of different ways. All of this being said I think I'm beginning to pick up a few things and if I'm not correct please correct me so I can move forward with at the very least a basic understanding of both large scale and small scale events. When you guy's refer to 'troughing' is it related to a low pressure system descending from the north and bringing cold air? Does it require the absence of a high pressure system? I remember a few years ago there was hurricane Dorian (I think that was the one) which was essentially stopped by a brick wall of a high pressure system over Florida which caused it to sit over the Bahamas for a few days. Is there a link between the troughing you all refer to and the jet-stream diverting its course on a southerly direction, creating a void of low pressure and pulling down the aforementioned cool air? If you read through all of this I really appreciate it, I'm trying to learn bit by bit. Maybe one day I can be a solid contributor to these discussions! PS: Sorry if I rambled a bit I've had a few IPA's
    4 points
  18. Different climo periods. Hopefully it’s a persistent shift and we can put the kibosh on fire season.
    3 points
  19. Inject this right into my veins
    3 points
  20. Sure seems that way around here. I see we have just jumped to a 77 Dew at 7:30. No wind at all. Corn belching out moisture all day in a tropical airmass. My best friend, who is a farmer, is an expert in Dew Points and can rattle off stats and information like crazy.
    3 points
  21. It would be naive to say that would mean a constant 2°F marine displacement at all times of day at any point in the summer. There is a lot more subtlety, including the type of pattern, ocean temperatures, or simply how strong (or present) the onshore breezes really are. In this case we have a strong ridge inland creating a steep gradients in heights right along the west coast. Again, it only makes sense then that there would be a steeper gradient in temperatures, even compared to "usual", oriented NW-SE. Though a 5°F depression is certainly not that much noticeable when sunny.
    3 points
  22. Pretty decent nocturnal outbreak early Sunday morning on the 18z.
    3 points
  23. Atleast it’s raining somewhere out west.
    3 points
  24. Exactly... there could be a major pattern change in the big picture that just happens to result in more of the same here. But it still could be considered a major pattern change.
    3 points
  25. Phil is too busy enjoying his coolish summer to care about trolling you this year. Couple warm days this week then back to more extremely pleasant Mid Atlantic summer weather with troughing overhead. His summer of death certainly verified though. Just a couple thousand miles west of where he thought. No biggie.
    3 points
  26. At 2pm my temp was at 91, DP of 73, HI 100
    3 points
  27. Current Nebraska Dew Points at 1:25 pm. I’m sitting at 90 with heat index of 103 and a 73 Dew. Gross.
    3 points
  28. Let's put things in perspective: We had the driest spring on record by a large margin. Our all-time high temperature was shattered last month by a large margin and was broken on 3 consecutive days. June was the warmest of all-time. 43 out of the past 56 days encompassing all of June and July have been warmer than normal. July will be one of the warmest on record. August will begin very warm. We are in the midst of one of the longest dry spells in history. There is no other way to spin this other than it being historically warm and dry. To top it off, there is endless warmth and drought for the foreseeable future. This is all for PDX specifically, but region-wide, the bigger picture is the same.
    3 points
  29. Looking more likely this weekend turns thundery. Certainly over the cascades and east but possibly west side too. Might keep a lid on heat potential
    3 points
  30. I like this line of thundershowers all training into Klamath County from Red Bluff, CA.
    3 points
  31. First thunder since June 24 (as well as rain). Overall the storms are not strong but I am picking up enough rain out of these to freshen the air a lot. Thunder chances extend out to next Monday according to AFDs.
    3 points
  32. When I’m biking out here in the country on calm evenings or nights there’s a big difference in temps between tops and bottoms of the rolling hills by at least 5° or more. Was glad I had a light sweater when I was on the way home from a family reunion near midnight last night! Felt almost chilly in the dips! The reunion continues today with maybe 150+ people here. It will be to hot today.
    3 points
  33. We can finally say that Chicago has fulfilled their 1st Heat Wave of the season. ORD hit 94F yesterday making it the hottest temp of the season while some outer suburbs made it up to the upper 90's which is a bit surprising. The low DP's certainly helped temps rise quickly but I wonder how much higher would temps have peaked if it weren't for the Hazy skies?? Something to consider. In the meantime, DP's rise today and tomorrow as the sultry airmass will provide the fuel to possibly fire up more storms around here late tomorrow. It would be nice to see some more boomers but this would come in the overnight hours likely waking me up after midnight. Let's see how this develops. 0z NAM 3km... 06z GFS... 06z ICON... 0z RGEM... The data coming in is raising eyebrows....boy, this could be one hellova storm cluster...
    3 points
  34. Generator has been rolling since 10ish, tons of trees down in the Northwoods.
    3 points
  35. My first game of the season and they did not disappoint. Atmosphere was great and so was the weather! Best game I’ve been to in a LONG LONG time.
    3 points
  36. Buzz is really starting to build about this team…
    3 points
  37. First off, glad to have you here! Awesome to see new faces streaming in. There are a couple answers to your question. The functional/"What does this mean for my weather?" answer (what I'm assuming you're looking for) is that troughing is associated with a southward "dip" in the jet stream+storm track; the inverse of a "ridge", which is a northward surge in the jet. Troughing is (usually!) associated with cooler, wetter weather and is what us snow weenies look out for in the winter, since they can bring down arctic air from Canada. There is a more technical answer to this question, since troughing is a real meteorological term that is associated with physics; although you do not need to learn this, since local weather knowledge+pattern recognition goes a long way, and is in most cases all you really need. -- If you are interested, the more technical/"correct" answer to this involves the literal thickness of the atmosphere. Warm air being less dense than cold air means that it literally takes up more volume per unit mass comparatively. This is significant because we know that due to gravity, the atmosphere exerts a certain amount of pressure at any given point on or above earth's surface. We can measure atmospheric pressure using a device called a barometer, which uses mercury to determine just how heavy the atmosphere is at that location; usually measured in millibars (mb) due to how fine that unit of measurement is. The higher you go, the less pressure is exerted, since there is less atmosphere weighing down from above (the rest is below.) At sea level, where most of the world lives, the atmosphere exerts roughly 1000mb of pressure. For the sake of simplicity, let's say we have two identical airmasses, except one is 5°C cooler all the way up (surface to tropopause) than the other. We'll call the cooler one our "trough" sample. Now since we know that cold air contains less volume than warm air due to its higher density, we can infer that our trough airmass will be denser, and consequentially less spacious, than our warm airmass. To understand why that's important, let's compare what's going on inside our two examples. Starting at the surface, in this case sea level, we find the same measurement between the two (close to 1000mb), since in both cases the same amount of mass is weighing down from above. But as we increase our elevation, at the same rate, we'll find that the amount of atmospheric pressure exerted begins to diverge. We'll notice that the colder airmass will have a lower atmospheric pressure than the warmer airmass, even at the same altitude, let's say 15,000 feet. In other words, we do not need to go as high up to find a given pressure reading than in the warm airmass. The elevation at which, say, 500mb exists, is literally lower in a cooler airmass than in a warm one. If you were to make a cross-section, with x representing a slice of the surface and y as altitude, you'd find that there would be a "dip" in 500mb elevation where the airmass was cooler. Hence, a "trough"! Why is this? Well again, we need to think about our airmasses in terms of both temperature and volume. As we raise our barometer higher into the trough airmass, we'll find that we're rising above more air molecules at a faster rate than in the warm airmass, since the air is cooler and denser. To get a better idea of why this is, I threw together a diagram, since I am not too elegant with words. The same concepts are there, but presented visually. Essentially the term trough in an atmospheric context is used when thinking in terms of pressure, like a topographical map. Wikipedia has a great article on it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trough_(meteorology).
    3 points
  38. Before the low clouds covered it up, I got this sweet cloudscape shot from this morning…
    3 points
  39. Looks like the 00Z GFS likes the idea of that little vort max lifting north late Saturday/early Sunday as well.
    2 points
  40. We are going to turn that around in less than 5 months... its almost here!
    2 points
  41. 2 points
  42. There's already a next round of showers coming into the forecast area creeping up on radar. Those look a little stronger, maybe t'storms tonight.
    2 points
  43. Davis weather station just south of town at 7:45 pm at a corn field.
    2 points
  44. Do rural stations in corn country always report much higher dews? That would support the corn = humidity argument. 88/79 in Shenandoah, IA rn. I believe it. It's bad.
    2 points
  45. Nope. More of the same until Columbus Day 2022.
    2 points
  46. Flash Flood Warning just issued near Weed.
    2 points
  47. And now for something completely different,… 102* Feels like 108*. Scattered Showers. (**cough** Sauna)
    2 points
  48. Careful there, Jared is likely lurking close at hand ready to rattle off his list of "cold" 21st century Augusts.
    2 points
  49. 103 in Portland on Friday... our cold summer continues.
    2 points
  50. Ft Worth starting its day at 83* It can’t get better from here. Everyone’s praying the power doesn’t fail. Heat index will hit 105*+ Yet I’ve read the poles have each experienced their coldest winters. This can’t bode well for our next winter. Texas is holding its breath in fear the grid will fail again.
    2 points
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