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Heading up north to Cub Creek tomorrow.

I'd keep an eye on models for some radical changes after day 7-8 or thereabouts. Basically watch for massive changes. I think the last half of August is going to be crazy. I think fast fall is coming. Early.

Nailed it, Tom. Right on time, as usual. I'm about ready to get locked in and brace myself for this one. Going to be the longest winter of my life. I believe that.

The Euro Seasonal came in yesterday and it has certainly trended towards the cooler and wetter look the CFSv2 has been rock steady on. Take a gander at the 500mb and temp/precip anomalies. What is catching my eyes is what is going on up in Canada....boy, Oh Canada, your going to be heading right into Autumn/Winter this month and those AN precip anomalies will prob include Snowfall. 500mb...Archipelago Vortex looks interesting for many reasons... Temp/Precip... @Andie @OKwx2k4your going back to the Ol' pattern that set up heading into Summer...meanwhile, the model is suggesting AN temps near the GL's...ehh, I'm not buying it based on the teleconnections and blocking patterns showing up in the LR.

Be safe Jesse!

They have like 4 days to get a handle on these... https://www.statesmanjournal.com/story/news/2021/08/06/oregon-wildfires-fire-near-mount-washington-closes-wilderness-pct-big-lake/5513663001/

Good luck and thanks for helping out!

The overnight low here was a mild 64 and it looks like the official overnight low at GRR was 62 At this time it is cloudy here with some rain to the west over the lake. The first 5 days of August have been below average here at GR. At this time it is cloudy and 73 here.

Flipped the A/C on yesterday and prob won't turn it off till later next week as it stands now. For the time being, its a relatively warm and comfortable morning 73F/61F with clear skies. Hoping to get some cells to develop this afternoon. The next few days will feature several waves over the region as a typical summer pattern sets up. I have a rooftop party I was invited to on Sat near Uptown so I'm looking forward to that and might have to dodge some storms. 0z Euro...pretty generous through Wed... Alright, as we near the end of next week, I think the models are starting to digest the development of the NW PAC ridge around the 10th/11th alongside a west-based Greenland Block allowing a trough to swing through our Sub by next weekend. Some pretty big changes in the modeling for Week 2 according to the latest 0z EPS...hats off to the JMA & CFSv2 weeklies for "seeing" this pattern. Its looking cooler for Week 2...in fact, I just dug a bit deeper and its looking a lot cooler and wetter esp near the MW/GL's region. The idea of re-surging troughs coming down out of Canada could finally be coming into fruition. Let's hope it continues because this type of pattern would bring much needed relief up north and west of here. Next 7 days off the 0z EPS....

Nice today, a bit warmer and less windy in the afternoon with the first real evening glass-off in a while.

Most sudden flip in enso I have ever witnessed. Going to be the fastest and hardest fall into winter we have ever had in our lifetime. I think I'm 100 percent on that.

Unusually windy today with sustained winds around 23 mph with gusts near 30 mph. Very Spring like....

Seeing some eddy circulation this morning.

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-a-large-earthquake-trigger-earthquakes-distant-locations-or-other-faults?qt-news_science_products=0#qt-news_science_products Earthquakes, particularly large ones, can trigger other earthquakes in more distant locations though a process known as dynamic stress transfer/triggering. This means that the energy from the seismic wave passing through can cause a new earthquake, usually in vulnerable locations prone to frequent earthquakes (e.g., volcanic regions).

Greenville, CA burned down.

Last year, we had a run of days in my city in mid July and again in August that barely reached 66 in full sun, and dipped into the 50s as soon as the sun went down. It was literally like April and I couldn’t remember anything like it in my life, even in 2010 it was warmer than that when the clouds broke.