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I had a great hike up through the fog at Triple Falls. It was my first time up since before the Eagle Creek Fire. Obviously huge changes, but the light was epic today. Crappy cell phone pics attached...

I hope we have one more good shot of winter this month and then I'm ready for spring! In other news, seems the forum has been pretty active...

Hello everyone, I am recently new to the forum and really enjoy all the discussion. I have learned a lot over the years lurking on this forum. I live on the west side of Detroit metro area. Now lets get a share the wealth system .

I wish we could keep politics off the weather threads. Doesn't belong here and doesn't do anything positive.

Thought this was interesting.

I never fault a person for moving onto better pay or better opportunities. Certain jobs have to be low pay, for two reasons, your skill level and to keep things cheap, like fast food, dollar store, etc. If everyone is paid the same, who is going to work for anything. So, this fight for better pay for the folks in the service industry like restaurants, does absolutely nothing for the person screaming for more pay. If small businesses are forced to pay more, that obviously will require them to raise their prices, which in turn will cancel out your raises. I'm making more, but, I'm paying more to eat and live. YOU'RE IN THE SAME SPOT!! That fight for more pay is ridiculous, you choose to do that job, you know what it pays!! There's a reason it pays that. You also can choose to better educate yourself, work your way up, learn a trade, start your own business or bar or restaurant. For example, my company, if you only know how to weed whack, you don't get $30/HR, now if you know how to construct retaining walls, outdoor kitchens, landscape lighting, irrigation systems, water features, which is what we do, you get paid because you are skilled. I pay those guys well!! You get paid based off what you bring to the table. If you want to weed whack and not learn anything else, that's fine, no problem at all, but you can't expect to get paid the same as the others that worked hard to achieve better skills. I'm all about if your skill is nothing, your work ethic is nothing, your motivation to improve your skill is nothing, you get paid next to nothing. It's pretty simple. You have a choice when you wake up every day. Farmer's should always be taken care of, they're the reason you eat everyday.

Also... this is what shows as partly cloudy for today.

Hit an amazing 57.6 here about 1pm. Still lots of snow on north slopes and woodeds areas. Steadily falling since wind shifted to wnw. Really felt nice since its 10 degrees warmer than any day for over 1 month light wind too.

YuckYuckYuckYuckYuckYuckYuckYuckYuck

Yesterdays Euro Weekly Control at hr 384. Neat!

There is nothing more pointless than trying to discuss politics on the Internet. There’s never ever a winner in those arguments. Anyways, I’m starting to look forward to spring. We’ve had snow on the ground for about a month and a half now. I’m ready for some warmth. Not that I wouldn’t cheer on a snowstorm if one pops up.

I would guess if there was weather to talk about people would be focused on another discussion

Winter still an A here. Not an A+ but still an A. 10" of snow is enough in this location.

I think I'd have to give winter a C at this point. Hard to give it anything less given how good the late December event was. Take away that week and it's an F.

Haha, we're so screwed for the rest of this year. Cost of food is going to get even worse, farmers having to spread fertilizer which is going to go up in price with machinery that uses diesel fuel which is reaching higher prices than they've been in a long time, not to mention running irrigation systems that rely on fuel too. It's fun to come here and whine about snowboarding and snowmobiling not being good and trying to figure out why, but unless we see some serious precipitation, things are going to get bad. RIP restaurants with the food cost increases, every restaurant I go to already raised their prices or lowered the quality of ingredients and made portions a lot smaller. If it gets worse the industry is in serious trouble, among many other ones already squeezed by covid restrictions.

Not really! I woulda stayed up there if I could. But when you get offered a 100K/yr job in St. Paul, you take it.

Here at my house there was a half inch of new snow fall yesterday and there is a fresh coating of snow on the ground. The overnight low here was 22 and at this time it is 23. Officially at GRR 0.8" of snow fell yesterday for the month GRR now has reported 6.7" and for the season GRR is now at 52.3" that is a departure of -3.4" Today will be the 44th day in a row of at least 1" of snow cover. The last time it has gotten above 50 was on Christmas day when the high was 52. The highest it has been so far in 2022 at GRR is 46.

At least with Temps 120+ hours or so out-- the Euro has been caving to the GFS for some time. I never remember this is previous winters' . The Euro weeklies also at the 4 week forecast have showed above normal temps for the entire winter. Since the last 5 weeks or so have been below normal for many reading- well the EURO is not what it used to be- or at least what I remember from the last 10-20 years. Maybe the GFS did improve in the temp forecasts with it's recent upgrades ?? But most still vault the Euro to be King?? Temp wise- this winter, the Euro past 120 hours has gotten it's arse kicked.

Models are consistently showing a storm at this time frame. Starting to feel someone in the middle of the country will be dealing with a potent system 18th/19th.

Calling out BS? So, your saying my input on here is BS?? I find that amusing, seriously, to hear that coming from you is appalling. This is an open forum. This is a place where you can speak freely and provide input in an open discussion of the weather. I'll continue to discuss the weather as I've always have. It's a passion of mine and I have conviction in my thoughts of the weather patterns. For the record, there are a number of members on here who appreciate what I do. In fact, they reach out to me on a personal level and we keep in touch throughout the year. A lot of them don't really post but lurk instead. IF you have a serious issue with the way I comment, post, analyze data and draw conclusions from that data, forecast and/or predict LR patterns...then...you know what to do. I am praying for moisture to finally hit your region bc maybe that is what is the issue so that your boredom doesn't effect this Sub Forum. That is all for now.

Forecast of 43 tomorrow with daylight a bit longer. Yup there will be sirloins on the Weber. Still hoping for snow and cold....it is early February afterall, and I'm betting I'll get some more of that here.....but I'll take advantage of some March temps if that's what I'm given for now.

Well, the non-Nino years on that list all turned things around at least a little bit pattern wise. 1971, 1996, 2006, and 2018 all had big West Coast troughing by the end of February. And 1961 and 1967 waited a bit longer but both had pretty cool/wet March and Aprils.

Well put, the amount of money that actually goes to help those poor folks in real need is so small compare to all the other spending for big business, military etc. is sad. But again emotional issues. They fool a lot of people in believing that actually hurts our country. It's all deflection. Oh no, we gave a family of 4 in need some food stamps worth 100 bucks for 2 weeks. WE ARE DOOMED!!! But they don't care about the billions handed out elsewhere. My main point is they all bitching about droughts, supply issues etc, but then all vote against doing anything about it because of something completely unrelatable. They are just being played. Climate change is real. Just accept it. If people actually realized helping people get a job and a livable wage would actually make the country better.

This yes! Can we be friends lol.

Found your palm trees and cactus

You are only allowed to vacation at Baffin Island! Or Hawaii since that is the only time it snows here when you are gone.

Definitely. Birmingham, AL at 33N got down to 2 degrees on March 14, 1993. With the right ingredients, there's no reason why we couldn't see significant cold/snow in later Feb/March at our latitude. It's just that dynamic blocking patterns that strongly advect low level cold air into the western lowlands tend to be fewer and further between by then. They're more common in the Eastern U.S. obviously and thus you can see places much further south than us still seeing some midwinter-esque cold air advection even at the tail end of the season.

Whatever is happening it really hates Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. I think it's too late to salvage this, we'll be under half of normal snowfall for the fun parts of winter, and we'll probably get a big snow in April that does nothing for skiing, snowboarding, and snowmobiling except pad stats so people look back and say that 2021-2022 wasn't a bad winter since they were only a little below average total snowfall. It's amazing how just last year it was only average consistent snowfall all winter and it felt like an amazing one.

my brah-n-law has a place in Palm Desert. might hafta' make a run

They correctly noted the elephant in the room:

That's crazy that it's only been 40 as the previous highest temp. Looking at my stats, I've been at least 40 degrees already 19x this year!

I give it an F+ even with the good week in December. When its all said and done, eleven weeks of boredom will overpower one week of fun.

YEP! This country is in big trouble, what a shame. We were flying high not so long ago. Destroying my business also as fuel and fertilizer drive my needs too. Staffing is still horrible and the cost of operations goes up daily. Inflation is uncontrollable right now and nobody can forecast when relief is on the way. What a mess

It's the warmest day of the year around here, already well into the 40s. The previous high temp this year was 40º.

With nothing on the horizon I am downgrading this winter to a B. If we hadn’t had that amazing stretch of weather between Christmas and New Years I would currently have this winter as a D+. What an incredibly dull stretch we have been in since 1/2/22.

It feels like we're beginning 2015 all over again with how constant this ridging is. Troughing is fought over tooth and nail and is immediately paid for by another week of ridging. This is La Niña right???

The 00z Euro just caved, going from 50s to 20s Monday, and only low 40s Tuesday.

Today was the first day I could actually feel the heat of the sun through the clouds. Too soon.

GFS starting to latch onto a more precip further S into IOWA for Friday. Most of the qpf in Ia is liquid, but any moisture is much needed.GFS also getting colder for Sat AM-- below zero now into N.IA--

Speaking of flying, I went to Paine Field last weekend to watch planes land. I was hoping there would be some condensation vortexes off the wings and I was not disappointed. Airplanes are awesome.

Speaking of the economy and corporations

18z gonna try...

I hit 61 on Feb 1st!

Another true sign that the pattern does indeed cycle. The same areas keep getting missed. The same dry cycles in the late fall and all of winter can turn wet in the spring as the storm track shifts farther NW as the seasons change.

12z GFS and CMC are beginning to agree on the timing and for today at least they agree on the track.

Interesting, I believe the euro did much better in SMI than the GFS with the heavier snow to the north and west. Might be wrong though.

Still enjoying the ridging. Beats more AR’s. While spring is off to an early start, this is merely an early start to the annual Spring Tease. The cold and stormy weather will come back. (Remember, it can snow in March.)