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Had to say goodbye to my dear old kitty Walter just a couple of days after his 17th birthday. He was a big fan of Christmastime and inversions.

We both know it’s not unbelievable, but it is sickening.

Indeed! Both the beginning and the end of the month. First pic on 11/6 we were still on generator power from the massive west windstorm on 11/4

1972-73 featured two big regional arctic airmasses across the entire West. Whole first half of December and then a poor man's version of that from January 4-10. It still generally featured a dull back end, but the front half was about as good as we've ever seen from a strong El Nino. You'd have to go back to 1896-97 to find a strong Nino that really delivered in the back half for the PNW, although March 1966 was decent as well. Remains to be seen whether this Nino reaches strong status, obviously the warmth is ridiculous right now in the eastern basin but it's still having a tough time reaching region 3.4.

Last November was pretty good for me!

Hello from out east! My band is currently on an east coast tour. We started in Atlanta last night and we're in Asheville NC tonight. Typical warm and muggy with a few showers and storms so far on our trip. We're slowly making our way to the northeast. I won't return home til the 27th.

The ridges keep setting up over the Pnw or higher into Bc like earlier in the summer. Makes me wonder if a blast like 1972 might be in the cards this winter. Our 10 day shows normal temps with no heat wave which has been the theme down here this summer. Truckee hit 33F this morning and we have had patchy frost the last two mornings!

The muggies return here tomorrow but the pattern remains active for the middle of the country with chances of severe weather.

Lahaina fire death count is now up to 36.

looks like we're indeed looking at legit triple digits next week. gross

November is going to be epic.

At least the 10-day smoke forecasts are showing no widespread issues...unless more fires get going during the heat wave. Looks like 3 days in the 90s at SEA and 3 days in the 100s at PDX. And we're lucky the ridge is centered offshore this time, otherwise it would be 3 days in the 100s at SEA and 3 days in the 110s at PDX.

I don't bet, but if I did the money would be on a general dud. Now are we talking a decadal dud, or just a fairly lame.

Not downplaying anything...you're deflecting from your missed calls in June/July.

Hmm my area got crushed in all of those years except for 1972-1973. But the Dec 1972 cold snap was on par with Dec 1990. I better tune up the snow blower.

The official H/L yesterday was 80/61 there was no rain fall. There were 0 HDD’s and 6 CDD’s the highest wind gust was 2 MPH out of the west. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 98 was set in 1944 and the record low of 45 was set in 1972. The most rain fall of 1.80” fell in 2012. Last year the H/L was 83/57 with no rain fall. The best chance of rain now looks to be on Friday but several days will also see rain chances. Most of the next week will be near to below average temperature wise with Monday looking like a very cool day.

Buddy, that's cold weather. Extremely cold. Like you said, exactly the opposite. Imagining that on into full winter months of DJF and you have a full-scale memorable winter for the whole eastern 2/3 of the US.

Hard to believe I only got .25 in the gauge. Hard to break the drought.

Current view from my dads room in ICU at the hospital in Everett. He is far from out of the woods but he is at least more stable over a few days ago. Seeing your parents aging and having more serious health problems is not an easy thing.

Not sure if this is the unpopular opinion but I’m kinda over the heat. I miss the cool cloudy days like today and I really hope next week’s heat wave isn’t unbearable. Can’t wait for fall.

Spent a few days up at Watch Lake over the BC day weekend. The weather was nearly perfect. Topped out at 84F on Sunday, which is pretty warm for up there. (3600ft elevation). There was a bit of smoke at times but it wasn’t too noticeable. My girls and dogs had a great time.

It will not be the warmest of all time. And I *am* ready to call that a lock.

Strictly statistically, no doubt. But these things can be pretty streaky, especially on a regional level. Parts of the US saw their all-time heat records get obliterated several times in the 1930s.

Not all that hard to anticipate earlier given the generally torchy summer outlook. https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/21869-pacific-northwest-weather-june-2023/page/7/#comment-1142169

Of course it was inevitable, but statistically speaking the odds of exceeding their old record of 107 again just over two years later is fairly low. I was thinking it might happen again in 5-10 years following the 2021 nightmare.

You and I both know we're well beyond this. It was inevitable.

I won't make a seasonal forecast for at least another six weeks or so, but odds favor December for any action we might see this year. Even December 1997 was fairly chilly down this way, pretty inversion driven.

The 2nd half of that month was extraordinarily wet.

At YVR, Dec 1972 started out chilly and ended mild and rainy. Some snow, but hardly epic amounts.

Thanks Front Ranger, I have included my responses in red. SFA

Odds would say you're probably right, but then it seems the PNW climate has been playing by different rules lately. Stuck in long ruts, some good, some bad. Odds would say you're due for a cool summer. Still not happening. Odds would say February is due for a dud. But it keeps delivering. Odds would say January is way overdue for a blockbuster. Keeps busting. Odds would say the PNW is due for a regional dud, especially with El Nino. But then Feb 2019 happened.

Models pretty consistently show the potential for a low level southerly reversal by next Tuesday or Wednesday. Usually takes the edge off for the south valley first.

Eugene Area, OR (ThreadEx) Daily Data For a Month December 1972 Day MaxT MinT AvgT Dprt HDD CDD Pcpn Snow Dpth 1 57 33 45.0 2.9 20 0 T 0.0 0 2 49 38 43.5 1.6 21 0 0.68 0.0 0 3 44 30 37.0 -4.7 28 0 0.02 T 0 4 32 20 26.0 -15.6 39 0 0.00 0.0 0 5 35 20 27.5 -13.9 37 0 0.24 4.0 0 6 24 15 19.5 -21.7 45 0 0.12 3.5 6 7 20 -6 7.0 -34.1 58 0 0.01 0.2 7 8 13 -12 0.5 -40.5 64 0 0.00 0.0 5 9 19 -5 7.0 -33.8 58 0 0.00 0.0 4 10 16 -7 4.5 -36.2 60 0 0.00 0.0 4 11 31 -5 13.0 -27.6 52 0 0.04 0.7 3 12 35 14 24.5 -16.0 40 0 0.06 1.5 6 13 28 15 21.5 -18.9 43 0 0.00 0.0 5 14 26 9 17.5 -22.8 47 0 0.00 0.0 4 15 32 22 27.0 -13.2 38 0 0.01 0.0 4 16 47 32 39.5 -0.7 25 0 1.20 0.0 3 17 53 44 48.5 8.4 16 0 1.22 0.0 T 18 56 46 51.0 10.9 14 0 0.87 0.0 0 19 57 51 54.0 14.0 11 0 0.38 0.0 0 20 58 50 54.0 14.0 11 0 1.36 0.0 0 21 61 50 55.5 15.5 9 0 0.51 0.0 0 22 54 48 51.0 11.0 14 0 1.00 0.0 0 23 55 42 48.5 8.5 16 0 0.96 0.0 0 24 49 41 45.0 5.0 20 0 0.88 0.0 0 25 54 39 46.5 6.5 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 26 55 38 46.5 6.4 18 0 0.39 0.0 0 27 48 40 44.0 3.9 21 0 0.62 0.0 0 28 48 33 40.5 0.4 24 0 0.16 0.0 0 29 42 33 37.5 -2.7 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 30 48 36 42.0 1.7 23 0 0.05 0.0 0 31 43 30 36.5 -3.8 28 0 0.00 0.0 0

Shows some convection that day, so probably cloud cover.

How come this shows it being so much cooler here than other areas? Makes no sense as we're usually warmer.

Yeah F this.

It’s already been an extremely hot summer by pre-2013 standards. I think my call has been spot on, people are just beginning to come around. As typical people often resist prophecy.

Not worth spending time whining about summer here anymore. It’s a horrible time of year everyone hates it and we just have to put our head down, plow through and pray our home doesn’t burn in the process. Fall will be here eventually.

Was sprinkling when I got off work a few hours ago. It’s been on and off ever since, nothing measurable. Humid again.

Haven't been paying attention to weather back home for a while, but the euro and GFS look ridiculous. Euro shows 108 in Portland. I can't wait for fall and winter

Really sad. We spent so much time there. I thought about fire when we were there with that entire mountainside of brown grass and the trade winds always blowing from tne east. Obviously this was extreme though and not the usual trade winds.

Yeah. At best it’s incredibly predictable and boring.

Meanwhile put up a 79/61 here. Some morning drizzle then party cloudy, kind of nice and breezy out this evening. 76 currently.

Here goes another pathetic shower attempt.

Topping out at 108 today. (and it felt like it)…..

One of my uncle's side of the family is Hawaiian and they're in absolute distraught right now. Most of their family is safely in Oahu but know plenty of close friends who live on Maui. I know a guy who lost his house too in Lahaina. Just horrific devastation, the perfect storm of things coming together to make a Paradise 2.0. A hurricane down to the south fanning the flames just had to be there

He passed Go quite awhile ago. Actually I feel better with him on the beach. We know he isn’t really driving bus.

This is a great sign to see model agreement at this range as the UKMET model is seeing a similar 500mb pattern over North America for the Autumn/Winter. Boy, that W NAMER Ridge and HIGH LAT Blocking is quite intriguing to say the least! #STJ...very evident...you guys down south will likely see a completely opposite weather pattern compared to what your experiencing right now. SEP-NOV.... OCT-DEC...

I just had to....Snows will be coming early and often this Autumn as we enter SEP for the Canadians and N Rockies. Let it Snow, Let it Snow, Let it Snow...let's see if there are any reports of Snow come Mid August in this region.

Local Mets are saying No Tx highs won’t dip below 100 until after the 20th. May as well set things on cruise control. Can’t wait to see rain! Edit: Farmers Almanac has released their prognostications