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A couple from the real camera. Few sprinkle falling here, typical after a great sunrise. The real amazing ones have rain falling as I'm getting into the car.

Wow, our sunrise was great, but that red in your photos is just amazing! Here's some photos I got from the sunrise on tumalo mountain this morning

Sticking well up at Stevens now.

First flakes of the year just now. 38 degrees.

18gefs

Nice!

Alpental got a foot of snow at the top today.

BOOM lightning baby!!

It's nice to see this setup starting to show middle of November.

We currently have October decorations up…But they are on borrowed time…Cannot wait to get the holiday/Christmas season underway!

If it was winter, that setup on Friday would probably be snowy here.

It's a beaut Clark!

I worked for a gaming company in the 90's that developed the casino network slot systems (where you have a whole bank of slot machines feeding into a mega jackpot). They also did the player cards to track customer play and loyalty rewards programs. It's common now, but back then is was brand new technology The office set up consisted of a series of pods. Off of the main hallway was a round-ish room with offices all around the circle, so each engineer had their own office. We had a Sheldon (Big Bang Theory) type guy who was the definition of "nerd" He had his own huge work area/laboratory, and designed an all in one motherboard before it was really a thing. This was the early 90's when there was still separate cards for just about everything (Sound, video, network, Hard Drive controllers, etc). We also had a guy who worked for Atari, and was one of the creators for all of the big arcade classics from the 80's. He had a huge collection of prototype and one off versions of games, and he had them set up in one of the empty pods. We could walk in and play them anytime we wanted. Pole Position, Space Invaders, Donkey Kong, Pac Man. All of the designers/programmers had their own space, pretty much came and went as they pleased, and it was amongst the best places I ever worked, and everyone felt the same way. The turnover was pretty much zero. All new hires were thanks to growth. I almost got a trip to Australia to support an installation there, but as my luck would have it, we had just hired a production guy who was American, but had just moved back from Australia (and had an Australian wife). He already had his passport, and visa to work there, so he was the chosen one (rotten b*stard!) Without question, the best places I've worked at were small software/hardware companies in the 90's.

This is from the NWS

West side of the metro and on up to Corvallis has seen rotation and wall clouds. Exciting shitt!!

I've been noticing a trend with the EPS. For awhile it was showing a positive solution but the past couple of days it's starting to show more of a negative solution. I'm hoping this means more of an active pattern and maybe some colder temperatures

I should take Friday off and put up the Christmas lights since we will be past Halloween and officially in the holiday season!

Weather models has it, it's been out a little while

First round of drought relief and some snow.

Off topic but interesting to me because I always assumed weather played a big role in getting the rut started but this guy has been super consistent the last 5 years. I have cameras all over our place in twisp and this total chode of a buck is a perfect ghost the entire year except for one or two days at the end of October. I mean we have never ever seen him except on the cams, and we’ve hunted hard up there for 10 days mid October every year. And here he is again, right on schedule. Missing 2021 shots.

Yeah, they always start the week after the last Oktoberfest weekend. And once they have a decent amount of lights on, they leave them on in the evening, even though they won't finish until sometime just before Thanksgiving.

Not a bad looking little spinner…

Models (especially the CAMs) keep shifting the heaviest rain band a little further southeast and are pretty much somewhere right across my area now, and a few even showing just south of here. Severe thunderstorm watch just west of my area currently. Small thunderstorms trained across my community this morning, but seemed to not get direct hits, being on n. or s. sides. Got 0.14" from from several brief cells including some lightning and thunder. My cousin 1.5 miles south reported some hail. Below are some of the larger hail stones from the storm last week after it melted a bit.........

Beauty this morning.

Ensembles from last night

Most models have about 3-5" of snow for my region tomorrow. However, the only model that's really nice to me specifically is GFS. All the others have the cutoff about one county to my east.

34 with some light snow right now.. too warm for accumulation

Definitely was decent shear earlier. May have moved on for now but that was fun!

Here is the 00Z HRRR. Looks like it's going to be very active the next 48 hours 🌧

There is a good chance October will be my rainiest month this season. Most of my generous rain total this month is due to a single overperforming atmospheric river event.

Yikes, that's truly terrible. I'm on the spectrum, so ambient noise and other distractions can really get to me at times. Really loved the COVID-era work from home trend and sorry to see it end.

Seems like climo is trying to win out in the first half of November. The ridge is super transient and the +T850 anomalies last for maybe 3-4 days at most. So we catch a brief window to dry out and get some sun, followed by wet period mid-month. Saving the cold for December is also fantastic for those of us who are directly at sea level, I don't need to see more chunky rain.

Looks like a strong PV for a while.

I married into a family that owns a few small cabins around Hughes Lake deep in the woods of the UP. They have been in the family since 1906. I have visited a few times, cool place. Only mode of transport in winter is a snowmobile.

Cascades of Lane County- Including the cities of Waldo Lake and Willamette Pass 327 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 12 inches from 3500-5000 feet and up to 24 inches along higher terrain. Up to 30 inches above 6000 feet. * WHERE...Cascades of Lane County. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. North Oregon Cascades-Cascades of Marion and Linn Counties-South Washington Cascades- Including the cities of Tombstone Summit, Breitenbush Springs, Lost Lake, Santiam Pass, Indian Heaven Wilderness, Santiam Junction, Timothy Lake, Mt. St. Helens, McKenzie Pass, Government Camp, Larch Mountain, and Bennett Pass 327 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6-12 inches except up to 16 inches along the tops of the volcanos (above 5500 feet). * WHERE...In Oregon, North Oregon Cascades and Cascades of Marion and Linn Counties. In Washington, South Washington Cascades. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Camp Sherman, Sunriver, Sisters, and La Pine 623 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY ABOVE 4000 FEET... * WHAT...Wet snow expected above 4000 feet. Total snow accumulations up to 8 inches between 4000 and 5000 feet, with up to 16 inches above 5000 feet. * WHERE...East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Periods of moderate and heavy snow will combine with low visibilities to create difficult driving conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A broad, slow-moving system will bring significant snowfall across the Oregon Cascades this afternoon through Friday. A slight lull in snowfall is forecast tonight before returning Thursday morning.

The 1st Winter Storm Watch of the season hoisted for the Northwoods of MN near Duluth...

Here is the 06Z HRRR. Can you guess where the front is...lol. The showers behind the front look very intense. Maybe we could see a funnel cloud or two out of those showers 🌪

Some impressive downpours today. Also pretty chilly with it down to 45 and pouring right now. Jesse is smiling while looking down at us from heaven!

That is definitely solid.

Lava Butt not getting it done

35 now, should be some snow soon

How can you not be romantic about this?

Odd, Mt bachelor has the snow guns on, despite the fact they're just about to be hit by a big snowstorm. Operating those things is pretty expensive, I guess they can afford it but it seems like a waste....

I had a dream last night that a tornado hit north Seattle and knocked over the tree across the street from my mom’s house. Good sign for the winter?

Good morning! Here are the squiggly GFS PNA lines for the day.

ENH Risk for KC area... Boy, it must feel rather warm this morning for Chitown...

A new record high has already been set at Marquette for October 30th. The 6AM reading of 68 is a new record high. The 6AM reading of 70 at Munising is the 2nd warmest for any October 30th the record of 75 was set in 1946. And at the Sault the 6AM reading of 69 is also the 2nd warmest there with 74 in 1901 being the record.

Yesterday was a record warm day across Michigan. Here is a recap of the new record around the state. 80 at Kalamazoo and Traverse City, 79 at Grand Rapids, Holland, Battle Creek. 78 at Flint, 77 at Lansing and Saginaw, 73 at Alpena and Houghton Lake, 69 Marquette. And the overnight low at GR so far is just 69 if it stays above 58 until midnight a new record warm low will be set here. It is 69 and windy here at the current time. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79R/55 there was 0.11” of rainfall. The highest wind was 31MPH out of the S. The sun was out 63% of the time. For today the average H/L is 55/38 The record high of 79 was set in 1950 the coldest high of 32 was set in 1917. The record low of 18 was set in 1988 the warmest low of 58 was set in 1974. The record rainfall of 2.83” fell in 2009 the most snowfall of 1.5” fell in 1923.

Two models, the NAM and GFS, are on their own with a far nw track of the heavy rain. The rest of the models are emphasizing the storms along the front and progressing them eastward much more quickly, which gets my area into the heavy rain band.

For years I thought how nice it would be to get north of the Chuckanut Mountains and into the Fraser outflow zone, then found a way to make it happen. And it is nice to be someplace where it's easier to score a nice snowfall, yet which still overall has a mild marine climate.