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First snowfall of the year in the Front Range foothills. This is from RMNP. Snow is falling to around 8000'.

Denied entry to the Boston Marathon by 25 seconds. Needed a 2:50:26, I had a 2:50:51.

Gorgeous.

All the Operational runs show decent rain for next week. GEM is on the drier side for WA but still wet for OR. EURO and GFS are fairly wet. Summers going to end eventually…

A nice steady and sometimes heavy rain has been falling much of the morning. It's great to get some real beneficial rain. 1.46 is the total so far hopefully I can push that up to 2 or 3 inches by the time it moves out later tomorrow.

Whats the old saying, "A warm October, a cold November, then winter is already over"?

November cold.

1995-96 was a fun winter!

For those who want to enjoy it over and over... like me!

Current views from Omak!

No severe weather here thankfully, however we got quite a deluge overnight as training thunderstorms rolled across the western part of the Omaha metro (my backyard LOL). On the attached Storm Total rainfall image, I am right where the capital "C" in Chalco is on the map (in the 2.5"-3.5" pink zone) - so I was dead center in the sweet spot! Ended up with 2.80" of rain overnight... which is wild since it really didn't get going until after midnight and everything ended shortly after 3:00am (while everyone was trying to sleep). Lots of lightning and some gusty winds, but not much else outside of the torrential rain... and most of the rain was able to soak into the ground as well surprisingly enough - not much ponding or standing water around.

Boy, you won't see me complain' if this happens as modeled for the Valley...Is it rally time for the Monsoon??? Both the EURO/ICON appear to agree with the general idea that a BIG soaking is coming together. Gosh, it's like I'm tracking a winter storm bc this would seriously put a big DENT into the deficits for this years official Monsoon!

I received 0.66" of rain from a nice line of storms last evening. A few spots in the area got 1+". There was quite a bit of lightning, too. It was a welcome soak as we head into another long dry stretch.

15-1 while outscoring their opponents 106-45 since the Timeltdown…

1

Naylor!

I've put him on mod preview for being a doomer. Thank you for the suggestion.

What are you in for?

I had .49" overnight as storms plunging south across Iowa were able to stay together! It has rained some on 4 of past 5 days. So feels damp, but after such a long dry period 1.21" over 5 days really isnt that wet. It has been enough to green lawns and get some late grains like rye, oats and winter wheat going. KDMX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 11_12 PM.mp4

Rain and Thunderstorms on the way. Cooler temps. High 82* tomorrow. 50% chance this evening increasing to 80%. Much needed. Bring it on!!

That's a deep fire. It's in one of the wettest spots in the country averaging just north of 100" of precipitation annually, but clearly this is going to smolder for months.

Magic number is 1! It’s been 2.5 decades since the last divisional crown.

Just like I planned!

NAYLOR!!

Every CFS control run for the last few days has had at least 1 month out of DJF that is a doozy. I'm not even having to cherry pick right now. Also, a very consistent signal that we are right on the edge of the cold anomalies, with above average precip anomalies right along that dividing line. I'll gladly take the higher risk of a flop in exchange for the higher upper end snow potential that would bring.

Been 36 hours of November in Seattle here. Steady light to moderate rain, temps 45-55, 1.1" total. Loving it!

Jim finally turned me in to the authorities for liking windstorms too much.

Hearing thunder!

Keep in mind I'm in the 18-34 bracket, so if you're older than that, add 5 minutes for each 5 year bracket. Thank you, not good enough for the majors though. T minus 2.5 weeks to Chicago.

We’re sitting at 98*. Expecting a 20-25* drop with thunderstorms in a few hours. The cold front will bring a nice cool down. Wednesday's highs will be in the lower-80s, with mid-80s for high temperatures on Thursday and Friday. We’ll also notice a drop in humidity. Dry and seasonably warm weather is expected this weekend into next week. 50% chance this evening increasing to 80%. Much needed. Bring it on!! Currently 98.* Humidity 40% In 3 hours we should drop quickly to 81* and much more pleasant humidity.

Wilson has been benched! https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46356208/giants-bench-qb-russell-wilson-start-jaxson-dart

I just checked the radar loop from yesterday till this morning and it looks like a lot of members from E NE, east into IA and down south into KC/MO got some sort of thunderstorm action. Talk about a "share the wealth" pattern, ay??? Looks like @Bryan1117 got nailed while at the same time a N/S line of storms formed around 9pm CST out across IA. @Hawkeye @OttumwaSnomow. Prob enough to fill the rain buckets and some for the garden.

Two more days of summer then some more summer this weekend. Even the "break" Thurs/Fri is a normal late summer-esque marine crash without any rain to speak of.

West Yellowstone looks to drop into the lower 20s tonight. On watch for first sub-20 temp of the season.

I bought last Tuesday when it was quite warm and breezy outside but not smoky. At the time these games were still seen as somewhat meaningless. I took a look at the weekend games and the difference was about 400%. Looks like they’ll probably be rather meaningless (hopefully).

My sons just paid $35 for section 117 for tomorrow and got a bunch of tickets for their group of friends. But it took them 5 tries to get the order through so tickets are suddenly selling very fast.

Suarez MAY never again put the ball in play at home…

Rockies COLLAPSE! This might not be their year…

The one night I am a Yankees fan and they suck... at home against worst team in AL. Mariners clinch tonight with a win and a Yankees win. But apparently the Yankees win will not be happening. So tomorrow night might be the night to be at T-Mobile!

Beautiful, warm day. Currently 87F with clear skies.

Mittens/Monument Valley

I don't want to jump the gun here, but ensembles are making a distinct move towards troughing in the mid range, around the turn of the month.

looks like something out of Breaking Bad

September 23, 1989 - Seventeen cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Devils Lake ND with a reading of 22 degrees. Jackson KY reported a record low of 41 degrees during the late afternoon. Strong northwesterly winds ushering cold air into the central and northeastern U.S. gusted to 55 mph at Indianapolis IND. Winds along the cold front gusted to 65 mph at Norfolk VA, and thunderstorms along the cold front deluged Roseland NJ with 2.25 inches of rain in one hour. The temperature at Richmond VA plunged from 84 degrees to 54 degrees in two hours. Snow and sleet was reported at Binghamton NY. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Here in Grand Rapids the H/L was 53/33 and it was the start of a 5 days cold spell that had a low of 27 on the 27th The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 78/63 there were 6 CDD’s and there was 0.24” of rainfall. For today the average H/L is now down to 71/50 the record high of 96 was in 2017 the coolest high of 49 was in 1948 the record low of 28 was in 1974 the warmest low of 66 was in 2017, 1920 and 1908 the record rainfall of 2.13” was in 2000. Overnight I recorded another 0.30” of rainfall with last nights showers and thundershowers. Detailed Forecast for Grand Rapids Today A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Light north northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Wednesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. North wind 3 to 7 mph. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Friday Sunny, with a high near 76. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 78. Saturday Night Clear, with a low around 52. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 77. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Monday Sunny, with a high near 77.

My winter optimism wanes.

It must have barely rained on the Bear Gulch fire because the wall of smoke to the west is in the same spot as last week.

Good to see Brash come back for some redemption tonight.

So much for heading into fall:

Drift Creek Falls, at its minimum.