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A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

Mini Frosty and Mrs. Frosty joining the gang

Silas James was born at 9:52p last night.

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow.

On a personal note, one of my dogs (My avatar pic is of her.), has been missing for about a week and a half. Her disappearance has baffled me, she's 10 years old, she never runs off, and I was unable to track her at all in the snow. I was worried she had wandered off and fallen in a creek, through the ice on a pond, been killed by the cougar that has been stalking the hill, etc... The worst part was the not knowing. Anyways, my wife suggested today that I search animal shelters, and lost dog postings. Seems obvious, but the area we live in is so remote, it seemed out of the question she would be at a shelter, we posted on the local facebook page, and no one had seen her, so I had thought the worst had happened. But today we located her at a shelter in Vancouver, not quite sure how she got there, but it is definitely her... They said she did not like kennel life, and has been fostered up in Skamania County and has been LOVING the snow. Such unexpectedly great news, we'll be picking her up this evening. My guess is she made it to the highway, and someone passing through picked her up and maybe the lived up in Clark county so they dropped her off at the shelter up there. Very strange.

Best birthday present possible.

WHAT an event. Huge overperformance for us at this location. Measured 5.5" of snow. Just incredible.

Happy Thanksgiving I just wanted to wish you all a happy and safe Thanksgiving holiday. I'm glad the weather will be cooperating for all of your travel destinations. This year it's very bittersweet since my brother suddenly passed this past June. It's just my Mother and I. That's my entire family now. It will be very scaled back. It gives me clearer perspective and appreciation for her more than ever and I'll need that. It's going to be rough. I also wanted to mention as tacky as it might sound? but I am thankful for this weather forum, all of the model riding, discussions, differing personalities, and humor. Definitely humor. Make the best of this holiday, and make new, lasting memories. Now let's get some Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

Phantom snow has begun!

Made it to the cabin. Fire is stoked, beer, pizza, ready for the snow storm tomorrow. 10 to 16 inches forecast for Winthrop. Lot of friends thought I was crazy to drive over from the west side for one night but I wanted to be here for the first big snow fall. Going to watch football tomorrow and enjoy the day and head home after dinner.

Picked up 9" of snowfall here last night. Trees are NOT happy about it! Currently 27 and still snowing. IMG_1804.mov

And so it begins...

I decided to catch the lenticular show up close…..what a show it was

It had melted a fair bit by sunrise. We ended up with 4”. Lots of tree damage on the deciduous trees. Power, internet, cable, and cell phones have been down most of the day here. Seems like things are coming back online now.

Thanks @SilverFallsAndrew for coming and hanging out this morning. I don’t get a chance to interact with people since I’m stuck at home all the time. Truly a great friend and a reason I know we would have a blast whenever we do some sort of forum meetup. I’d love for any of y’all to stop by and see what it’s like here in the south valley. @Meatyorologist had the chance to see how unique and different this area is with its terrain profile and the furthest north extent of the empty west. Nice and chilly morning, currently 47F with increasing clouds.

I’m blown away.

Hey all, guess I really am only a winter weather poster. I'd like to introduce Cooper, who has already requested a weather station for Christmas. He came a bit early but he's doing well! Anything to look forward to in the coming weeks?

Back in the states and home now. Iceland is a pretty incredible place. We happened to be there during an unusually cold and snowy period as well which added to the climate shock.

Had a lovely trip to MT/WY. Ended up doing Yellowstone and the Tetons instead of Glacier. Stayed in Bozeman for a night and got to see some piles of Kayla's urban snow! Lotta snow still above 7000'. made the hiking tough but definitely got me in the mood for winter. Nice to see the models coming around almost on queue.

Little photo dump of the new kid. He is currently in 9-12 month clothing even tho he is only 5 months lol

Big time lightning here on Snoqualmie ridge at the golf tourney. This photo from my golf cart. It screwed up my phone when taking

A bit over 3/4" as the grass is almost covered. Not bad. More than I expected.

About 2.5” of snow on the south side of Bend. Rain started around 3am and transitioned to snow around 5-6am. More precip in the first 9 hours of November than all of October.

Not going to miss the swamps snowhole✌

One of the best winter pics I've taken. This is 4 Miles from my cabin.

Probably time for me to go into why I was away for so long earlier this year. A big part of it was major health problems and the deaths of close family members including my mom and father in law. Also a number of other family members and a friend. A really terrible year in that regard. In the midst of all of this the weather has become slightly less of an obsession for me, and I feel I might have more clarity on the subject than I have in a long due to it being a less emotional thing for me at this point. We shall see how that plays out. I also want to bring up the fact that the deterioration of my relationship with Jesse on here was also really making me depressed earlier in the year. I really want to avoid all of that this season.

First snowfall of the year! About 8" in the hood.

Had a beautiful week in the Canadian Rockies visiting Banff and Yoho NPs. Had some very low snow levels on Monday, down around 5500', and gradually warmed and cleared in the days since. Amazing views everywhere you look!

Made it to top of gold mountain. 8 inches up there fresh. Man it was windy and cold up there. 28 degrees there. The nws used to have a observation up there and it went off line few years ago. That observation up there was a valuable tool. When it was working I knew without a doubt if the airmass would support snow just by knowing the temp there at 1700ft.

Picked up 4" in 2 hours and now it has stopped. Dog approves

Amazing day over in Yellowstone/Grand Teton. Still got another full day of exploring tomorrow on the north side of the park.

As others have noted, there’s something about sun on snow…

I'm here in Sweden this week where it is cold, dark, snowy and windy but beautiful! This shot was taken around 2pm yesterday.

16 new with 20-24 on ground. Wind was 30 mph lastnight and 21 degrees. Very powerful storm.

Went on a frigid evening walk with the dog at the nearby park. 9 degrees with 9" fresh on the ground.

For some reason our run of misfortune just continues unabated. About an hour ago our son had his first seizure in years, and last week our dentist, who we have been going to for years just up and died. This guy would have been one of the last people on anyone's list to die so young. I had some serious marathon sessions with this guy in the dentists chair. Anyway my son is fine now, and that makes six people who are either family, friends, or close acquaintances to die in the past three months.

Wanted to tell y’all how much you mean to me. Im having a really bad night cognitively and it’s getting worse. Im laying in the bed trting to stay positive but it’s not easy. The roller coaster ride of the models will be fun to follow as always. Thanks so very much to all of you. I keep having so many seizures and I’m genuinely scared. I hope that y’all get a huge snow event. Something truly unforgettable. I’m gonna think positively for you. @MR.SNOWMIZER @SilverFallsAndrew @Gradient Keeper @MossMan @Cold Snap @Phil @TT-SEA @iFred @Meatyorologist @Deweydog @snow_wizard Plus everyone I’m forgetting cuz of my terrible memory. Thank all of y’all so very much for teaching me so much more than I ever thought possible. For putting up with me. You’re truly class acts, all of you. Just really worried about my brain right now. Laying down and seeing if it helps and if the neurostimulator can work.

Aurora IMBY, 4:00 am

It is snowing, there was zero rain at the start, just straight snow.

Holy *** thunder snow here !!!

8-9 Inches now

1000 feet elevation in Vancouver.

For your viewing pleasure. snowing on the BC passes

I was interested in how anomalous yesterday's 88F was at SEA. Based on my analysis, it may have been the most anomalous record high temperature ever recorded at SEA, even more rare than the 108F in June 2021! I share my analysis/statistical reasoning below the graph. Sorry if it get's a little confusing when I start talking about "average record highs." I took every record high temperature on the books at SEA and plotted them on this graph based on how many degrees they were above average. For example, the average temperature at SEA on June 28th is 74F which is how we get the dot that's 34 degrees above average marked in the center of the graph from our 108F day. There's clearly a seasonal component in our record high temperatures. In the winter there's not a ton of variability. On January 8th the record high is 54F, which is only 7 degrees above the average high of 47F. I decided to take this seasonality into account by averaging the difference between the record high and the average high for each month. So in January a record high is normally only about 11 degrees warmer than the average temperature for that date (record highs in the 50s while average highs in the 40s) while in June a record high is 21 degrees above the average temperature for that date (records in the 90s while average highs in the 70s). I then took the standard deviation of the records for each month. June has the greatest variability in record highs (the standard deviation is 4.65 degrees) while February has the lowest variability in record highs (standard deviation 2.3 degrees). Of course a big contributor to the large standard deviation is June's highs are the three 100+ records from 2021, but it's hard to pick and choose data so we'll ignore that. If you've studied statistics you'll know that you can use standard deviation to build a confidence interval for normalized distributions,. There's more that goes into this, but basically we can say that for normal distributions we'd expect 95% of the data to fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean. Anything that is greater than 2 standard deviations away from the average (depending on the context) is considered an outlier. On the graph I've highlighted all the values that were at least 2 standard deviations above the average record high for that month. Yesterday's 88F at SEA was not only 28F above average, but was 3.3 standard deviations above the average record high for October (which is usually about 14 degrees above average). Meanwhile, last year's 108F was only 2.7 standard deviations above the average record high for June. So basically yesterday's 88F was less statistically likely for mid October than 108F was for late June. Obviously the arbitrary month cutoff is not perfect. Perhaps it would be better if I did a rolling average of 20 or 30 days centered on each date, but I thought it was at least an interesting idea to consider. And with only 30 days in a month, using standard deviation is not the best measure of abnormality (it probably works better for a larger sample size), but it's easier to compute and understand than other methods.

Had to get out to the coast for a few days with the nice weather. Amazing leaving the inversion and seeing such blue skies. Saw the biggest herd of elk I've seen in a long time, approximately 60 head, then watched them cross the Gray's River. Stuck in construction traffic on the Astoria bridge and was able to photograph Mt. St. Helens with Adams on the left through the blurry inversion. And caught sunset at Lincoln City, complete with a green flash on some of my pictures.

Dropped down to -16F here this morning with 5" of new snow overnight. Currently -13F. Here's our garden area. There are four garden boxes under there somewhere! Looking forward to gardening season but until then, bring on the snow and cold! And what it looked like in July this past year.

Wow just had thunder snow!!!!