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Everything posted by chances14
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March 1st-4th...Major Winterstorm Potential
chances14 replied to Niko's topic in East of the Rockies
ahhh the good ole fashion dry slot for semi. Not getting my hopes up -
2/21 - 2/24 Powerhouse Upper Midwest/GL's Winter Storm
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
Just covering all their bases. They can be like "See we told you were going to be wrong" -
Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
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Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
Yeah i wouldn't be surprised if the snow amounts are lower than forecasted. The wind aspect is going to be the major storyline in this storm so even a couple inches is going to cause havoc -
Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
that's the kind of storm you see in fantasyland range, not 60 hours out. Just incredible -
Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
The wind aspect of this storm is what's most intriguing to me. Have had several double digit snowstorms but the high winds combined with the snow is not something we get very often around here. -
Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
not sure either. I just know the last blizzard warning for around here was the groundhog day storm in 2011 -
Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22
chances14 replied to bud2380's topic in East of the Rockies
well this is still looking good for us here in southern michigan. I'm really rooting for that elusive blizzard warning that we haven't seen in SEMI in 12 years -
2/1 - 2/3 MW/Lower Lakes Major Winter Storm (GHD-3)
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
might end up on the lower forecasted total of 8 inches here in lapeer, but points south and east aren't getting the double digit totals that were forecasted unless that NW bump occurs. I'm kinda glad I don't have the time to invest myself into models and storms like I use to, otherwise I would be pretty upset right now -
looks like our 2 year winter storm watch futility streak is coming to an end
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DTE and consumers might as well keep their crews around that were brought in this past weekend lol. hopefully we don't lose power this time around
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GFS thermals are not to be trusted
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good luck jaster. Looks like I will be on the northern fringe of this one, though any subtle shifts north could put me in the game for more substantial amounts
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January 2021 Observations and Discussion
chances14 replied to Grizzcoat's topic in East of the Rockies
picked up about 1.5" here. now onto another week + of boring -
woke up this morning to a surprise 2" otg and on/off snow showers all day. Nice little Christmas present
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a christmas snowstorm in mby will always bump up my winter grade to at least a C, regardless of how crappy the rest of the winter is
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December 2019 Observations & Discussion
chances14 replied to clintbeed1993's topic in East of the Rockies
it seems like getting snow in november has been a death sentence for getting anything meaningful in december for southern michigan the past few years. I really hope we don't end up with another brown christmas -
SE michigan got hit pretty hard with those line of storms yesterday. thousands lost power when a trampoline flew into a substation
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December 2018 Observations and Discussion
chances14 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
Detroit has had some pretty crappy Decembers recently so it really isn't that rare. White christmas historical probabilities are pretty much 50-50 there -
1/12 - 1/13 GL's/OV Potential Major Winter Storm
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
euro is weaker and further east. this is turning into a non event -
1/12 - 1/13 GL's/OV Potential Major Winter Storm
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
gem is also east. not liking the trends tonight -
1/12 - 1/13 GL's/OV Potential Major Winter Storm
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
gfs also going east. blah -
1/12 - 1/13 GL's/OV Potential Major Winter Storm
chances14 replied to Tom's topic in East of the Rockies
nam is further east this run. precip doesn't even make it into semi -
just an FYI, ryan maue has free euro weeklies on his site http://wx.graphics/models/eps/eps.php
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I think the trees changing so early is due to the tree stress from the drought. IMBY here on the east side of michigan where the drought isn't as bad, trees are still mostly green.