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Requiem

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Everything posted by Requiem

  1. Requiem
    The Tanna Tuva model (which takes its data from the Ulaanbaatar weather observatory) just released new experimental data and there are big changes. Huge north trends, huge south trends. Definitely warner, but also way more frigid.
  2. Requiem
    Slightly colder run but little change.
  3. Requiem
    Rare to see this from the GFS so close to an Arctic event.
  4. Requiem
    Cold air slightly quicker this run
  5. Requiem
    Fwiw (likely not much), the FV3 came in way south of its 12z but in accordance with today's model suite.
  6. Requiem
    If I am to fathom a guess GFS comes in slightly more south and then pretty much holds
  7. Requiem
    If I had to guess I would say around Pacific City for general low position
  8. Requiem
    Wouldn't pay attention to the ICON's precip type right now, at face value that's all snow
  9. Requiem
    One great thing is seeing that second low, rather than slam into California, hit southern Oregon instead on recent models (including the 18z Euro). Brings a lot more snow potential into the mix.
  10. Requiem
    ICON looking more like the EURO and NAM. Very nice to see. Really reminding me of February 2014
  11. Requiem
    Oh-- I was talkin' about the 18z Euro vs. the 12z, the 00z NAM is definitely wetter
  12. Requiem
    Fwiw the 18z had more moisture overall (and more further north)
  13. Requiem
    Low landfall location on most models but the GFS haven't been too drastically different in the past few runs
  14. Requiem
    I think we may have locked on-- NAM looks fairly similar if not slightly more north
  15. Requiem
    Interestingly it's actually faster with the progression of cold air
  16. Requiem
    I think the snow zone will be Portland-Salem-- and the ice/wintry mix zone Salem south to Eugene. Especially with the Euro seemingly deciding on a general zone of where the landfall area will be at this current venture.
  17. Requiem
    Would be fairly damaging-- I'm not taking these numbers at face value but if we do this would be worse than that big crippling ice storm back in December 2016
  18. Requiem
    CFS was not onboard for cold either...
  19. Requiem
    I know analogs only go so far as to predictive accuracy, but would you say there are any semi-recent events that this upcoming one could emulate?
  20. Requiem
    Ow... by any indication this'll be further south next run
  21. Requiem
    I expect most models to either cave to the Euro or the Euro to slightly shift north. The shift of some models this suite was interesting-- that being said I still think the sweet spot for the weekend is the central valley.
  22. Requiem
    Shades of February 2014... kinda
  23. Requiem
    Gonna stock up on groceries...
  24. Requiem
    I am on board for a you geen winter storm
  25. Requiem
    Not sure if Eugene will be able to avoid a nasty ice storm instead, but your neck of the woods is absolutely in a good spot right now (and you guys deserve it more than anyone in PNW lowlands atp)
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