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Requiem

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Everything posted by Requiem

  1. Requiem
    I have a feeling it's being a bit too anemic with precip-- Euro actually has quite a bit, it just happens to fall as ZR
  2. Requiem
  3. Requiem
    Cold air a hair south on the 06z
  4. Requiem
    Yo Eugene folks-- surprised it wasn't mentioned but the South Valley gets a nasty ice storm this run. I was confused by the snow totals as precip was actually increased from the 00z last night (shifted south, however)-- it appears a lot of that falls as ZR.
  5. Requiem
    So I looked back at that December 2009 event out of curiosity-- interesting to see how little Gorge influence that one featured. Mark's old blogs featured many comparisons to 1998-- save for the raging easterly winds, which 2009 was apparently bereft of.
  6. Requiem
    Well... sorta? That was mostly a nightmare if I recall because cyclogenesis screwed the pattern up and sent lows so far north that it turned into a minimal event in the end
  7. Requiem
    The Euro also showed lows going south of the region until maybe a day or two before the event.
  8. Requiem
    This run features a rather absurd 15 mb PDX-DLS gradient, as well as a 32 mb OTH-GEG gradient... that would be pretty insane. Also explicitly models gusts in excess of 75 mph in the Gorge, which I've never seen from a global model.
  9. Requiem
    I'm also thinking that. GEM and GFS like a more battleground type event with a pretty sharp temp gradient-- EURO on the other hand is much colder and like 2014 shifts those lows very far south.
  10. Requiem
    I'm sure Euro will swing north... but maybe at face value this gets Eugene in on some arctic fun
  11. Requiem
    Apparently fully snowing back home-- reminds me of a less potent but more timely April 2022
  12. Requiem
    Wow it's coming down over there
  13. Requiem
    Last winter was pretty great-- one of the more impactful southerly windstorms I can recall in recent memory, a significant ice storm, and of course what I think may be one of the greatest PDX snowstorms of at least the 21st century.
  14. Requiem
    Wow!
  15. Requiem
    Tichner and Burnside up by Washington Park seems to be all snow on the cams. Looks like Sylvan has also switched over.
  16. Requiem
    I do not believe it will be one of the biggest single storms in Portland or the WV, but it will be a very impactful and significant system nonetheless and someone's gonna get slammed with a foot of snow somewhere.
  17. Requiem
  18. Requiem
    Snow at Gales Creek
  19. Requiem
    Has a blizzard warning ever been issued for the immediate metro area? 2008, maybe? 2004?
  20. Requiem
    This is a fantastic run for Seattle
  21. Requiem
    It will be very cathartic to see my 2/2021 prediction come true pls models
  22. Requiem
    GFS is definitely more aggressive w the cold
  23. Requiem
    Portland people... (and EPSL people too to some extent)-- it's worth noting that several models are showing insanely strong easterly winds as the gradient rises on the Euro to as much as -15 mb PDX-DLS. There would be somewhat of a downslope element to thus as well. Could be a rough go east metro and west hills, I've actually never seen a model explicitly forecast gusts of over 70 mph for the Gorge.
  24. Requiem
    With the first low it is slightly further north than the 12z, but precip this run still doesn't actually make it into the PDX metro or across the state line. Not too concerned, these lows always have a pretty robust and further north than modeled precip shield.
  25. Requiem
    That to me seems like the theme of today-- models not doing anything new, but reverting to their solutions several runs before and back again.
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