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James Jones

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Everything posted by James Jones

  1. 2014 - 2018 averages and departure from 1981 - 2010 averages at SEA: May: 1.42" (-.52") June: 0.97" (-.60") July: 0.33" (-.37") Aug: 1.10" (+.32") Sep: 1.18" (-.32") (Didn't include 2018) Seems like things have skewed dry during the warm season. Jan: 5.43" (-.14") Feb: 5.67" (+2.17") Mar: 5.84" (+2.12") Apr: 3.46" (+.75") Oct: 6.60" (+3.12") Nov: 7.08" (+.51") Dec: 6.33" (+.98") Seems like things have skewed wet during the wet season.
  2. Ah I must have imagined the 9593072 posts you made complaining about rain over the years. You were practically ready to lose your mind from a run of the mill September troughy period after a long, dry, and hot summer.
  3. Some of you native Minnesotans get really anxious from PWN climo.
  4. 1934 and 1936. But overall there is definitely a correlation between warm Octobers and dud winters.
  5. We haven't been over 85 in October since 1991 and the last 10 days have been just staggeringly cold and wet. We're doo. Haha!
  6. Hey guys I'm Tim, I dislike persistently rainy weather which is why I made the logical step to move from San Diego to the Cascade foothills of North Bend, WA. Only 7 of the last 12 days have seen measurable precip at SEA, with two of those 7 only getting .01" and a third getting .05" at night after a warm and mostly sunny day. It might be different at your comically wet location but in the lowlands where the vast of people live it has by no means been persistently damp.
  7. I think more than anything it says that Jim sees everything through the lens of what it could mean for cold and snow come winter. He's an entertaining and knowledgeable guy for sure but his desire for cold weather clouds his objectivity, it seems like he's been implying that a flip to long term cold anomalies is right around the corner for as long as I've been reading this forum. No matter what the conditions look like he can find some combination of indices and historical pattern progressions that look favorable.
  8. That's just a touch different than the claim that "hundreds of millions of people would die!!!!!!". You initially said that you read an 1816 would be worse if it happened today and posted a totally worthless article to support that. I mean, I've also read the earth is flat... Again, I don't know what the effects would be, but if I made a strong claim like that I would at least try to back it up with some actual evidence.
  9. Wow. What a scholarly and scientific article there. I don't know if another 1816 would cause widespread food shortages in first world countries (I'm sure it would cause a lot of problems in poorer countries though) but that article is nothing but pure conjecture.
  10. Beautiful clear and chilly morning, got down to about 45. Perfect kind of early fall day looks to be on tap.
  11. Nice day. Had some moderate rain for a couple hours here this morning that gave way to a cool afternoon with clouds and sunbreaks. Will be nice to see things green up for a bit.
  12. Wow that's amazing. Hard to believe this entire area isn't submerged.
  13. We're at 48 right now, record is 51 from 2015. Our repeat of the September 1974 heatwave late this month will easily seal the deal. In other news regarding the unending niceness, PDX has received just 1.38" of rain in the last 146 days. Can't expect much more than that here in the Atacama though.
  14. He noted in the sentence right after that summer didn't actually end, just that the heat broke. PDX has averaged a 79.4 degree high from 8/23 on, which is a totally normal stretch of summer weather. Also please tell me you're just playing dumb with the fuel moisture thing and the dry season not being that unusual. The fuels and surface get very dry almost every year in the summer, it's soil moisture that's so unusual and what people are talking about. And yes, this summer by itself wasn't all that unusual in terms of precip, but when you combine it with the dry season starting abruptly on April 17 (about 2 full months earlier than usual) it makes for a historic drought.
  15. Saw some sprinkles in SW Portland earlier but probably nothing measurable. Really put me in the mood for storm season. I'm jelly of the people up north getting more significant stuff.
  16. Sometimes I wonder what you're looking at when you hype up these troughy periods. Nothing is showing anomalies anywhere near -20C on the westside, that would be completely unprecedented in the period of record for this time of year. Wait, you said -20F at 850mb. My brain automatically reads that as C since in general nobody uses Fahrenheit when talking about 850s. Still nothing showing anomalies that big though.
  17. Nah, Tim says the sun angle is too low by that point to be worth anything. It’s just another reminder of the inevitable 10 months of yucky, chilly, damp, dreary, depressing, SAD inducing weather to follow.
  18. I was emphasizing the point that Spring is a long season here so 2010 made sense to use as an extreme example. But yes obviously there is variance from year to year.
  19. Falls around here are very short and spring is very long. The end of summer (where you can reasonably expect sun and warm temps most days) is sometime around mid September, though the start of winter is a bit murky and depends on how you want to define it. If it's cool temps and rain it's arguably as early as the beginning of November, if it's a reasonable chance of cold and snow then not until late November or early December. Just based on temps most places on the west side don't start seeing temps start to tick down until mid August, then bottom out in in mid to late December before ticking back up at the beginning of January. Spring on the other hand usually lasts at least 4 months and sometimes as long as 6 (2010 I'd argue had spring start in January and last all the way through June).
  20. If you ever needed proof the terrorists won, this is it.
  21. My spidey senses say a bunch of Flatiron maps are coming...
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