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Everything posted by Meatyorologist
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Good morning people. We are within 4 days of frontal cloudcover, and within 5 of wetting, appreciable rainfall.
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I normally don't pin my own posts but what is happening here at my place is truly remarkable. 18F above the previous record high for the date. That is a real stat. 1F above the previous monthly record at KSEA... More than 2 weeks later in the month than the previous holder. First 90F ever for the month of October. Recorded in its second half.
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Been a good while since I've seen temps verify way too warm this badly here. April 2016 maybe? Even then, that was by 5F or so. Today I am gawking at errors on the order of 10F, 15F, maybe more? There is a 91F reading up the hill. I am sweating in the shade. One of the weirdest weather days I can remember. Haven't felt this way since June 2021.
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Okay! So this is actually some really cool meteorology! The clearer air in NE Seattle is actually today's easterlies breaking through to the surface. Yesterday, when easterlies re-emerged, they carried with them smoke that built up in the Cascade Valleys for over a week. That's why it was so bad yesterday; it was a week's worth of smoke hitting us all at once! The easterlies breaking through to the surface here today isn't actually the same air. It's air aloft from Nevada and NorCal being forced to the surface by very strong ridging. Cleaner air, for sure. I can see and smell the difference here in the heart of it. But it's also much, much hotter air, heated adiabatically from 1000s of feet up! Very strong SW-NE temperature gradient over North Seattle. Low 70s in Ballard, mid-upper 80s in Lake City. 85F here at my place...88F just half a mile away!!
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I really have no clue if the Hunga Tonga Ha'apai eruption has caused any warming at the surface... I haven't looked into it at all. But I should note that you can't dismiss the idea of any warming based off a single data point, using a single parameter, pulled from a single source. Really unscientific. Not saying that there is or isn't. What I am saying is that what you keep referencing here isn't really...evidence...