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Meatyorologist

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Everything posted by Meatyorologist

  1. I'm so, so sorry, Tim. If only I could take all this pain from you...
  2. Oh that block support is strong, alright. It's just a bit too far to the west to incorporate any Canadian air. Off-the-chart positive height anomalies over the North Pacific; record breaking actually. Inarguably during our recent cold snaps the truly big story has lied with the heatwave on the other side.
  3. This is pretty raw for the Pacific Ocean, at a latitude matching California, with outflow coming from the Aleutians instead of the continent.
  4. The 3km NAM is the driest mesoscale model by far. It doesn't believe in stratoform precipitation at all, which makes it useless during the winter and pretty bad for stalled convection/latent heat machines such as PSCZ's.
  5. Looking west, this wall of doom is showing up as nothing from KATX, not even on the higher bands. If it's gonna storm it's about to do so without warning.
  6. Snow in King county will probably have to wait until after 10pm when 925's drop below freezing. 51F and partly sunny here. Big frontal passage just to the NNW.
  7. Could be sfc winds separated from convergence at the level of the LLJ? I've gotten northerly outflow 5-10 miles south of the main precip shield during CZ's. Guess other models keep things mixed overnight, allowing for a more vertically stacked CZ.
  8. Big, huge win for UT/NV/AZ/NM to get two very snowy winters consecutively. CO and southern WY not doing bad either... Lake Mead's life expectancy has probably been extended by a few years.
  9. Actually on second thought I do remember a windy night back in January, that's probably what you're talking about. I guess I'm just antsy for the next "real" windstorm
  10. Speaking of... For coming off the Pacific this front is a monster. Near instant 10F temp drop with colder air upstream. This is just north of Nanaimo.
  11. Despite all my recent b!tching models have silently changed their tune over the last few days and turned the King/Snohomish border tonight into ground zero, and perhaps again tomorrow night. PSCZ snows can escalate pretty quickly if they stall, so I'm cautiously excited for the potential tonight. Though I also know it's fairly likely models aren't quite picking up on the northward extent of this evening's CZ and I could get completely shafted by a margin of a few miles. I've seen that movie before. At any rate the atmosphere is clearly disturbed this afternoon. The rainshadow has kept me completely dry throughout the frontal passage, but it hasn't stopped the wind. It's been gusting above 40mph here all day, with low clouds whizzing on by, and the trees swaying like crazy. Haven't seen it like this in a good while, maybe a year or so. It adds to the ominous feeling in the air today, kind of serving as a reminder that despite today's sunbreaks and dry weather, we're still undergoing a powerful frontal passage.
  12. A true 34F rocking here. Probably lightning too with that setup.
  13. Absolutely crushes me. I think it read my PSCZ post.
  14. We have our moments for sure, January 2012 brought us great PSCZ luck. Nov 2010 nailed us unexpectedly and we got core'd on both deformation bands between 2/3 and 2/9 2019.
  15. Gooooddddd I love big niche cats. Norwegian Forest Cats are another I'd love to own. Do you have any pictures of her?
  16. Bottom one is Feb 2015, correct? Holy hell that is awful to look at.
  17. I'm trying to practice Matt's signature stoic equanimity but watching snowmap after snowmap roll out hole'ing me to death with an Olympic mountain range-sized club is starting to get to me... The best lift will be to my immediate north and south, and best thermals 500' up. It's been no coincidence that nearly every scenario has resulted in paltry totals for this little corner of Pseattle. Not that Lake City needs an Achilles Heel, but NW onshore flow is a pretty damning 'snowfall setup' here, if you can call it that. It takes advantage of every wonderful weakness this neighborhood has to offer; Olympic shadowing, low elevation, unfavorable PSCZ placement. Unless we get lucky and luck out on the latter of the three, there's not a whole lot to look forward to until the backend of the trough when overrunning takes over.
  18. My brother in Christ, onshore snow is the primary way we get the stuff after mid February.
  19. Huh, I guess it has been that bad, hasn't it. The 2010s really hardened me so I haven't really thought of the recent stretch as particularly awful. Guess the increasingly potent cold has helped keep me satisfied anyways. Looking forward to when the next MEATY 974mb heartstopper stalls just SW of Olympia, with a 1062mb Arctic high sitting pretty in west AB, cranking hard into BC in phase with the surface low...
  20. Oh no, definitely not. I've always wondered how east wind access and varied topography effect snow prospects in your area. I really have only a college try at a guess, whereas you live there observing it with your own senses. Much like how most people don't understand like I do how the topography here in the Meadowbrook basin stops easterlies from scouring out fog and forms wicked temperature gradients over a small walking distance during warm ridging inversion setups in the late Fall. Or how Snowmizer understands the dynamics of Hood Canal CAD in his backyard during warm overrunning events better than anyone else on the forums.
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