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GobBluth

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Everything posted by GobBluth

  1. None of the morning models have come close to the gfs late week low.
  2. Well done sir. Pattern is nearly identical to prior runs. Main change region wide is just cold.
  3. New GFS is a big step back on the moisture in the mid week storm.
  4. Off on its own too. Not seeing the euro, gem, or ensemble support for this much rain or low development after Tuesday night. Really a wild forecast for 995 MB to get to Columbia in May.
  5. Not common to have a sub 1000 low meandering just offshore in May, but that's what 18z gfs is showing for late next week.
  6. Euro looked troughier than 00z, but the EPS moved things through a lot faster.
  7. yeah GFS was dragging the cold and wet as far south as Northern California.
  8. For someone backpacking on the Rogue River Trail next week, I'll definitely be hoping the Euro forecast works out. GFS looks brutal.
  9. I'd be more upset that this thing is sleet instead of snow.
  10. Not sure if it matters, but RGEM is spinning up a secondary low that heads into Newport, and broadens out the blue over NW Oregon as comes ashore..
  11. only thing I can think is the precip rates drags down the temps in the 925mb layer to keep all snow
  12. I've mentioned this before, but in this pattern what does the snow level really count for and why is it such a crutch for the NWS PDX?? Snow, mainly after 4pm. Snow level 2400 feet lowering to 500 feet. High near 30. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
  13. Second dose is what takes people down - count on at least 12 hours staying in bed.
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