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High Desert Mat?

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  1. Thanks. Just was an insanely cold and snowy winter over here and thought maybe there were a few of them. So in hindsight, I guess root for a weak La Niña with a weak PV throughout the winters ahead.
  2. Just a quick question for the stat guys on here. During the winter of 2016-2017 was there an SSWE? One or multiple?
  3. How’s the SSW looking? Haven’t looked in past pages if it’s still on the table. Two days ago it had a full wind reversal, top 5 all time in fact, so I’m hoping it’s moved up in time.
  4. Here come the daffodil pics and rhetoric about how it’s normal in January.
  5. I disagree. I think we have a cool and damp spring since we’re coming out of El Niño and no major heat waves this summer. The worm is turning.
  6. Sometimes I wonder if Phil is even in Maryland. Maybe it’s a double reverse psychology and he’s really here somewhere. I mean, why does someone care so much about what’s happening here 3000 miles away?
  7. Jesus. You got that warm? Not quite an arctic blast when you’re in the 30’s.
  8. We need that possible SSW that was forecast a few days ago and the PNA to go back negative in two weeks. Could happen. Who knows.
  9. Doesn’t look like the pna dipped that low for this blast. Goes to show what an SSW can do. Waiting to hear from Jim or Phil on the next one that was proved to happen on the 24th.
  10. Incredible storm here in Redmond today. Started snowing this morning around 5:30 with strong north winds all day. Temp hovered between 2 and -5 throughout this event. It just now has tapered off some with just flurries now. Snowed hard all day. Would say a good 12-13” in my backyard. Cold the next couple of days with highs in the teens and lows around 0. This is what we watch the models for throughout winter and finally it paid off. January curse is over.
  11. Also want to say, when this all unfolded in the models two weeks ago, we kind of laughed it off like it was never going to happen. But it did. And the gfs led the way 80% of the time. It skewed off here and there but in the end it was the closest to reality. If that high in the eastern pacific would’ve held on a little stronger and a little longer, man, this would’ve been an all time air mass that rivaled any in the last 100 years. Yet it was t seen anywhere close to us two weeks ago. Crazy what SSW’s can do. From what I hear, another one is suppose to happen on the 24th.
  12. I remember Phil saying this will pass and be nothing because the cold will stay on Putins side of the pole due to the El Niño and , insert acronym here, +pdo and -nao don’t mesh. so I guess we learned from this that anything and everything can happen no matter the teleconnections. Albeit, odds may be lower but are still there to happen. Who knows, are we done this winter? What does next winter look like? No one knows except that we all know this summer will scorch. Thanks Phil.
  13. Can barely read the dates on it but if I’m correct it says January 24th? If that’s the case another bout of cold weather could happen at the end of fist week of February or so. Something to keep an eye on.
  14. Temp is up to 35 here with about 4” on the ground still. Latest news thinks we get another 15” or so by Saturday night with temps plummeting to below zero. High Saturday is just forecasted to be 6.
  15. Funny thing is it keeps getting pushed to, “ it’s over the ocean, then it’s we all do it, then it’s we all share the same lotion”. Is what it is. El Niño. We’re lucky to get this far.
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