Gradient Keeper
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Posts
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Everything posted by Gradient Keeper
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Actually looking at the North Pacific view I'm not seeing the block trending towards us at all, at least not the mean axis position. What I do see are variances in tilt, amplification and the blocks width, and how well the block is connected to the high arctic ridge. I do understand those concerns though. Day 9 past 4 runs
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Day 9 516 thickness PDX, 514 Seattle
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Day 8
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Day 6 Day 7
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6z GFS Day 4 Day 5
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EPS tonight also didn't show the block abruptly building off to the west as last nights did. Good signs all the way around.
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Looks improved to me. I assume if things progress nicely that in a few days we'll see colder ensemble runs across the board with all model camps. Thanks, Tim for posting the EPS maps. 6z GFS in 1 hour 39 minutes
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It's closer and the airmass in BC/AB is FRIGID!!!!
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EPS is better. A step in the right direction. Block tilts Day 11-12. Bitter air is pushing south in BC.
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Focusing on the short-mid range the Euro nearly complete caved to the GFS. Day 4-7 Ridge/evolving block is many notches stronger. Just after Day 5 the Alaskan vortex is shoved out. Excellent potential once that is kicked out of Alaska.
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I sure don't see it building to the northwest. I would like to see it a notch or two further east though. Yep all we can do is speculate.
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Day 11-12 on the EURO would be jaw dropping if we were to extrapolate out further. Hunch. 6z GFS moves timing up and is amazing. Colder runs ahead. Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!!❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄
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Day 10
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I'll stick to what I mentioned two days ago. Saturday 00z runs is when we'll have a really, really good idea, but things are looking promising.
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Day 9
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Day 8 Not yet
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Day 7
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Day 5 past 4 runs
