TheNewCulverJosh

Over here I'm fine with an average anomaly and heavy precip.

Love coming back every winter and seeing the same reactions to every control, ensemble, GOLU, SNAFU, PIKACHU models from you guys. You never fail to produce the goods. This may be the best winter model-riding year ever!!!!! Keep it going, popcorn is in hand.

Wow, I'm in love with the fuzzy wuzzy. Lots of members below -2.

The only difference between a crappy and epic winter with most of you guys is determined by 1 heavy band that dumps 2"/hour snow rates.

I know Pete Parsons is well known as a kook on these forums, but he did say we had a better chance of onshore snow potential in the western valleys. Now, we know that is all left to interpretation, but maybe he is on to something this year?

Not in the ideal position but can easily shift in the next 72 hours.

I'm thinking a heavy wet 3" snowfall the evening of March 17th is still possible.

Got down to 20 last night and still only 30 here with bright sunshine. Amazing how just a little E/NE drift can keep temps down here. Gotta love the high desert.

Not sure why anyone would be freaking out. We appear to be hitting a decent pattern, right around the optimal time (early Dec.). What's not to like?

She is hot and would be very hard to turn down. I might trade her for a good December snowstorm though, only that.

I'm thinking a 34.4 degree frost.

Not sure what is worse. Rex block that lasts from Dec 1st-March 31st, or the way the Ducks are playing tonight.

Bet the Model T had a hell of time in such weather.

Forecast is for 27.......down to 30.2 at 6:25 PM. Doubt that forecast holds.

CPC is worthless outside of their 6-10 day. They even screw that up sometimes.

Most of us know this, but we have 4 or 5 good ones spanned out 100 years. They hold no water though if you really look at the overall picture. Mark knows this as well.

I saw it rain in Portland at 33 degrees for 4 months before. What's your point? LOL

Analogs usually make me yawn. Pete Parsons lives by them. This should tell you all you need to know. I would rather just wait and see and GOLU like I never have before.

Mild 47 here at the moment. Looks like a couple more hours before I am on the backside of the low. Most likely at or close to the high for the day.

What pretell did Mhork say? Edit: Saw it on Facebook......good deal!!!

This storm has a Jan 10th, 2017 look to it, albeit it about 75-100 miles north and no cold air in place. But similar in it's look.

Ya, guess you're right. Looks closer to day 13 to me though.

Daddy like!!!

Looks a little too transitory. The jet is is raging.

Down to 32.5 already. Had a 38.5/20.1 line today.....not bad for Nov. 17th. Forecast high was 47 today.