SilverFallsAndrew

-7C 850 mb temps at hour 222 from EUG to Seattle. Cold onshore flow.

Tremendous amount of foothills snow late next week. I like this EURO run for that...

ALWAYS 10 DAYS AWAY.

Amazing to think up until yesterday afternoon the models were showing the cold air just pouring in on Sunday...Sad trends my amigos.

HAHAHAHA Is it a "reload" if we never got a load?

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png

This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will.

Outstanding news on the ensembles. .

Hasn't been much good to report. The trends are pretty bad. At this point the Monday-Tuesday period may not even produce snow up here...Which is unfortunate because I was hoping everyone would see snow. Still a couple good models like the ICON, but those seem more like outliers at this point.

WOW. Monday is just a dry seasonably cool day in Western Washington on the FV-3.

850s Saturday are as cold as the early week trough.

Prophet.

850s bottom out around -7C in NW Oregon early next week.

Stays cool

I like the GEM. Interesting. Never warms up, and would be a lot of snow up here.

GEM is interesting. Gets close toward the end of the week too.

GEM is interesting at least. Maybe we do get something, maybe its just later in the week..Who knows...

Looks like some light deformation band snow Tuesday AM.

WOW this run is HORRIBLE.

Guess the lack of amplification mattered after all.

GFS looks about the same so far. Maybe SLIGHTLY better.

Yeah, its a good run for up here as sub-528 thickness does the trick here.

Wow. ICON brings a nice trough in late next week. Would be a good foothill snow pattern.

The ICON looks like it s going to give W. WA a snow event next Thursday.

Thought it was an absolutely beautiful day.