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SilverFallsAndrew

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Everything posted by SilverFallsAndrew

  1. SilverFallsAndrew
    ICON is cool and dry.
  2. SilverFallsAndrew
    Any ideas where this month is going to end up nationally in terms of cold Novembers? Coldest since?
  3. SilverFallsAndrew
    Decent shot of mountain snow into the Oregon Cascades late in the week.
  4. SilverFallsAndrew
    That's a nice system going into California later this week.
  5. SilverFallsAndrew
    I posted a map earlier, but about 80% of the lower 48 has been below average in November. The middle of the country significantly so. I saw Cedar Rapids, IA is running about a 7F departure with several days of well below average temps coming up. They'll probably end up with about an 8F departure which is about what PDX saw in November 1985.
  6. SilverFallsAndrew
    Wow that is like November except the eastern seaboard is a bit warmer than average as opposed to the west coast in November.
  7. SilverFallsAndrew
    Wow! The 2nd map looks like a continuation of November, with a bit colder weather out here, likely due to inversions.
  8. SilverFallsAndrew
    Your telling me. Actually catching up on some work this evening so already getting into the flow of the week.
  9. SilverFallsAndrew
    I knew you would appreciate the unsolicited rant.
  10. SilverFallsAndrew
    Wetter though!
  11. SilverFallsAndrew
    Yeah if I'm still around in a few decades I really don't care if it is 1-2F warmer. "Climate Change" is really nothing more than a political trope. I'm not denying it, there has been some warming. I am also not saying there isn't a human element to it, there definitely is. But I do think we don't fully understand it and the way the research is funded we are not getting any closer to fully understanding it. All in all climate world wide is getting less extreme, and fewer and fewer people perish due to natural disasters because of modernization and improved forecasting. These cries of "we need to save the planet" are nothing more than total hubris and the idea that we are much more significant in the scheme of things than we really are.
  12. SilverFallsAndrew
    It was a very dull winter with a very late payoff. Most of us expected it to be fairly active, which it was not.
  13. SilverFallsAndrew
    Then listen and learn. 2016-17 was the exception, not the rule. We've had what, 3 of the past 10 winters with decent snowfall. 2008-09, 2013-14, 2016-17. In our climate last winter was actually decent. January torched, but December and February were below average. And it snowed. In the 1950s or 60s last winter would have sucked, but if you compare it to the past 30 years it was OK. A ridge overhead with strong arctic air moving down east of the Rockies is a great east wind pattern...
  14. SilverFallsAndrew
    And apparently have no understanding of our climate, and no desire to learn. Great combo, it almost seems like pointless trolling...
  15. SilverFallsAndrew
    Some REALLY wet ensemble members.
  16. SilverFallsAndrew
    Hate to break it to people, but Portland had above average snowfall last winter. It kind of is what it is...
  17. SilverFallsAndrew
    December 1983? Yeah not super common.
  18. SilverFallsAndrew
    Holy mother of God. January 1971 redux?!
  19. SilverFallsAndrew
    Given it will be early December and the initial airmass is fairly chilly that should not be a problem.
  20. SilverFallsAndrew
    What's funny is what the FV3 shows would probably be a pretty good east wind setup.
  21. SilverFallsAndrew
    Massive arctic outbreak.
  22. SilverFallsAndrew
    This is incredible. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/mon2day.F.gif
  23. SilverFallsAndrew
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
  24. SilverFallsAndrew
    Honestly even though it is likely the vast majority of the cold air slides east it looks like a below average start to December in the PNW. Dry airmass that starts as pretty chilly and then transitions to "fake cold" probably.
  25. SilverFallsAndrew
    Should we explain climate 101?
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