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AquariusRadar

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Everything posted by AquariusRadar

  1. A big solar storm on 18 March rated a G4 category by NOAA. The charged particles in the solar wind start arriving 22-23 March. Some dramatic aurora displays seen in the northern tier of states. Also I observe a huge translocation in latitude of the upper air dryness in the water vapor satellite view. On the 23rd the center of dryness jumped from about 8 degrees north to 22 degrees north. This may signal the end of the very wet season for California- if the latitude jump holds true into spring. I'm of the opinion that the latitude of the upper dryness indicates the position of the southern half of the Pacific blocking high.
  2. This very wet 2022-2023 water year gives an example of what created lake Corcoran-if continued on an annual basis. The IPCC conclusion that the warming air temperatures can hold 7 % more water than in the recent past means increased rainfall world wide, an opinion with which I don't agree with. Not that the atmosphere can't hold more moisture, but it can't because the rising air temperature blocks the pathway to increased moisture in the atmosphere. The marine layer inversion increase results in less moisture laden air rising to condensation over the worlds oceans. Oceans surface temperatures lag the rise in air temperatures making the moisture laden air at the oceans surface incapable of rising. The surface air is cooler than the warm air above and less buoyant. Of course this year's abundant rainfall is because the Pacific high moved dramatically south and allowed the west to east movement of storms directly into California. That is weather-not climate. The question remains-why does the Pacific high move north resulting in drought and sometimes south resulting in very wet years?
  3. Global warming is very slowly melting the Antarctic ice cap. Opinion: The fresh melt waters of the Antarctic make for an increasingly cold Southern ocean. These cold surface waters join the Humboldt current as it moves up the South American coast to the equator and out into the central Pacific creating an almost permanent La Nina condition. La Nina will become dominate and El Nino increasingly rare. That means more drought for many areas of the world.
  4. Well, here again the cloud seeding folks get the grants to "increase precipitation 5-15 percent". Sure enough the Colorado river basin needs more rain, but silver iodine hasn't really work over the last 70 years of use. 2.4 million dollars is not much in terms of government spending for a good purpose; if it would work. It won't. silver iodide rain maker https://www.yahoo.com/news/feds-spend-2-4-million-202418535.html Even if it did, the cloud seeding technique can be said to steal rain from downwind areas that normally would receive some of that precipitation. On the other hand, Aquariusradar would have done a world of good during this extraordinary winter in California. By targeting CN cells as they approached the Sierra summit, the massive rainfall/snow is lessened and more moisture lofts over the Sierra barrier to be intercepted later by the Basin Range and Rockies. Most of that extra snow and rain would flow into the Colorado. In addition to distributing the moisture, water is saved as a large part of California snowpack/rain is lost to flood back to the Pacific ocean. Aquariusradar provides a win-win; water is transported from flood (to sea)to the Colorado river basin. The aquariusradar idea is based on the work of Dr. Edward Lorenz, my own observation and experience as a high power radar operator, and a 10 year study of rainfall pattern around a powerful DoD surveillance radar in the Florida panhandle.
  5. Return of the Sierra glaciers? Could this happen again next year? big snowpack https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/03/12/52-feet-and-counting-lake-tahoe-grapples-with-ginormous-snowpack/
  6. One of the wettest periods of recent California weather has occurred during the waning days of the La Nina just ended. Or has the decision to declare La Nina at end really driven by the robust wet weather? Since early fall, California rainfall fell in defiance of the expected La Nina drought continuation. We can see that the Pacific high has abated and moved way south allowing storm tracks and ARs to move in a unrestricted west to east passage over California.The Pacific wet has moved south from British Columbia/Alaska panhandle. In my opinion, the Pacific coast rainfall has not increased; it simply left the Northern Pacific coast for the Southern coast. Is the new and very active solar cycle 25 the cause?
  7. I satisfied my futures contract by buying back a march contract. What with all the rain and heavy snowpack, I was hoping the futures would go down- way down- to say $600 per acre foot- but everyone seems afraid the snowpack will melt away and the rains have ended and the price seems stuck at this price and bound to go up- forcing me to buy back at a higher price. So I bought the march contract for nearly the same as the spot price. So I made pretend money and more with enough now to water my kumquats and succotash all summer. Of course this is pretend sell/buy. With Cal water, speculation is disallowed because one must have actual water to sell into the Cal water system. If one sells, a buyback is required in the future. If one buys, a sell is required in the future.
  8. Here is an article about Sacramento valley flooding-Flooding history https://www.yahoo.com/news/6-worst-floods-sacramento-history-133000022.html If the population of the Sacramento valley has increased X10 times the 1955 population, when 60 people died in the flooding, and today's 2023 flooding has taken 2 dozen lives-not 600- means (1) flood control efforts are working, and/or climate change is making for less rain-less flooding than in the recent 1955 past? Another indication that climate change might mean a dryer climate rather than a wetter climate is the history of record rains- this one for San Francisco. Since Oct. 1 While our generation looks upon 2022-2023 as an epic wet water year, It appears from this example that the past was wetter- at least for this major part of the water year.
  9. Can you share a link to that nice rain totals graphic. I hadn't seen it before.
  10. Aquariusradar does weather moderation. Weather modification doesn't imply for the bettor or for worse. Weather moderation implies a change for bettor- if it is too dry, aquariusradar can moderate the weather to make it not so dry. If it is too wet, aquariusradar can moderate the weather to make it not so wet. Overall it cannot change or modify regional weather. The aquariusradar simply acts to transport rain from a too much condition to storage. In doing so, aquariusradar provides stored water to moderate the too dry condition. Unlike weather modification, aquariusradar does not use some longer lasting element that is no longer under immediate control upon release. For example, silver iodine crystals can remain in the atmosphere and fall to the surface. The jury is still out on the impact of putting stuff in the air to modify the weather. The action of aquariusradar is under immediate control at all times. Immediately upon turning off the microwave energy, the tiny heating effect upon cloud water particles is removed. The aquariusradar action is stopped. This week's AR flooding in the central of the state is a good example of how aquariusradar could be used. By targeting CN storms in the region creating the flood- the lower half of the Consumes river basin for example, those storms produce less rainfall. More moisture is held aloft and come down as snowpack at the higher elevation of the Sierra. If the AR has so much water that the snowpack advances to an dangerous avalanche condition, then another aquariusradar targets those CN storms to loft the moisture over the higher peaks into Nevada and later the Colorado plateau. The flooding moisture of the AR is transported and spread out over a much larger area. Aquariusradar is not terribly hi-tech- except the repair-done by companies expert in radar. Operation and maintenance by the local fire departments, emergency management, etc. For operation, the fireman takes off the fireman's hat and puts on the radar operators hat. The actual radar location could be atop the local fire station or a vantage point that provides wide coverage. Pointing data provided by the NWS data that we are all familiar with. A regional emergency management station could direct several radars during flood times.
  11. The latest AR put down almost 8 inches of rain at some areas- Bonney Doon fire station- above Santa Cruz in the San Lorenzo river valley. Many areas receiving 3 to 4 inches. A large part of the rainfall was lost to flooding to the Pacific via San Lorenzo river and nearby steep mountain streams- Lauguna Creek- direct to the ocean. A similar flooding AR in the 1980s destroyed the nearby town of Ben Lomond on Boulder Creek.This exact scenario is what I discussed years ago on my California Test page http://aquariusradar.com/californiatestproposal.html. This is a good example of how the Aquariusradar could be used to transport flooding rains inland. The microwave heating action, tiny as it is, can slow the rate of rainfall from CN rain storms. Powerful DoD radars are just up the coast at Pillar Point AFS- where I once worked- that can be used to act as the aquariusradar- quelling the downpour at the coast and allowing the moisture to remain aloft to move inland for more rain in the hills and valleys beyond and possibly snow in the distant Sierra. The Sierra doesn't allow moisture to move eastward. The high peaks create a rain shadow on the Nevada side. So if flooding coastal rain can be slowed and moisture kept aloft- almost for sure the rain or snow will come down in California. I have had no response from anyone who thinks this idea is of value for study.
  12. Did the Artemis/Orion make it down ok? Anyone see the splashdown?
  13. LAX got 0.64 so far. What a strange sight- umbrellas at the departure gates.
  14. Rain inching it's way South. Would LAX ever have a flight rain delay?
  15. The higher peaks of the coast range getting pounded by heavy rain. Anderson peak almost 8 inches in the past 24 hours.
  16. Let's hope ex Gov. Riamondo finds water infrastructure a valuable place to land 10-20 billion of that 100 billion pile of cash. California is certainly invaluable when it comes to the nations food supply. No- the Pacific Northwest cannot grow vegetables/food like California can. It makes sense to invest in something as valuable as the California Valley soils that can grow anything-if it has water to do so. Riamondo seems focused on high tech chip manufacture etc. when water should be the #1 priority. The Pacific northwest has the water but not the bountiful climate and soils. It's easy to move water. Rich productive soils next to impossible impossible. A Link to the story. https://www.yahoo.com/news/rising-star-biden-administration-faces-153219914.html
  17. The Cal water is down this week- 164 dollars acre foot down. All because of some light rain on SoCal? Or is it speculation? I'll continue with my wager- betting on future price decreases.
  18. Hedge funds betting on the weather would have very few investors. A high risk gamble to bet on the weather. Other commodities like corn, oil, etc. have risk as well but well studied factors affecting them have a history the fund can analyze in order to decide to buy or sell. Those have lots of data and somewhat predictable futures. It would be rare to have intense drought in the corn belt. Weather is a factor but generally not boom or bust. California weather is a complete unknown and the hedge funds would be idiots to invest in such high risk. And investors know that. Most investment is by California farmers, municipalities, and business who can deliver/receive water to/from the Cal system. Having a lot of water in New York and thinking one could use that to satisfy a sell contract is meaningless because there is no way to deliver the contract. As Mr ML mentioned above, the prediction is La Nina and that's why prices are so high. My pretend sell is based on the idea that three consecutive years of La Nina is very rare.
  19. No Snarky. Not an increase in price but rather a decrease in price. Helpful to everyone in California. And no nowhere. The futures market is not sick and twisted. It allows governments, business, and farmers to lock in and assure beneficial commodity prices.
  20. This article doesn't make it clear if selling water futures is permitted. It doesn't say no you can't sell. But one statement in the article makes understanding if you can sell short a little fuzzy. For my pretend sell I'm assuming it's ok to sell without actually having water in hand. Cal Water trading https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/07/investing/water-futures-trading/index.html
  21. Hedging my bets that 22-23 will be a better water year I'll now pretend sale of 1000 acre feet of Cal water on the futures market. Pretend gambling of course-I don't have any water to back up my wager. NASDAQ Cal water index (NQH2O) at todays price 1214.45 X 1000 acre feet= $1,214,450. Betting California gets normal rain 22-23, then the price should fall and I can buy back my contract at a lower price. A profit if the rains come-if not-financial disaster.
  22. California water futures on the NASDAG remain high as the 22-23 season begins. Per acre feet costs should come down.
  23. That Texas low made it to Chihuahua/Sonora and is now expected to enhance the summer monsoon in the Southwest More monsoon for Arizona and New Mexico. https://www.yahoo.com/news/tropical-boost-fuel-most-significant-121939190.html
  24. That Texas low continues along the predicted path right into the Pecos. No turning so far. Training thunderstorms right along the river are going to create some flash flooding. West Texas needs the rain but the tree-less hard pan soils make flash flooding a problem- like most of the dry Southwest. The Rio Grande onion farmers will like that extra water.
  25. The unnamed? Gulf coast system is ashore and giving south Texas good rain. The thing is headed Northwest into the heart of Texas which will be good. When it will turn to the Northeast will determine if it interacts with the cold front. Good for drought areas but maybe bad for Ky and the Ohio valley if it hangs together that long.
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