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Joshua Lake Oswego

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Posts posted by Joshua Lake Oswego

  1. 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

    The FV3 looks great for folks south of the metro area, but it would be a very hollow victory to see everyone up there left out. 😢

    The only model left that gives PDX meaningful QPF tomorrow afternoon and evening is the GRAF. I think the best we can hope for up here is 1-2 spotty inches. Most areas will get skunked or get very little. Better odds south of us, but I am not convinced that anybody from Eugene to Salem will score big either. Much better odds at a widespread couple of inches though in my opinion.

    Thursday sure looks cold for the Portland area either way. 

  2. Just now, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

    The 12z ICON and hi-res GEM are very good for Washington. That swath of QPF that was once aimed at the Willamette Valley has migrated north. As the low moves east and it says though Portland, it’s too warm and weak for more than some light cold rain. Brutal.

    The 6z Euro showed the northward migration as well. 

    • Like 1
  3. 26 minutes ago, Brennan said:

    I seem to remember something like this happening in recent years, where we were all shocked at how well the GFS did in comparison to the EURO and others... Can't remember when, but within the last 5 years. I tend to think the GFS will be right as well... Hoping for a blend between the EURO and GFS. 

    The GFS nailed the ''impossible'' heatwave of June, 2021 well in advance of other models.

    When the GFS is stubborn as heck, it is usually correct.

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