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Joshua Lake Oswego

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Everything posted by Joshua Lake Oswego

  1. Mark doesn’t miss. His word means more to me than any meteorologist (local or otherwise), the NWS, or anybody else.
  2. Good luck, Washingtonians. I would like my chances if I were you. Hopefully this doesn’t end up like December of last year when the arctic boundary hung up just north of the state border and we ended up with unimpressive temps and a few flakes.
  3. As much as I whine about lack of precipitation, I will absolutely take dry and dusty over that crap.
  4. If this goes anything like the ‘’way-too-far-in-the-future’’ risk of heavy precipitation memo they issued last time, we can put a fork in it now.
  5. And a lot of us. The ICON led the way as usual. PDX has a very real shot of 3 weeks without rain. In November. That would obliterate the previous record.
  6. Essentially completely dry now for the next 10 days on the 6z. The Euro backed WAY down for Oregon at least too. I swear we live in the only place on Earth where models consistently overestimate QPF by orders of magnitude. If a substantial precipitation event was modeled within 5 days for So. Cal, the east coast, the Midwest… wherever, it would happen. Here… it needs to be within 48 hours to make sure it won’t go 500 miles north or completely fizzle out.
  7. The ICON and GFS really neutered Tuesday’s rain that was once Monday’s rain that was once Sunday’s rain.
  8. BC is going to get absolutely hosed mid/late next week. An AR looks to set up shop and be close to stationary for about 60 hours. Extreme NW Washington should fare well too, but most of Oregon and Washington will get the leftover slops as it peters out.
  9. The precipitation king (ICON) is a lot more bullish than the GFS for early next week. Let’s see who wins.
  10. Yea, 41 here across I-5. Looking like quite a mess in my yard. Some decent-sized Douglas Fir limbs down. Needles and small branches everywhere. Hearing bombs on the roof every few minutes. Not looking forward to walking around the whole yard when it's light out. To think... we have a few more days of this crap.
  11. What do you consider to be a rainy day? >= .01''? >= .10''? >= .25''? Let's look at the stats for the past 5 months at PDX. This will be from June 19th - November 19th since there is no chance of rain through at least Saturday. Days with .01'' or more = 22 Days with .10'' or more = 14 Days with .25'' or more = 7 So, depending on your definition of a rainy day, we have had 7-22 rainy days in the past 153 days or 42% of the year.
  12. The 00z suite is absolute trash. These past 5 months have been worse than a worst-case scenario for those of us that like cool, wet, dreary weather.
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