Tanis Leach

Dropped to a special weather statement for a landspout.

Can I have the link to that story if you still have it? I'm looking at including that in a possible 10th anniversary Manzanita tornado retrospective and pointing out it wasn't the main threat.

Hard ride up Larch today (91:25 time split). A little rain and 50 at the summit parking lot. Didn't do the steps to the proper summit since wet wooden steps and hard bottom cycling shoes don't mix.

They've flipped to using the RONI, as seen in their monthly updates: https://cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/ Edited to add the public information statement on the official change. enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web (8).pdf pns26-05_Relative_ONI.pdf

NOAA has it classified as a niña officially. Along with 2024-25, and 2016-17.

And super niños have performed decently above 5000 feet. Of the 8 worst winters at Timberline, 3 were weak niñas, 2 were neutral, 3 were weak niños. 6 had an easterly QBO, 1 flipped from westerly to easterly mid-winter, and 1 was westerly. We'll be in westerly this winter. Westerly QBO's are the "great equalizer" to use an accurate clickbaity term. Pretty much all of our good niños have been westerly QBOs.

October 24th. 10am. OMSI

He was also the voice of Palpatine in Clone Wars Season 5 and 6 after the original voice actor (Ian Abercromie) passed away. I know him from that as well.

You referring to the winter weather forecast confrence?

But that means winter is coming

Latest storm net: Honestly happy you're getting 1 good t-storm outbreak by the looks of it. The WV has had 5 good days, so you getting your 2nd is good.

Storm Net has backed off significantly.

Stormnet got more bullish for the 21st. Also the first run with non-zero severe winds chance (peaks at 4%). Not concerned about that yet.

Storm Net is on board.