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Everything posted by snow_wizard
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In all fairness things have really starting falling into place for us now. Just had a cold December and January is going to be cold also. The patterns have an old time feel to them all of a sudden. The solar aspect may be kicking in after one very low cycle under our belts and then the recent very quiet conditions.
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I just can't believe the gnashing of teeth going on about progs a week out in such a complex pattern. The chances for a good outcome are still high IMO. The models have consistently put too much emphasis on offshore cutoff lows this season. We saw that a while back with the event that is about to unfold. As long as the blocking structure is there we're in business.
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The overwhelming theme is to spin up a low out over the ocean and then kick it back in over us in the day 9 to day 10 time frame. All models agree on this and there is brutally cold air in BC to tap into when the trough kicks back over us. Oh yes...the ECMWF drop 850s to -13 at hour 48. I have no idea how people can ruin the fun when we are going to have snow within 24 hours followed by an Arctic outbreak. I was hoping to come on here and have fun today.