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snow_wizard

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Everything posted by snow_wizard

  1. Kind of the real deal right here. This thing is growing some legs.
  2. The disconnect between the Puget Sound region and OR last March was ridiculous. It was totally boring here other than a decent number of chilly mins.
  3. A lot of places had hail today. Normally it's a more isolated thing than what we saw this time. I had a good blast of it in the early afternoon. 48/40 here so far today.
  4. Polar strat temps have been been really warm since December. That could well be what saved our butts this winter.
  5. Last March was totally meh here so we could easily take it out.
  6. This is the mother of all SSW's. This anomaly stays right on the pole for the entire run.
  7. Historic is on the table if Mother Nature can put it all together in the right way. Nice to even have a shot at it.
  8. Starting to look like the final third could be really nippy too.
  9. I'll be dammed if the GFS didn't make a move toward what the AI has been showing. Big time amplitude and back digging for week two.
  10. And you just blindly believe it.
  11. The AI model keeps hinting the cold period after the big ridge might be something pretty special. We'll see.
  12. I have to admit it's going to feel nice. Made nicer by knowing the chill will return.
  13. March 2019 was amazing. I had a freezing wind come through here during the afternoon on the 3rd. The temp rose to 43 in the late morning and then proceeded to drop to 31 while the sun was still up with strong east winds. It then dropped to 23 for a low on the 10th, and then I had a ridiculous 76/59 day on the 19th. I think there is more really impressive stuff to come before we get out of this amplified / dynamic regime we have been in for a while now.
  14. Wow! As impressive as Seattle was it wasn't that insane. 31/22 is like a -18 to -20 departure for that date. There were some lows in the teens in the EPSL, but the highs weren't below the mid to upper 30s. I figured the cold must have come from the east, because it was so dry going into it. This is almost at March 1870 levels of insanity, but that was a Fraser River event.
  15. Looks like some places this weekend could end up with a 72/35 type day or in that ball park. These trough to ridge transitions can kick out some wild diurnal spreads.
  16. In these early season things the models often shoot too low. Going to come down to how strong the offshore flow is.
  17. 1970 has been coming up as an analog from the 500mb perspective at least. Just looked at March 1906 again. Seven consecutive lows of 30 or lower in SEA, and three consecutive highs in the 34 to 38 range after the 10th. Freeking impressive alright!
  18. I had a good bout of hail here a couple of hours ago as well.
  19. Geeze. These ECMWF AI solutions are mouth watering.
  20. I'm not sure what his point is here. We had a very cold starting March too.
  21. Great climate up there. Even colder than Winthrop a lot of times.
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