snow_wizard

Yikes.

December 1884 was insane. Without question the most bad azzz December on record. I'll have to look at the records I have for spring 1885 for this area.

The snow on the ground and a solidly cold air mass worked well for you this time. Dew points have been in the 20s during the day up here so that has really helped our cause.

33.6 and still falling here. Going to be a close call for a freezing min tomorrow.

I'm sure he meant the 0z GFS.

If the GFS is correct the mins could actually be below normal given the surface high position.

Yup. It is so lucky the records for the infamous winter of 1892-93 do exist for the city. Jaw dropping.

I pulled off 23 in March 2019 and 25 the last two days on this cold snap.

The Seattle city records show 81 on March 11, 1892. The pre 1894 records aren't available online for some reason, but I have them.

23 is pretty real for this time of year.

I'm a magnet for bee stings. 2 hornets a couple of years ago and two wasps last year. Both kinds hurt a lot.

They finally got the 7 day change fixed for the ENSO map! Wowzers!

The ball does seem to be in our court right now. I really hope we can hit the big one before that changes. The really impressive thing is we have not had a 1952-53 or a 1957-58 type loser since 2015-16. Even that incredible decade had some utter fails.

The 18z GFS and GEFS seem to be back on team retrogression again after the big ridge early in week two.

Yeah. It has been a really odd season in that regard. The first half of the cold season I kicked OLM's arse for cold mins.

I guess you could argue we were due for a huge ridge given how easy we got off with the strong Nino this winter. Still time for big changes in the models though.

I think this answers the question whether their thermometer is broken or not.

Probably Dec 2021. Just a lot of little ones since.

I ended up with a pair of 25 degree lows out of this. Pretty respectable.

The fire outbreak in Sept 2020 was just ridiculous though. In that case it was sparks from Labor Day weekend campfires that resulted in much of the insanity. That was the perfect storm of a long dry period followed by a dry Canadian front that sent humidity levels plummeting, with strong winds.

It can be. There are a couple from the 19th century that were like that too.

The first week of March is going to be up there with the big boys.

I think moderate would work very well for us. Strong Ninas have a mixed history. Some strong ones have been epic though.

Another cold one tonight. I had my doubts with all the clouds earlier. Already down to 33 here.