WildWisconsinWeather

Do you know what the precip type is on those? If it's sleet would be cool to witness thundersleet for the second time this year.

It doesn't look further south, it's just slower. Notice the heavier echoes from the 18z are due east of the 0z over the lake.

You shouldn't, they almost certainly will favor the non-Euro models. At this point the Euro's just about on its own, along with its ensembles. The GEM is somewhat of a compromise of the north and south models, but nothing looks favorable for Milwaukee and Madison pretty much but the Euro.

If nothing else, maybe this can be one of those elusive thunderstorms to wintry precip/snow transitions. Doesn't happen often, but with how dynamic this storm is, could happen.

Anyone know what the Euro Ensembles look like?

Yep, great times for Wisconsin. Even as an MU grad, I love me some Badger basketball!

Yeah, I think this is pure trolling by the Euro, pretty sure the heavy snow sets up to our north.

Sheboygan to Green Bay and west just crushed by late March standards. I like this Spring pattern so far, quite active.

You're getting a decent thunder and lightning show at least, aren't you? I am myself for the 2nd time this month.

I doubt severe here, but if you've been monitoring the hi-res and local RPM models, still seems like a squall line might pack a punch tomorrow evening from Chicagoland up to nearly Lake Winnebago.

Money is in line to get a garden variety storm or two this evening. We weren't really even expecting precip here or nearby until yesterday's forecast, so a thunderstorm or two would be a nice entrance into spring weather.

You're still probably the winner on the west side of Lake Michigan.

We're guaranteed some snow at least I think. Maybe not as heavy out by Germantown compared to the airport and south though.

The latest RPM Tom posted looks good for us; it shows us in the northern portion of I believe a 4-8" band.

I don't understand what significance that should have; frontogenetic bands will occur where they want to, and depend on where the front sets up.

Unfortunately for the most part the short term models seem to be on the southern edge of guidance atm. That may change as we close in on the event.

Wrong thread troll.

Yeah, looks like it's the fronto band or bust.

So far so good on the 18z GFS, it is still showing much of S Wisconsin getting in on the initial WAA frontogenetic banding.

I agree with that, I think people are also referencing though your no-tolerance policy on other poster's whining when you have periods of being distraught yourself.

The problem is you're always wrong in the same way...by hyping up most patterns as being exciting and active.

Micro-thin area of nice snows.

This is definitely not a spread the wealth type of system (huge surprise, right) so big run to run changes are likely.

It doesn't hurt that the northern members are probably juicier with precip in general.

You have to be kidding me!? Along with the RGEM looking interesting for low placement, the plot is thickening big-time.