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SnowHawks

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Posts posted by SnowHawks

  1. CZ's can be quite dynamic in terms of snowfall. I was living in Seattle in 1996 on Capitol Hill and the forecast called rain snow mix possibly.  Well a CZ developed and it appeared to be a King/Snohomish County line special. As the CZ began to slide south, it strengthened and stalled over Seattle. We had a howling northerly wind and ended up with over 10 inches of snow!

    • Like 6
  2. I am pretty disappointed with this event. Yes, it was nice to get the cold temps. But for me a would rather have a good BC slider that doesn't seem to pick and choose where it will snow and leave others with nothing. Arctic or modified Arctic air in place and your moisture or low pressure moving down the BC coast that only slightly modifies the air is the only way the Central Pugent Sound can get a Vancouver type experience. Yea I know low pressure arriving at the Columbia River is ideal, but how often does that happen? 

    • Like 8
  3. I was reading KOMO news brief description for our upcoming EL NINO winter and looked back to see if there were any significant snows during an EL NINO in the PNW. 1968-69 stands out as one and I was wondering other than the EL NINO state at that time, what would have been the other factors that would have enabled such a rare occurrence?

    • Shivering 1
  4. It seems as if we have resigned ourselves to a El Nino lack of snow winter. While the odds do not favor us for significant snowfalls, there have been exceptions in the past where we have had major snowfalls in the Seattle area. 1968-69 was a moderate El-Nino yet we had a month long Arctic outbreak with greater than 9 inches on the ground. So hope springs eternal.  

    • Weenie 1
  5. Deterministic and ensemble members remain in lockstep with each other regarding the Saturday system, starting to nudge onto the coast mid to late Saturday afternoon but not becoming a widespread concern until Saturday evening. The timing of the entrance of this front, given that cold air will remain in place, looks to be conducive to another round of lowland snowfall. Projected amounts look to be a little higher than the previous round. That being said, it does spread this snowfall out over a 36 hour period that extends into the long term, making for a complicated forecast thanks to daytime heating. Since this would start at the very earliest in the fourth period, no headline decisions need to be made at this time. I used to write blue book essays for exams in college. Where If I didn't study or know the material, I would try to BS my way through Sometimes I succeeded-most times not. But this write up takes the cake. How to write a forecast without saying anything. Thanks Seattle NWS!   

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    • Excited 1
  6. Yea Nicholslegate- I was living on Capitol Hill in Seattle and we had a good 10 inches to a foot and the roads were not plowed. I had an Audi TT(fast car) with all wheel drive. It could go anywhere in the snow. I remember being pissed because my car kept bottoming out  because the roads weren't plowed.

  7. I hate to date myself but looking at the CPC analogs I remember significant snows either Seattle area or region wide (1) 1968 arctic blast with a foot of snow on the ground in Everett(2) 1983 Snow from Everett to Pullman with freezing rain in Othello (3) 1987 snow just after Christmas that lasted until New Years. (4) 1989 Valentines Day arctic outbreak with daytime high of 14 degrees. So there you go this area is capable of heavy snow and frigid temps. Would love to see that this year.

    • Like 7
    • Facepalm 1
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