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TT-SEA

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Everything posted by TT-SEA

  1. 12Z GFS still pretty mild and wet in the long term... it should arrive eventually even with the noticeable delay in the mid-range.
  2. I mentioned a pretty big shift on the 12Z GFS. It was significant for this weekend. Worth mentioning and not directed at anyone. Its an interesting and complicated pattern. I would have also mentioned the 12Z GFS if it shifted strongly toward very stormy weather this weekend. Someone who has me on ignore responded immediately (without anyone quoting me) saying that the ECMWF was still strong with the weekend system and the GFS would shift that way... and included the smiley icon. Interesting. And actually incorrect based on the 00Z ECMWF.
  3. The Canadian has actually been less aggressive all along... and now the GFS and ECMWF are following suit to some degree. The 12Z Canadian still shows ridging even next Tuesday. There has definitely been a trend in the models to weaken and slow the progression overall. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif
  4. FWIW... 12Z Canadian is also not aggressive with the weekend system. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_132_0000.gif
  5. Or not. You don't know. You are too consumed with your hope that Randy and Tim are always miserable because we truly enjoy the warm weather we manage to get here at times. The 00Z ECMWF actually trended much warmer and drier for Sunday. Its shows mid to upper 70s now that day around Portland. http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls01/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls01-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-Dkst_p.png
  6. Big westward shift again on the 12Z GFS. Here is Sunday on the 00Z run: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_144_precip_p03.gif And the same time on the 12Z run: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_132_precip_p03.gif
  7. Although Andrew... there might be some sun today. I see its sunny in Seattle this morning.
  8. Not this morning Andrew. But we have our beautiful Sunday to remember.
  9. Nina looking much healthier... http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleaching5km/images_current/cur_b05kmnn_ssta_large.gif
  10. I not an expert... but I think its going to be sort of warm and wet... http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png
  11. Jesse lies... he does not have me on ignore. He responds passive-aggressively many times before anyone even quotes me. And another one for good measure.
  12. Barely a drop of rain even at my house from July 2012 through October 12, 2012. And then the faucet turned on and it rained almost every day for the rest of the year. An extremely unusual situation. Not like this year at all. We have had several significant rain events already.
  13. That's what she said. Actually...the system this evening through Wednesday looks like it will focus on the coast and SW WA and OR like the system over the weekend. Hence the high totals down there. The track is very similar.
  14. Even towards the middle of next week... most of the action is spinning offshore. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_204_precip_p03.gif
  15. System over the weekend is trending westward... the 12Z GFS is pretty much dry from Friday - Sunday now. Here is Saturday afternoon... http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_132_precip_p03.gif Here is Sunday: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_156_precip_p03.gif
  16. Yeah... looked it up. Here is last year's picture. No clouds at all that day. Today we definitely had some clouds around all day.
  17. And many times it just gives us 40s and sunshine with some offshore flow. Still very nice. Particularly out here in the foothills.
  18. I hope we have this all winter... systems diving into Oregon and Northern CA. Often makes for great weather up here at any time of the year.
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