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Everything posted by TT-SEA
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I mentioned a pretty big shift on the 12Z GFS. It was significant for this weekend. Worth mentioning and not directed at anyone. Its an interesting and complicated pattern. I would have also mentioned the 12Z GFS if it shifted strongly toward very stormy weather this weekend. Someone who has me on ignore responded immediately (without anyone quoting me) saying that the ECMWF was still strong with the weekend system and the GFS would shift that way... and included the smiley icon. Interesting. And actually incorrect based on the 00Z ECMWF.
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The Canadian has actually been less aggressive all along... and now the GFS and ECMWF are following suit to some degree. The 12Z Canadian still shows ridging even next Tuesday. There has definitely been a trend in the models to weaken and slow the progression overall. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif
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Or not. You don't know. You are too consumed with your hope that Randy and Tim are always miserable because we truly enjoy the warm weather we manage to get here at times. The 00Z ECMWF actually trended much warmer and drier for Sunday. Its shows mid to upper 70s now that day around Portland. http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls01/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls01-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-Dkst_p.png
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Nina looking much healthier... http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleaching5km/images_current/cur_b05kmnn_ssta_large.gif
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System over the weekend is trending westward... the 12Z GFS is pretty much dry from Friday - Sunday now. Here is Saturday afternoon... http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_132_precip_p03.gif Here is Sunday: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_p03/gfs_namer_156_precip_p03.gif