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TT-SEA

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Posts posted by TT-SEA

  1. 3 minutes ago, Phil said:

    I guess it’s cloudy at Tim’s house, then.

    It was cloudy across the entire region today... mostly mild level stuff.   Got up to 57.   We had less rain out here during the day than places to the west as is typical with a negatively tilted front lifting north.  And had some sun from mid afternoon into the early evening.

    • Like 2
  2. 2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

    Even though it’s been 10 years I still remember that “thud” like it was yesterday that my wife and I heard that morning while we were making breakfast, thought a plane had perhaps crashed nearby or something. About 30 minutes later I saw the first reports about it. 

    Wow... I didn't know you could actually hear it.     How far away were you?

  3. 9 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

    Im scared for the summer

    This is sort of silly... could easily be a 2016 or 2019 type of summer with no smoke at all.   And what is happening in March and April is irrelevant.    Or we could have massive mountain snow in March and April and still end up with lots of fires like in 2022.     

    • Thanks 1
    • lol 1
  4. 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

    This pattern is just an absolute turd sandwich.  Now the warm mins are keeping the daily averages above normal and the mountains continue to hemorrhage snow pack.

     

    Way better than freezing cold nights damaging the blooming trees.   This is climo.  

    • Like 1
    • Facepalm 1
  5. On 3/20/2024 at 3:07 PM, bainbridgekid said:

    Huge increase in mountain snowfall this weekend on the 18z GFS. Shows over 2 feet for Snoqualmie and Stevens just through Sunday night.

     

    trend-gfs-2024032018-f108.sn10_acc-imp.us_state_wa.gif

    This sure fell apart... here is total snow now per the ECMWF over the weekend through Monday.

    ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-1411200.png

    • scream 1
  6. 7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

    If it had happened 10 minutes later I would have been home alone without a way to dial 911, my fingers were locked and contorted, even though  it wasn't a heart attack the medics said that if they hadn't gotten there as soon as they did my heart rate would have continued to rise and I most likely would have went  in to cardiac arrest, I am so thankful things worked out the way they did, don't want it to happen again.

    Wow... can't imagine how scary that was.  Very glad your family was there when it happened.  

    • Thanks 1
  7. 32 minutes ago, Phil said:

    In 2022 the euro seasonal projected a stout 4CH/death ridge centered over the intermountain west. Same with 2021.

    I think the difference in the models this year is because 2021 and 2022 had warm off-equator SSTAs (hence more convection in subtropics) while this year has (relatively) cool off-equator NPAC SSTAs, which constrains the ITCZ meridionally. 

    There was lots of chatter on here about a cold summer in 2022.   Instead it was the hottest summer ever... at least for SEA.

  8. Weekend looks decent on the ECMWF.    Partly sunny Saturday and becoming mostly sunny on Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 50s in the Seattle area.   Deformation band on Saturday afternoon is up around the Canadian border per the ECMWF.   This weekend will probably end up being much nicer than it seemed a few days ago when the models were much colder and wetter with even a chance at lowland snow.    

    • Excited 1
    • Sick 1
  9. I wonder what those maps looked like in 2022... when we had a full Nina year and we were talking about 1999 or 2011 type summer on here.    And then we ended up ridiculously warm and dry for 5 straight months.   Summer seems to be warm regardless of ENSO or anything else lately.  

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